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Friday, February 20, 2009
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| Peace Won't Come to Zimbabwe |
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Starry-eyed optimism in light of Zimbabwe's new unity government aside, peace in the former Rhodesia remains as elusive as ever. The primary opposition to Robert Mugabe's murderous ZANU-PF, the Movement for Democratic Change, insisted on several key conditions prior to signing on to the much touted power-sharing agreement -- the release of political prisoners topping the list. One of those prisoners, former farmer and MP Roy Bennett, is facing life in prison on over-hyped terrorism and illegal firearms charges. Bennett is the MDC's treasurer and the party's selection for Deputy Minister of Agriculture, a most important post in the former breadbasket nation's political hierarchy. He also knows the cruelty of the Mugabe regime first hand. Peter Godwin, a Rhodesian soldier turned journalist, chronicled Bennett's entry into politics and subsequent farm seizure by Mugabe's 'war vets' in his superb When a Crocodile Eats the Sun. An excerpt (circa 2002):
Ultimately Bennett was forced to flee his homeland, seeking refuge in South Africa. He returned after the power-sharing agreement was signed, but was arrested when he attempted to fly back to the RSA. Until Roy Bennett and other political prisoners are freed, until Mugabe releases his white-knuckled clutch on power, and until the MDC gains viable power through control of the police forces or army -- Zimbabwe is doomed to continue its plummet into anarchy. ![]()
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Saturday, January 17, 2009
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| Introducing the 100 Trillion Dollar Note |
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Courtesy of Robert Mugabe's Zimbabwe, home of the 231 million percent inflation rate.
Ironic -- one of the poorest nations on earth is filled with billion and trillionaires. Unsurprisingly, the once bountiful African nation has unofficially defaulted to the US dollar as its main currency.
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Thursday, January 15, 2009
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| Somalia: Talibanistan In East Africa |
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Have you ever wondered what Iraq might have looked like had the United States quit the country Iraq in 2006 after it was on the brink of civil war? Look no further than Somalia, where the Ethiopian Army has completed its withdrawal of Mogadishu and is preparing to pull out from other bases in the countries just two years after ousting the al Qaeda-backed Islamic Courts Union. From CNN:
Shabaab and a "moderate" pro-government Islamist group called Ahlu Sunna Waljamaa have been battling for control of central Somalia as Ethiopian forces pull out of the lawless country. The fissures between the hard-line Islamists and "moderate" Islamists, while real, will likely be patched over as the Islamist factions seek to consolidate power in the eastern African state and impose sharia, as they did when they gained power in 2006. The Islamists will likely set their sights on the semi-autonomous states of Puntland and Somaliland in the future. The fall of Somalia is a major victory for al Qaeda. Unlike Afghanistan, which sits in the backwaters of South Asia, Somalia sits astride one of the most transited sea lanes on the planet, where piracy is already a major problem. Somalia serves as a bridge between African and the Arabian Peninsula. Across the Gulf of Aden sits Yemen, another failed state riddled with al Qaeda operatives. Like it or not, Somalia has moved up the list of problems facing the incoming Obama administration.
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Tuesday, December 23, 2008
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| U.S. Opposes Power-Sharing in Zimbabwe |
In the past month, President Bush, Gordon Brown, and Nicolas Sarkozy have all called for dictator Robert Mugabe to step down. However, this is the first time that a major power has admitted that a power-sharing deal between Zimbabwe's Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) and Mugabe's thuggish ZANU party simply will not work. Mugabe has spent his entire 28 year reign in the former Rhodesia clinging to power through intimidation, vote rigging, calculated starvation of his people, and outright murder. His behavior, like that of all Marxist-Leninist dictators, has been constant and predictable for over three decades, resulting in the most dramatic peacetime collapse of a nation-state in recent history. Unfortunately for Zimbabweans, it is the Republic of South Africa, not the the United States, that holds the key to Mugabe's downfall. Just as in the days of the Rhodesian Republic, where apartheid South Africa kept their landlocked neighbor to the north breathing, closing the Zimbabwe-South Africa border would result in the rapid collapse of the Mugabe regime. To wit, Zimbabwe's western neighbor Botswana has proposed just that, meeting resistance from the African National Congress and the bulk of South African leadership, all of whom continue to view Mugabe as a post-Colonial hero and freedom fighter. Until the RSA is ready to commit to serious solutions to Zimbabwe's political crisis and impending implosion, the nation once hailed as the "breadbasket of Africa" will continue its swift descent into a Somali-like vacuum state.
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Tuesday, November 25, 2008
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| Pirates Have a Friend in Virginia |
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A bizarre development in the story of the pirates operating off the coast of Somalia:
Military.com has the exclusive interview with Ms. Ballarin, definitely worth reading. But the real news here is that the pirates, with their seizure of the Saudi-owned supertanker, seemed to have crossed the Islamist insurgent group Al Shabab, successor to the Islamic Courts Union that was toppled by an American-backed Ethiopian invasion.
It seems obvious enough that the Saudis have some kind of relationship with this group. That concerns me. Al Shabab has been designated as a terrorist organization by the United States State Department. One wonders how much money the Saudis gave these terrorists in exchange for a little help protecting the sea lanes in the Gulf of Aden and further out into the Indian Ocean. And if the terrorists are running some kind of racket here, shaking down the Saudis for help with keeping the pirates under control -- isn't that our racket? What is the United States Navy doing if not protecting sea lanes and insuring the free flow of commerce on the world's oceans? Interestingly, there is a current on the left that would welcome a return of Islamist rule in Somalia for the measure of stability it would bring -- even if that stability allowed the state to become a safe-haven for al Qaeda affiliated terrorists. There are others who think we should embrace the pirates as the "secular, liberal capitalists of Somalia," who might serve as a bulwark against what now seems to be the inevitable return of Islamist rule. Must we accept a choice between pirates and terrorists? Shouldn't we be for killing them all? ![]()
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Monday, November 24, 2008
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| Irony: Africa Edition |
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President Jimmy Carter, the man who insisted that the Zimbabwe-Rhodesian government allow the Soviet backed Zanu paramilitary liberation movement to participate in national elections, has been denied entry into Zimbabwe by.... Zanu-PF leader and dictator Robert Mugabe.
Double irony: Graca Machel was the wife of former Mozambique President Samora Machel, the man who hosted Mugabe's Zanu while they were launching military raids into apartheid Rhodesia during the 1970s. The story of Zimbabwe is one of the great tragedies of the 20th century. Once a first world nation, Rhodesia -- and Zimbabwe during the 80s -- exported enough food to feed roughly half of Africa. Though deeply stained by the apartheid policies of the white minority government, Rhodesia still boasted the largest black middle class in Africa, had a top-tier educational system for both blacks and whites that rivaled those in Europe and the United States, a Rhodesian dollar that was nearly equal with its U.S. cousin, and unemployment that was in the low single digits. Today, after Robert Mugabe's tyrannical 28 year reign, Zimbabwe has become one of the poorest nations in the world. Unemployment is at 80 percent and rising. Inflation is an unbelievable 2000 percent, also rising. Once the breadbasket of Africa, Zimbabwe is now reliant on Western food relief to feed its people. Refugees pour over the South African and Botswanan borders by the thousands, as AIDS (and now cholera) ravage the countryside. Life expectancy for a Rhodesian male was appx. 67 years. That number has collapsed to an unthinkable 37 years. To this day, Carter is unrepentant for his assistance in Mugabe's rise to power. That he was denied entry into the very state he helped create underscores the dangerous naivete of Carter's foreign policy, and serves as a warning shot to administrations to come: the history and nature of Marxist dictators is both universal and constant. To legitimize them, as Carter did with Mugabe, can create humanitarian crises that span decades. For more on the Zimbabwe-Rhodesian elections, see James Kirchick's How Tyranny Came to Zimbabwe.
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Thursday, October 23, 2008
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| Bush's Foreign Supporters |
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While President Bush's legacy with regards to U.S. efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan is uncertain and his approval rating stands at about 28 percent, his administration's Africa policy was celebrated this week in Washington. At the White House Summit on International Development, the president was lauded by Liberian president Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf and Irish rock star Bob Geldof. Ms. Johnson-Sirleaf, the first female leader to be democratically elected in Africa, has been nicknamed the "Iron Lady" of Liberia. She joked several times about President Bush's February trip to Africa where, she said, he became a "YouTube sensation." She didn't hold back in her praise of President Bush:
Geldof called Bush's efforts to support international development through the Millenium Challenge Corporation and fight AIDS and malaria "this administration's great legacy." "Yes, speak truth to power, absolutely. But also speak truth about power," said Geldof.
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Monday, September 22, 2008
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| Al Qaeda Increases Pressure on Mauritania |
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Justifying their coup against an elected president last month, Mauritania's top generals underscored not only what they claimed was creeping corruption and blatant incompetence but a soft approach to the al Qaeda franchise in North Africa, known as Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb [west]. One hundred percent Muslim, Mauritania is, more so than the other North African countries where AQIM's presence and terrorist activities have been on the rise, an example of why bin-Ladenism and its offshoots represent a threat to Muslim countries as much as to the West, if not more so. After all, Algeria and Morocco, for example, are Mediterranean nations whose economies are intertwined with Europe's (and ours). By contrast Mauritania is still comparatively isolated. At best, the jihadists can justify war against Mauritania because it has diplomatic relations with Israel and receives U.S. help as part of the Trans-Sahara Counter-terrorism program. The simpler explanation is that the terrorists are seeking to destabilize regimes throughout the region and they think ambushing platoons of young recruits and leaving them on desert roads with their throats slit, as they are reported to have done on two occasions in the past fortnight, will advance this goal.
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Saturday, August 23, 2008
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| Lieberman More Likely? |
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Now it's John McCain's turn. In talking to Republican sources close to the campaign, it seems clear that the decision has come down to three people: Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty, and Joe Lieberman. The basic dynamic of the McCain selection process has not changed. McCain is most comfortable with Lieberman and would pick his longtime friend if he could be convinced that the political consequences of doing so would not be fatal. Campaign manager Rick Davis has been calling Republican leaders around the country trying to gauge their likely reaction to a Lieberman pick. Most of McCain's staff favors Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, along with a majority of the RNC types working closely with the campaign. Mitt Romney has some supporters, too, and in many cases he is the second choice of both Lieberman and Pawlenty backers. McCain advisers have been very impressed with Romney's critique of Barack Obama as a McCain surrogate. What effect will Obama's selection of Joe Biden have on McCain's decision? On the one hand, Pawlenty supporters will argue that it makes their man more plausible. Pawlenty is a fresh face -- a young, conservative, reform-minded governor -- exactly what McCain needs to run against two sitting senators. If the general election has come down to experience versus change -- with each candidate owning one of those attributes -- Pawlenty could help McCain mitigate Obama's advantage on change. Biden has been in the Senate longer than all but five of his colleagues -- not exactly change you can believe in. On the other hand, the Biden pick could make Lieberman more doable for a candidate that seems more and more inclined to pick a "comfort" runningmate. Although many Washington insiders see Biden as flakey and unpredictable, he can come across as both likable and knowledgeable. He will do well in a VP debate. Would Pawlenty appear overmatched? More important, McCain has made national security the central rationale for his candidacy. His main critique of Barack Obama has been that the Democrat is too inexperienced to serve as president during such serious times. Picking Pawlenty undercuts both of these arguments. The timing of McCain's decision could well be crucial. And the longer he waits, the more likely Lieberman becomes. Democrats have been frustrated at their inability to convince voters that electing McCain will yield the same results as electing George W. Bush for a third term. So they will spend most of the next week linking McCain to "the failed policies of George W. Bush." It's an unpersuasive case for many reasons -- most especially because McCain has publicly challenged Bush on so many issues. But McCain is very sensitive to the comparison with Bush and while he's willing to give Bush credit for keeping us safe, it's no accident that he hasn't yet campaigned with Bush during the general election. If Democrats have success linking McCain and Bush -- or if McCain believes they are having success doing so -- no other choice would so effectively end that argument.
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Thursday, June 26, 2008
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| Nelson Mandela's Super Sweet 16 |
![]() Amy Winehouse Nelson Mandela is going to have one hell of a 90th b-day party. Thanks to Will Smith, who is hosting the bash, Mandela will not just have one musical performance to entertain him. Rather, he'll play guest of honor to an entire rock concert. Featured stars include Annie Lennox, Leona Lewis, the Soweto Gospel Choir, and Shirley Bassey. Alas, it appears there will be at least one cancellation. The crack-smoking, headbutting Amy Winehouse has been diagnosed, at the ripe ol' age of 24, with emphysema and is not expected to show.
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Tuesday, December 11, 2007
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| Al Qaeda Hits U.N. Offices, Courts, Police Station in Algiers |
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A pair of car bombs in the Algerian capital of Algiers has killed at least 47 and wounded an unknown number of people. The death toll is feared to be over 60. The bombings occurred in front of the Constitutional Court and the UN refugee agency and a police station in different neighborhoods in Algiers. Reports indicate the bombs were detonated just ten minutes apart. Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, which has taken credit for similar attacks in the past, is the culprit. The blast in front of the U.N. refugee agency and police station is believed to have been a suicide bombing. "The explosion occurred around 9:30 a.m. (3:30 a.m. EST) and blew off the front off the U.N. refugee agency building," UNHCR chief spokesman Ron Redmond told the Associated Press. "It apparently caused even worse damage to the main U.N. building housing the U.N. Development Program and other agencies diagonally across the street." At least ten UN employees were reported killed. Several school buses were reportedly destroyed on the street outside the attack on the Constitutional Court. Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb most certainly conducted the Algiers bombings. The mode of attack--coordinated bombings against government and international institutions designed to inflict massive casualties and maximum media coverag--is al Qaeda's specialty. The North African branch of al Qaeda has taken credit for similar strikes in the past. On April 11, al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb took credit for a pair of coordinated suicide bombings in the capital. A powerful bomb was detonated outside the headquarters of Prime Minister Abdelaziz Belkhadem's headquarters in Algiers, and another blast occurred outside the headquarters of the security forces.
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Thursday, November 15, 2007
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| I Was Wrong |
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It happens, on rare occasion. When the USS Porter came to the rescue of a hijacked North Korean ship off the coast of Somalia, I speculated that the North Korean public would never hear about the encounter, remaining blissfully ignorant of the fact that the United States fleet includes a single vessel other than the captured USS Pueblo. Don Surber, took a different view, though, saying "this should help relations with North Korea":
Well, apparently it has helped relations:
Best word to describe the North Koreans, other than evil: unpredictable.
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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
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| Ahoy! Picture of the Day |
![]() Via our buddies at Op-For, the official caption: "A pirate skiff burns after being hit by several rounds from a 25mm gun aboard guided-missile destroyer USS Porter (DDG 78). The skiff belonged to a group of pirates that had taken a cargo ship." You can read the full story here at Military.com. The long and the short of it is that the United States Navy seems to be increasingly engaged in a campaign to suppress the rampant piracy off the coast of Somalia. Unfortunately, the beneficiaries of this recent success happen to be North Korean, but as CSBA's Bob Work told the Virginia Pilot, "The Navy does this for all mariners." Though he also said that this may not be the best allocation of naval resources:
Don Surber looks for an upside for U.S.-Nork relations in all this, but I'm not so optimistic. I suspect the only American warship that ever gets a shout-out on North Korean radio is the USS Pueblo.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2007
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| Africa Gets Charmed |
![]() When my fellow Hoya Dikembe Mutombo joins forces with Alyssa Milano, is there anything they cannot conquer? According to Milano’s debut on the Huffington Post, a crisis even larger than AIDS and malaria combined afflicts the poor: Neglected Tropical Diseases, or NTD’s (as opposed to STD’s). It sounds serious enough:
Apparently Poison Ivy is not an NTD. But she is ultimately upbeat:
Which to me is somehow more convincing coming from the star of Embrace of the Vampire than Sally Struthers. Milano also provides the useful link to the Sabin Vaccine Institutes's STOP NTDs Campaign. Right about now you are probably wondering when I am going to say “Who will be sexing Dikembe tonight?” But just because I happen to mention Dikembe Mutumbo does not mean I have to automatically ask who will be sexing Dikembe tonight, for “who will be sexing Dikembe tonight” is none of our business. Now aren’t you glad I didn’t mention it?
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Monday, July 30, 2007
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| Germany Attacks France’s Nuclear Deal With Libya |
![]() Bulgarian medics convicted of infecting Libyan children with HIV arrive at Sofia airport on Tuesday. (Nikolay Doychinovn/Reuters TV) During his recent presidential campaign, Nicolas Sarkozy promised to be the candidate of change, someone who was committed to breaking up France’s sclerotic political system and over-regulated economy. In foreign policy, too, Sarkozy vowed to make France "a shining city upon a hill," a beacon of hope and a staunch defender of freedom, democracy, and human rights around the world. In this context, it seemed to be both smart politics and good morals when the media savvy Sarkozy (who never seems to miss an opportunity to make a splash) appointed Socialist politician Bernard Kouchner, the internationally respected co-founder of French humanitarian NGO "Doctors Without Borders," as his new foreign minister in May. However, barely two months into his five-year term, it appears that President Sarkozy is personally committed to a foreign policy agenda primarily driven by narrowly-defined French national interests, thus leaving his more idealistic foreign minister in the dust. On Wednesday last week, Sarkozy visited with Libyan homme fort (even the French employ this euphemistic code-word for dictator) Col. Moammar Gadhafi and signed various, wide-ranging bilateral cooperation agreements in critical areas such as defense, health, the fight against terrorism, and civilian nuclear power. In fact, Sarkozy’s plane landed in Tripoli less than 24 hours after his wife Cecilia had left the Libyan capital together with six Bulgarian medical workers who were released from a Libyan prison in what turned out to be major photo-op for France’s telegenic first lady. Under the terms of the Franco-Libyan nuclear deal, Sarkozy has agreed to provide Col. Gadhafi with an atomic reactor to be used for powering a desalination plant. In return, Libya will provide France’s nuclear power giant Areva with much-needed uranium. It comes very handy that Col. Gadhafi has about 1,600 tons of uranium left over from his country’s clandestine nuclear weapons program abandoned in 2004. Sarkozy’s nuclear deal with Col. Gadhafi--for many years a key sponsor of international terrorism--was criticized both in France and abroad. France’s anti-nuclear coalition, "Sortir du Nucleaire," accused Sarkozy of handing over nuclear technology to Libya in exchange for the nurses. "Civilian and military nuclear are inseparable," the French NGO said in a statement. "Delivering â€civilian’ nuclear energy to Libya would amount to helping the country, sooner or later, to acquire nuclear weapons."
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Monday, July 23, 2007
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| China's African Offensive |
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On July 15th, after nine days of captivity, Zhang Guohua, an executive with the China Nuclear International Uranium Corporation (Sino-U), was released by the Niger Movement for Justice (MNJ). Within days of the abduction, heeding MNJ’s call for foreign companies to withdraw, the China Nuclear Engineering & Construction Corporation, parent company of Sino-U, suspended its uranium-prospecting operation in Niger’s northern Agadez region. ![]() Chinese President Hu Jintao (C) addresses the round table of the Beijing Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, Nov. 5, 2006. (Xinhua Photo) The kidnapping in Niger is one of a string of attacks on Chinese nationals in Africa this year. In April, in a pre-dawn attack, guerrillas of the Ogaden National Liberation Front killed nine Chinese workers and 65 Ethiopians while they slept on the campground of a Chinese-owned oil exploration field in eastern Ethiopia. In January, a Chinese engineer was killed and another injured in a Chinese stone materials plant in Kenya. And in three separate incidents in Nigeria this year, a total of 16 Chinese nationals were kidnapped, though all were subsequently released unharmed. Motivated initially by political ideology, Chinese involvement in Africa began in the 1960s. More recently, the explosion of Chinese investment on the resource-rich continent is driven by China’s energy needs and Beijing’s "go-out" national strategic policy adopted at the 16th party congress in 2002. From Angolan oil to Zambian copper, African-Chinese trade between 2000 and 2006 grew from $10 billion to $55.5 billion. And by 2009, Chinese aid to Africa is expected to reach $10 billion. In the past 12 months, Chinese president Hu Jintao has visited 17 African countries, more than any other head-of-state. Unlike Western countries, China typically attaches no conditions to its investment in, and economic aid to, Africa. One recent example of the practical effects of this tactic concerns Zimbabwe. In 2005, ostracized by Western governments and investors over human rights abuses in that country, President Robert Mugabe launched a "Look East" policy. China is now Zimbabwe’s second largest trade partner, behind only South Africa. China’s economic offensive across Africa carries geopolitical implications as well. Since President Bush announced the creation of a unified military command for Africa this past February, Chinese media have been following the development closely.
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Monday, April 02, 2007
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| Clearing Up China's Position on Darfur |
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Just last month, the surprisingly competitive French presidential candidate Francois Bayrou threatened a boycott of the 2008 Beijing Olympics if China continued to protect the Sudanese government from the international community's attempts to intervene in Darfur. Bayrou said that the Olympics were now "a political issue because China decided to bring its protection to the Khartoum regime." The Chinese were outraged that Bayrou would make such an accusation. Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Jianchao said that "the people who put forward those remarks are not very clear on China's position on the Darfur issue." In what must be an effort to clear up that position for ignorant foreign leaders, the People's Daily now reports that "China and Sudan vowed in Beijing Monday to boost military exchanges and cooperation in various sectors." "Military relations between China and Sudan have developed smoothly," said Chinese Defense Minister Cao Gangchuan at a meeting with Chief of Joint Staff of Sudanese armed forces Haj Ahmed El Gaili. China and Sudan have enjoyed profound friendship though the two countries are far apart, said Cao, who is also vice chairman of the Chinese Central Military Commission and state councilor. China cherished the traditional friendship with Sudan and would like to further promote bilateral cooperation in various fields, said Cao. Haj Ahmed El Gaili appreciated China's long-term support to Sudan. He said the Sudanese armed forces want to maintain and strengthen cooperation with the Chinese side so as to lift bilateral ties to a new height. And now that that's been cleared up, I'm sure that we can all watch the Beijing Olympics with a clear conscience.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2007
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| Terror in the Maghreb |
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From the New York Times: They [experts] say North Africa, with its vast, thinly governed stretches of mountain and desert, could become an Afghanistan-like terrorist hinterland within easy striking distance of Europe. That is all the more alarming because of the deep roots that North African communities have in Europe and the ease of travel between the regions. For the United States, the threat is also real because of visa-free travel to American cities for most European passport holders. Our own expert, Olivier Guitta, reported in THE DAILY STANDARD this week on the alarming spread of terrorist groups in North Africa. His piece, Terror in the Maghreb, made much the same point as New York Times reporter Craig Smith: GSPC, which officially merged with al Qaeda over the summer--underlined by al Qaeda's Ayman Al Zawahiri in a September 11, 2006 video--and changed its name a few weeks ago to al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, is clearly the dominant terrorist group in the Maghreb and the countries of the Sahel. The organization's aim is to make the Maghreb a springboard to Europe with the help of the Algerian Islamist Khalid Abou Bassir, believed to be one of al Qaeda leaders in Europe. This was confirmed last year when Belgian police arrested a Moroccan Islamist named Mohamed Reha, who told police that "not only were we preparing jihad operations in Morocco, but we were working to expand our jihadist movement to all the countries of the Maghreb with the help of our Algerian brothers from the GSPC." Guitta also points to "reports that this new terror group has been recruiting scores of Moroccan, Tunisian, and Algerian volunteers; to join the forces of al Qaeda in Iraq." As worrisome as that may be, it seems Europe has the most to fear from the unchecked spread of these groups. And it will be interesting to see how Europe confronts this problem. Guitta says that the French have a great deal of knowledge about the old-guard GSPC, but the groups is "recruiting every single day in the suburbs of Algiers," with the aim of enlisting young men who have no criminal background and whom the French authorities will be unable to track. The French are supporting the Algerian government, financially and otherwise, in its fight against the GSPC, but Guitta says that the French so fear their own restive Muslim population, that any direct action is out of the question.
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Wednesday, January 31, 2007
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| Bin Laden Relative Killed |
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A little good news from the war on terror. The AP reports that a relative of Osama bin Laden was killed in Madagascar yesterday in what family members are calling a burglary. The victim, Jamal Khalifa, was wanted in the Philippines "for alleged terror financing," was named by the U.S. government as an "unindicted co-conspirator" in the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center, and was married to one of bin Laden's sisters. According to Khalifa's brother, more than 25 armed men broke into the house, killed Khalifa while he was sleeping, and stole everything that wasn't nailed down, including computers. Sounds suspiciously like a successful counterterror operation, but if not, it's still nice to see bad things happen to bad people. You can read more about Khalifa here.
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Thursday, January 18, 2007
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| Somalia's "Best Chance" |
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In what is perhaps the wackiest analysis of the recent war in Somalia, the New Republic's John B. Judis stops just shy of calling Bush a terrorist for his complicity in the Ethiopian invasion: What exactly are we doing in the Horn of Africa, where we have encouraged the Christian government of Ethiopia to invade Somalia and replace its Islamic government? As far as I can tell, we have violated international law, committed war crimes, helped Al Qaeda recruit new members, and involved ourselves in a guerrilla war that could last decades. It's Iraq writ small. The United Nations, however, seems to have taken a kinder view to the ousting of Somalia's al Qaeda affiliated ICU. The BBC reports that Francois Fall, the U.N. envoy to Somalia, has warned President Abdullahi Yusuf not to squander what he called "the best opportunity for peace for 16 years." Of course it's not all good news, the ICU has pledged to fight a drawn out insurgency, though it seems unlikely that the decimated group would be capable of any such thing, and there are more credible fears that Yusuf is no Thomas Jefferson. Still, the country is largely at peace, the bad guys have fled, and not a single American life has been lost. That's about as good as anyone could have hoped for 2 months ago.
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Monday, January 15, 2007
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| Eritrea Threatens U.S.? |
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As if the Horn of Africa didn't already have enough problems, now Eritrea, which had relatively friendly relations with the United States when it first gained independence from Ethiopia in 1991, is looking ever more like a state sponsor of terrorism. No state has been officially labeled with that designation since the Sudan--which shares a border with Eritrea--back in 1993, not long after that country sponsored a conference that boasted representatives from Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Hezbollah, Saddam's Baath party, and the Islamic Republic of Iran among other distinguished guests (not to imply that Saddam's secular Iraq had any connection with terrorism). But Eritrea has become increasingly hostile to American interests in East Africa and it has done so most recently by supporting Somalia's al Qaeda affiliated Islamic Courts Union. Eritrea has strained relations with nearly all its neighbors, including Sudan, but a border dispute with Ethiopia led to full-scale war in 1998, with more than 20,000 Eritreans killed over two years. That Eritrea would prefer Somalia's ICU in its struggle against the Ethiopian-backed interim government is hardly surprising then; however, the extent of the cooperation between Eritrea and the ICU is only now coming to light. Daveed Gartenstein-Ross posted a story on Pajamas Media this weekend on the alliance between the two: Ethiopia’s longtime rival, Eritrea, had troops in the country for about four months prior to [the Ethiopian invasion]. A confidential UN report drafted by the Monitoring Group on Somalia in late 2006 says that “2000 fully equipped combat troops from Eritrea” arrived to the north of Mogadishu in late August, and redeployed to different areas held by the ICU. According to high-level sources in Somalia’s transitional government and U.S. intelligence, these Eritrean troops never left the country--a development unknown to American policymakers until today. It seems reasonable to conclude then that the ICU's rise can best be explained by Eritrea's support for it, rather than as the result of an indigenous yearning for Islamic order. That the ICU is closely linked to al Qaeda is beyond doubt, but this fact seems not to have concerned the Eritreans in the least. Now, in addition to collaborating with terrorist organizations, Eritrea is making direct threats in an attempt to deter further American involvement in Somalia. According to Reuters: Eritrea warned the United States yesterday that its involvement in Somalia would “incur dangerous consequences” following a US air strike in the Horn of Africa nation targeting Al Qaeda suspects. The Eritreans kicked USAID out of the country in the summer of 2005. But we still provide Eritrea with a small amount of aid and military training. If the Bush administration does not want to brand Eritrea as a state sponsor of terrorism, it could at least cut off that funding as a symbolic gesture. The threat of sanctions and increased military support for Ethiopia would have an effect as well. Still, it will be difficult to rally international support for any move against Eritrea--like every other rogue state, Eritrea is forging ever closer ties with China.
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Wednesday, January 10, 2007
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| Fazul Dead, Europe Soft |
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The Associated Press is now reporting that a U.S. airstrike on suspected al Qaeda militants early Monday morning was, in fact, a success, resulting in the death of Fazul Abdullah Mohammed. From the AP: Fazul Abdullah Mohammed, who allegedly planned the 1998 bombings of two U.S. embassies in East Africa, was killed in a U.S. airstrike early Monday morning local time, according to an American intelligence report passed on to the Somali authorities. "I have received a report from the American side chronicling the targets and list of damage," Abdirizak Hassan, the Somali president's chief of staff, told The Associated Press. "One of the items they were claiming was that Fazul Abdullah Mohammed is dead." If confirmed Mohammed's death would be a major victory for the U.S. in its hunt for the 1998 embassy bombers. The strike was part of the first U.S. offensive in the African country since 18 American soldiers were killed there in 1993. Further reports indicate as many as 10 other terrorists may have been killed in that strike. Following that success, U.S. aircraft have reportedly been engaged in at least 3 separate attacks in Southern Somalia. What happens when we get the bad guys? From Deutsche Welle: Europe Critical of US Airstrikes in Somalia UN spokeswoman Michele Montas said new UN chief Ban Ki-moon was distressed by Washington's move. "The secretary-general is concerned about the new dimension this kind of action could introduce to the conflict and the possible escalation of hostilities that may result," Montas said.
Italian Foreign Minister Massimo D'Alema said Rome opposed "unilateral initiatives that could spark new tensions in an area that is already very destabilized."
Norway, a member of the international contact group on Somalia along with Italy, said it was not satisfied with Washington's explanation of its conduct in Somalia and stressed that terrorism should be fought in a court room and not with military hardware. The European Commission also slammed US moves to hunt down al Qaeda operatives in Somalia. "Any incident of this kind is not helpful in the long term," a spokesman for the EU Commission told reporters in Brussels on Tuesday. "Only a political solution can bring any serious prospects of peace and stability in Somalia." Would the Norwegians have us arrest Fazul? And try him where? Surely not at Gitmo. These comments are absurd, but not so absurd as the caption accompanying one of the photos in the article: The EU fears that the US airstrikes may destabilize Somalia. That’s right. The U.S. Air Force is bringing instability to the Horn of Africa by killing terrorists.
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Tuesday, January 09, 2007
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| American Troops in Somalia |
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Writing at Pajamas Media, Daveed Gartenstein-Ross has broken a major story revealing the extensive cooperation between American military personnel and the Ethiopian armed forces during that country's recent invasion of ICU-controlled areas of Somalia. According to Gartenstein-Ross, "U.S. ground forces have been active in Somalia from the start, a senior military intelligence officer confirmed. 'In fact,' he said, 'they were part of the first group in.” Many observers were surprised by the rapid advance of Ethiopian troops, and the hasty retreat of the ICU, despite assurances by Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi that the Islamists could be displaced in "one to two weeks." Gartenstein-Ross has now confirmed the involvment of American aircraft, including American-piloted helicopter gunships, in the assault, which largely explains the success of the campaign. From Gartenstein-Ross: Pajamas Media previously reported that Ethiopia’s use of helicopter gunships capable of targeting the Islamic Courts Union’s ground forces was a decisive factor in the army-to-army fighting against the ICU. A senior military intelligence source says that some of the gunships earlier described as Ethiopian were in fact U.S. aircraft. This has been confirmed by Dahir Jibreel, the transitional government’s permanent secretary in charge of international cooperation, who said that U.S. planes and helicopters with their markings obscured have been striking targets since December 25. My first impression of the ICU's collapse was to reflect on the advantages of fighting wars by proxy, but it now seems that American air power played an important role in removing the threat of a Taliban-style terrorist regime imposing itself on Africa's most chaotic state--not that the Bush administration will get any credit from the press for taking such bold action. No, instead the New York Times has seemed to lament the exit of Somalia's Islamists: "The Islamists, using Islam as a bridge, did a better job than any recent authority to unite warring clans. But their military was no match for the better-trained, better-equipped Ethiopian-led troops, and now that the Islamists are gone, many fear a return to clan mayhem." PS--My favorite quote from the above referenced article comes from Abdullahi Jama Ali, who the Times describes as "once part of an underground Islamist group": "The Islamic religion is like an ocean, everyone can swim where he likes." Ah, yes...those Islamists are so progressive.
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Monday, January 08, 2007
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| (Update) More Good News from Somalia |
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CBS News reports that a "U.S. Air Force gunship has conducted a strike against suspected members of al Qaeda in Somalia.... The targets included the senior al Qaeda leader in East Africa and an al Qaeda operative wanted for his involvement in the 1998 bombings of two American embassies in Africa.... Those terror attacks killed more than 200 people….The gunship flew from its base in Dijibouti down to the southern tip of Somalia ... where the al Qaeda operatives had fled after being chased out of the capital of Mogadishu by Ethiopian troops backed by the United States.) The Associated Press reports: A jungle hideout used by Islamic militants that is believed to be an al-Qaida base was on the verge of falling to Ethiopian and Somali troops, the defense minister said Monday….
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Wednesday, January 03, 2007
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| Edwards and Darfur |
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Democratic presidential candidate John Edwards is a smart politician. He wants to rapidly drawdown U.S. troops in Iraq and escalate our involvement in Darfur. Both positions are extremely popular with Democratic primary voters. On ABC’s This Week, he explained what he’d do to end the atrocities in Darfur: EDWARDS: Well, it depends on what your definition of a moral cause is and what moral leadership is. The kind of things that I'm talking about, I think there would be universal support for. Doing something about the genocide in Sudan and Darfur. Edwards is right. American leadership is often crucial in successfully dealing with the world’s problems. He’s also right that a no-fly zone should be enforced and stiff sanctions should be slapped on Khartoum. But he’s wrong about “universal support for doing something about the genocide in Sudan and Darfur.” Moscow and Beijing (and the Arab League for that matter) haven’t been very helpful. Both governments have coddled Khartoum on the Security Council and have extensive business ties with the regime. So to end the brutality in Darfur any time soon what we’re really talking about is a coalition of the willing, one that targets Khartoum’s economy and aircraft operating in support of its proxy forces in Darfur. America would lead such a coalition and no doubt would be accused of acting “unilaterally” by some governments. So be it.
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Thursday, December 14, 2006
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| (Update) A New U.S. Military Command for Africa? |
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(The Pentagon will establish a new Africa command within two months, reports Reuters.) Posted on October 16, 2006: Going back to the early 1990s, Africa has been a target for al Qaeda. Two letters, dated September 30, 1993 and May 24, 1994, captured during US military operations in Afghanistan related directly to al Qaeda “African Corps” operations in Somalia before and after the U.S. withdrawal in early 1994. Sudan provided a safe harbor for bin Laden before he fled to Afghanistan in 1996, and our embassies in Kenya and Tanzania were bombed in 1998. Since September 11, the Algerian terrorist group GSPC has formally aligned with al Qaeda. And in Somalia, a burgeoning Taliban has emerged that has engaged in an assassination campaign against moderate Muslim scholars, introduced suicide bombing as weapon against their enemies, and closed the doors on media outlets that don’t follow the fundamentalist line. At the same time, the US military has been engaged throughout the continent, so much so that some in the Pentagon believe a separate command for Africa should be created. Reuters reports: The U.S. military is sharpening its focus on counterterrorism in Africa, a top general says, as it faces challenges including a newly announced alliance between a regional militant group and al Qaeda.
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Monday, December 11, 2006
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| America's Helping Hand |
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Stars and Stripes reports: U.S. troops delivering aid to Kenyan flood victims Kofi Annan didn’t get around to any of this in his speech today trashing the U.S.
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Tuesday, November 28, 2006
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| Iran Works for Peace from Somalia to Afghanistan |
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I'm confident the Iranian regime will act even more responsibly if it manages to acquire nuclear weapons. From today’s New York Times: A senior American intelligence official said Monday that the Iranian-backed group Hezbollah had been training members of the Mahdi Army, the Iraqi Shiite militia led by Moktada al-Sadr. From the November 24 Wall Street Journal: Tensions in Tehran are intensifying, leading Afghan officials to worry about potential spillover into their country. Iran has developed a pervasive economic and intelligence capacity inside the Central Asia state, which it could potentially turn against American forces. “They have a destructive capability,” says Said Jawad, Afghanistan’s ambassador to the U.S. From the November 16 New York Times: More than 700 Islamic militants from Somalia traveled to Lebanon in July to fight alongside Hezbollah in its war against Israel, a United Nations report says. The militia in Lebanon returned the favor by providing training and — through its patrons Iran and Syria — weapons to the Islamic alliance struggling for control of Somalia, it adds…. The truth is the UN Security Council could put enormous pressure on Syria and Iran to end all the above, but, regrettably, there’s little chance they’ll do much anytime soon. And so it goes.
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Thursday, November 16, 2006
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| The GWOT Really Is Global |
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Despite the comments of Rep. Pelosi ("The war on terror is the war in Afghanistan”) and DNC chair Howard Dean (Afghanistan “is where the fight on terror is.”), the Global War on Terror is, in fact, global. Today’s New York Times reports: More than 700 Islamic militants from Somalia traveled to Lebanon in July to fight alongside Hezbollah in its war against Israel, a United Nations report says. The militia in Lebanon returned the favor by providing training and — through its patrons Iran and Syria — weapons to the Islamic alliance struggling for control of Somalia, it adds…. I’m confident the UN Security Council will act swiftly against the apparent chief state sponsors of the above – Syria and Iran.
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Thursday, November 02, 2006
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| Same Old Story |
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Reuters reports that Beijing is being its usual helpful self on Darfur. Sudan must first agree before any United Nations peacekeeping force enters its war-wracked Darfur region, China said on Thursday, as its President Hu Jintao met the president of the African state. Last February, Fortune magazine published a piece, ”China's African Safari,” on Beijing’s “benign” activities on the continent. ...African governments view China as a more cooperative partner than the West. China has refused to back regular Western rebukes of African corruption and human-rights abuses and last year used its permanent seat on the UN Security Council to block genocide charges against Sudan--source of about 7% of China's oil--for the massacres in Darfur. "The U.S. will talk to you about governance, about efficiency, about security, about the environment," says Mustafa Bello, head of the Nigerian Investment Promotion Commission, who has visited China seven times. "The Chinese just ask, 'How do we procure this license?'" And so it goes.
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Thursday, October 26, 2006
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| Open Letter on Darfur |
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The Henry Jackson Society has released an open letter “on the crisis in Darfur, signed by fifty-five politicians, opinion formers, academics and journalists, to both raise awareness of this pressing moral and strategic issue, and call on the international community to end ethnic cleansing in Darfur.”
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Wednesday, October 18, 2006
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| On Khartoum's Orders |
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Here are two pieces on Khartoum's support for the Arab militias that are brutalizing the people of Darfur. A defector tells the BBC that the Janjaweed take orders directly from the Sudanese government. "The Janjaweed don't make decisions. The orders always come from the government," he said. The International Herald Tribune also reports on Khartoum’s use of the Arab militias to do its dirty work: The attitudes and general despondency of the Sudanese troops held here underscore why Sudan, despite its large military, well supplied by arms bought from China with Sudan's growing oil wealth, has relied primarily on brutal Arab militias to carry out its grim counterinsurgency campaign against the rebels in Darfur. It was a strategy Sudan perfected in its 20-year civil war in the south, where it used Arab tribal militias as a paramilitary force. The militias terrorized Southern Sudan, razing villages, raping women and kidnapping children. The militias in Darfur, known as the janjaweed, have carried out a similar campaign.What to do? So far, the Arab League isn't interested in doing much. The same holds for China and Russia. But Senators Dole and McCain have some ideas and so do the folks at the International Crisis Group.
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Monday, October 16, 2006
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| A New U.S. Military Command for Africa? |
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Going back to the early 1990s, Africa has been a target for al Qaeda. Two letters, dated September 30, 1993 and May 24, 1994, captured during US military operations in Afghanistan related directly to al Qaeda “African Corps” operations in Somalia before and after the U.S. withdrawal in early 1994. Sudan provided a safe harbor for bin Laden before he fled to Afghanistan in 1996, and our embassies in Kenya and Tanzania were bombed in 1998. Since September 11, the Algerian terrorist group GSPC has formally aligned with al Qaeda. And in Somalia, a burgeoning Taliban has emerged that has engaged in an assassination campaign against moderate Muslim scholars, introduced suicide bombing as weapon against their enemies, and closed the doors on media outlets that don’t follow the fundamentalist line. At the same time, the US military has been engaged throughout the continent, so much so that some in the Pentagon believe a separate command for Africa should be created. Reuters reports: The U.S. military is sharpening its focus on counterterrorism in Africa, a top general says, as it faces challenges including a newly announced alliance between a regional militant group and al Qaeda.
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Thursday, October 12, 2006
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| The Slow Talibanization of Southern Somalia? |
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Here's more evidence from the AP: The U.N. said Thursday it has temporarily pulled international staff out of parts of Somalia controlled by Islamic radicals after receiving written threats.
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Thursday, October 05, 2006
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| (Update) The GSPC and the Terror War in Europe |
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(Today's Washington Post has a lengthy piece on the GSPC. A couple of points: The Post suggests that since 2003 the GSPC “has planted deep roots in Europe [and] in the past year, authorities have broken up cells in France, Germany, Italy, Spain and Switzerland…” But there’s evidence (see below) that the GSPC had its European network up and running by 2000 with the help of al Qaeda-linked Abu Doha. Also, were any GSPC terrorists trained in Iraq prior to the March 2003 invasion? It would be nice to get a conclusive answer one way or the other. The Senate Intelligence Committee doesn’t mention the GSPC in its recent report on Iraq.) Posted on September 14, 2006: The BBC reports on Zawahiri's latest claim "that a radical Algerian Islamist group has joined al-Qaeda and is being urged to punish France.” In the video that aired on a website on September 11, Zawahiri stated: "Osama Bin Laden has told me to announce to Muslims that the GSPC [the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat] has joined al-Qaeda." He called on the Algerian-based terror group to become "a bone in the throat of the American and French crusaders.” The GSPC has since released a statement: “We pledge allegiance to Sheikh Osama Bin Laden... Our soldiers are at his call so that he may strike who and where he likes.” How did the GSPC come about? In 1997, a splinter group emerged from Algeria’s GIA (Armed Islamic Group) called the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat, or GSPC. Stanley Bedlington, who worked counterterrorism for the CIA from 1986 to 1994, told USA Today in December 2001 that "we traced considerable sums of money going from bin Laden to the GIA in Algeria. We believed some of the money came from Iraq." But how close a relationship the GSPC had with al Qaeda before this recent pledge has been difficult to nail down. Some say there wasn’t much of one; others believe the GSPC had close ties to bin Laden. A January 2004 analysis from the Center for Defense Information noted this on the relationship between the GSPC and bin Laden: The Salafist Group for Call and Combat (GSPC) has emerged in recent years as a major source of recruiting and other support for al Qaeda operations in Europe. A splinter faction of the Algerian-based Armed Islamic Group (GIA), the GSPC is engaged simultaneously in efforts to topple Algeria's secular government and to organize high-profile attacks against Western interests on the continent.... The group's possible contact with Saddam’s regime was touched on in the January 2006 Weekly Standard cover piece, "Saddam's Terror Training Camps." Regarding the training of Algerian terrorists, in particular, Stephen Hayes wrote: The secret training took place primarily at three camps--in Samarra, Ramadi, and Salman Pak--and was directed by elite Iraqi military units. Interviews by U.S. government interrogators with Iraqi regime officials and military leaders corroborate the documentary evidence. Many of the fighters were drawn from terrorist groups in northern Africa with close ties to al Qaeda, chief among them Algeria's GSPC and the Sudanese Islamic Army.
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Wednesday, October 04, 2006
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| The Arab League Disgrace in Darfur |
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Hundreds of thousands of non-Arabs have been killed in Darfur, with more killed and displaced every day, and this is the cheap politics being played by Arab governments. From the Associated Press: Maamoun Fandy of the International Institute of Strategic Studies in London said the Arab League is unlikely to push Khartoum on Washington's behalf unless the U.S. changes its policy toward Israel.
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Monday, September 25, 2006
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| "Too Obsessed" |
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President Clinton also claimed on Fox News yesterday that “all the right-wingers” believed he was “too obsessed” with bin Laden, that he “did too much” in going after the al Qaeda head. The reality is a bit different. Many conservatives applauded Clinton’s decision to strike in Sudan and Afghanistan following the 1998 embassy bombings in Africa. In November 1998, for example, Andrew McCarthy wrote a lengthy piece in the Weekly Standard in support of the strikes, but he also explained why the Clinton administration’s overall approach to combating the terror threat was woefully inadequate. Similar to what Reuel Marc Gerecht would argue in the wake of the USS Cole bombing, McCarthy pushed the administration to treat international terrorism as “a military problem, not a criminal-justice issue.” He wrote: Does the administration actually grasp the nature of the threat we face? Following the August 20 retaliatory strikes, secretary of state Madeleine Albright and national security adviser Samuel Berger rejected the predictable "wag the dog" accusations with solemn admonitions that, in terrorism, the United States has suddenly been confronted with a "new war" -- one we would now have to be prepared to fight, alone if necessary. This was exceedingly curious. There is nothing at all "new" about radical Islam's terrorist war against the United States. It has been going on since the late 1980s. It has been openly declared since the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center in Manhattan, which killed six, injured over a thousand, and caused nearly $ 1 billion in damage. Its leaders, moreover, have been promising for more than five years that in pursuing this war, they would kill American civilians and bomb American military installations and embassies overseas….
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Tuesday, September 19, 2006
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| (Update) The GSPC and the Terror War in Europe |
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(I noted in an earlier post that I’d checked to see if any of the material below is discussed and evaluated in the latest Senate Intelligence Committee report. It isn’t. In fact, there’s not a single mention of either group in the report. ) Posted on September 14, 2006: The BBC reports on Zawahiri's latest claim "that a radical Algerian Islamist group has joined al-Qaeda and is being urged to punish France.” In the video that aired on a website on September 11, Zawahiri stated: "Osama Bin Laden has told me to announce to Muslims that the GSPC [the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat] has joined al-Qaeda." He called on the Algerian-based terror group to become "a bone in the throat of the American and French crusaders.” The GSPC has since released a statement: “We pledge allegiance to Sheikh Osama Bin Laden... Our soldiers are at his call so that he may strike who and where he likes.” How did the GSPC come about? In 1997, a splinter group emerged from Algeria’s GIA (Armed Islamic Group) called the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat, or GSPC. Stanley Bedlington, who worked counterterrorism for the CIA from 1986 to 1994, told USA Today in December 2001 that "we traced considerable sums of money going from bin Laden to the GIA in Algeria. We believed some of the money came from Iraq." But how close a relationship the GSPC had with al Qaeda before this recent pledge has been difficult to nail down. Some say there wasn’t much of one; others believe the GSPC had close ties to bin Laden. A January 2004 analysis from the Center for Defense Information noted this on the relationship between the GSPC and bin Laden: The Salafist Group for Call and Combat (GSPC) has emerged in recent years as a major source of recruiting and other support for al Qaeda operations in Europe. A splinter faction of the Algerian-based Armed Islamic Group (GIA), the GSPC is engaged simultaneously in efforts to topple Algeria's secular government and to organize high-profile attacks against Western interests on the continent.... The group's possible contact with Saddam’s regime was touched on in the January 2006 Weekly Standard cover piece, "Saddam's Terror Training Camps." Regarding the training of Algerian terrorists, in particular, Stephen Hayes wrote: The secret training took place primarily at three camps--in Samarra, Ramadi, and Salman Pak--and was directed by elite Iraqi military units. Interviews by U.S. government interrogators with Iraqi regime officials and military leaders corroborate the documentary evidence. Many of the fighters were drawn from terrorist groups in northern Africa with close ties to al Qaeda, chief among them Algeria's GSPC and the Sudanese Islamic Army.
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| The First Suicide Bombing in Somalia? |
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The AP reports: The president of Somalia's interim government narrowly escaped a suicide bomber yesterday — a new tactic in a troubled land where an Islamic militia is vying for power. The leader's brother and 10 others died in the blast and a subsequent gun battle.
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Sunday, September 17, 2006
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| Killing a Nun |
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From Reuters: Gunmen killed an Italian nun at a children's hospital in Mogadishu on Sunday in an attack that drew immediate speculation of links to Muslim anger over the Pope's recent remarks on Islam. Nuns aren’t the only targets. Today, as in other regions of the world, weapons have been increasingly aimed at moderate Muslims. From the BBC: The fighting pits a new group, the Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism, against the Islamic Courts' militia....
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Thursday, September 14, 2006
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| The GSPC and the Terror War in Europe |
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The BBC reports on Zawahiri's latest claim "that a radical Algerian Islamist group has joined al-Qaeda and is being urged to punish France.” In the video that aired on a website on September 11, Zawahiri stated: "Osama Bin Laden has told me to announce to Muslims that the GSPC [the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat] has joined al-Qaeda." He called on the Algerian-based terror group to become "a bone in the throat of the American and French crusaders.” The GSPC has since released a statement: “We pledge allegiance to Sheikh Osama Bin Laden... Our soldiers are at his call so that he may strike who and where he likes.” How did the GSPC come about? In 1997, a splinter group emerged from Algeria’s GIA (Armed Islamic Group) called the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat, or GSPC. Stanley Bedlington, who worked counterterrorism for the CIA from 1986 to 1994, told USA Today in December 2001 that "we traced considerable sums of money going from bin Laden to the GIA in Algeria. We believed some of the money came from Iraq." But how close a relationship the GSPC had with al Qaeda before this recent pledge has been difficult to nail down. Some say there wasn’t much of one; others believe the GSPC had close ties to bin Laden. A January 2004 analysis from the Center for Defense Information noted this on the relationship between the GSPC and bin Laden: The Salafist Group for Call and Combat (GSPC) has emerged in recent years as a major source of recruiting and other support for al Qaeda operations in Europe. A splinter faction of the Algerian-based Armed Islamic Group (GIA), the GSPC is engaged simultaneously in efforts to topple Algeria's secular government and to organize high-profile attacks against Western interests on the continent.... The group's possible contact with Saddam’s regime was touched on in the January 2006 Weekly Standard cover piece, "Saddam's Terror Training Camps." Regarding the training of Algerian terrorists, in particular, Stephen Hayes wrote: The secret training took place primarily at three camps--in Samarra, Ramadi, and Salman Pak--and was directed by elite Iraqi military units. Interviews by U.S. government interrogators with Iraqi regime officials and military leaders corroborate the documentary evidence. Many of the fighters were drawn from terrorist groups in northern Africa with close ties to al Qaeda, chief among them Algeria's GSPC and the Sudanese Islamic Army.
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Wednesday, September 13, 2006
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| (Update) Fighting Corruption as an Anti-Poverty Program |
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(A reader from our good friend Australia writes: I saw your post 'Fighting Corruption as an Anti-Poverty Program' and how "too little attention is given to one of the biggest barriers to lifting nations out of chronic poverty -- rampant government and business corruption."
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Monday, September 11, 2006
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| Is "No Kite Flying" Next? |
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The BBC reports: A Somali radio station has resumed broadcasting after it was closed down by Islamist leaders for playing local love songs.
A Sudanese newspaper editor who was kidnapped by armed men has been found beheaded. Securitywatchertower.com has more here.
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Wednesday, July 26, 2006
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| Why did Saddam's Top Nuke guy go to Niger? |
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Slate's Christopher Hitchens has some interesting material on the Iraqi-Niger yellowcake story.
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Wednesday, July 05, 2006
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| Murdered for Watching the World Cup |
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After capturing Kabul in 1996, it wasn't long before the Taliban imposed a harsh brand of Islam. The capitol’s soccer stadium became a killing field where pre-game festivities included executions and the chopping off of limbs. Today, in southern Somalia, a new Taliban may be emerging. From the BBC: Two people are reported dead after Islamist gunmen in central Somalia opened fire in a cinema where people were watching a banned World Cup match.
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Friday, June 23, 2006
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| Arming the Butchers of Darfur |
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Beijing's been no help on North Korea, coddles Iran and showers the dictatorship in Khartoum with arms that end up in the hands of the killers in Darfur. No doubt China has been a good place to do business but, so far, there’s little evidence that it has changed the character of the regime for the better. The long-term bet is that it will. Let’s hope.
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Saturday, May 06, 2006
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| (Update) The Save Darfur Coalition's Fantasy |
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(Today's Wall Street Journal editorial weighs in on the latest peace initiative. The editors doubt it will hold given the track record of the criminal regime that resides in Khartoum. They also have a message for many of those demanding action to stop the brutality. "There's a lesson here for all of those liberal internationalists who now demand the Administration 'do something' in Darfur: If you want to stop genocide, don't shackle the world's only policeman.") Posted on April 28, 2006: Nearly two years ago I attended a lecture by Samantha Power, author of "A Problem From Hell: America and the Age of Genocide" (a book I highly recommend), at the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum. She spoke on the same day the government of Sudan got a seat on the UN Human Rights Commission. On the negotiations to end the killing in Darfur, Power warned that peace talks are sometimes just cover so nations can look the other way at atrocious behavior. But how do you stop such behavior before it becomes a full-blown genocide and once it does how do you end it before eveyone is murdered or displaced? She answered that what is missing in Darfur, as it was in the Balkans and Rwanda, is the "political will" of the international community to act. Though, citing Iraq, she rejected a "militant unilateralist" approach in favor of a reformed UN armed with a robust force ready to intervene to prevent more Rwandas. This brings me to the superb piece, Crisis Intervention: Iraq, Darfur, and American Power, by The New Republic's Lawrence Kaplan. He writes:
Interestingly, former Clinton official Richard Holbrooke has separated himself from Democrats like Durbin, who have adopted the language of foreign policy "realists." Too bad Durbin and company aren't listening.
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Thursday, May 04, 2006
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| Cashing In |
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Valerie Plame Wilson, the NY Times reports, "is shopping a book proposal among a small group of publishers, according to two people familiar with the project." It will be interesting to read the book's acknowledgements.
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Tuesday, May 02, 2006
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| Meet the Sufis in a Surprising Place |
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"A new atmosphere of increased religious tolerance has spurred a resurgence of Sufism and brought the once-underground Sufis and their rituals out in the open," today's Washington Post reports. Where has this happened? Of all places: Saudi Arabia. Over a year ago, Stephen Schwartz wrote an interesting piece in the Weekly Standard on an underreported sect of Islam known as Sufism. Schwartz described the stark difference between Wahhabism, the dominant religious force in the Saudi kingdom, and Sufism this way: The Muslim world comprises a spectrum of religious interpretations. If, at one end of the continuum, we find the fanatical creed of Wahhabism, cruel and arbitrary, more an Arab-supremacist state ideology than a religious sect, at the other end we find the enlightened traditions of Sufism. These stress not only intra-Islamic dialogue, separation of spiritual from clerical authority, and teaching in the vernacular, but also respect for all believers, whether Muslim, Christian, Jewish, Hindu, Buddhist, or other. Sufis emphasize, above all, their commitment to mutual civility, interaction, and cooperation among believers, regardless of sect. Schwartz continued: At the same time, on human rights grounds, the United States must speak up for Sufis against those who repress them, often violently, especially in Saudi Arabia. To repeat, in the Wahhabi-dominated kingdom, an independent, spiritual Sufi oppositional culture is emerging, with special attraction for young people. Against the backdrop of Saudi fanaticism, including the open support for radical Islam coming from some of Riyadh's richest and most powerful personalities, Sufism exemplifies the Islamic pluralism that, if restored to Saudi Arabia, could shut off the money flow to al Qaeda and its allies worldwide. These are opportunities in the war against terror that the United States would be foolish to miss. But is the "new atmosphere of increased religious tolerance" real or, as one Middle East scholar told me, just "window dressing" by the Saudi Wahhabi establishment to keep the Americans quiet? Regardless, the resurgence of Sufism in other nations is something to watch closely and encourage in the face of Islamic radicalism.
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Friday, April 28, 2006
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| The Save Darfur Coalition's Fantasy |
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Nearly two years ago I attended a lecture by Samantha Power, author of "A Problem From Hell: America and the Age of Genocide" (a book I highly recommend), at the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum. She spoke on the same day the government of Sudan got a seat on the UN Human Rights Commission. On the negotiations to end the killing in Darfur, Power warned that peace talks are sometimes just cover so nations can look the other way at atrocious behavior. But how do you stop such behavior before it becomes a full-blown genocide and once it does how do you end it before eveyone is murdered or displaced? She answered that what is missing in Darfur, as it was in the Balkans and Rwanda, is the "political will" of the international community to act. Though, citing Iraq, she rejected a "militant unilateralist" approach in favor of a reformed UN armed with a robust force ready to intervene to prevent more Rwandas. This brings me to the superb piece, Crisis Intervention: Iraq, Darfur, and American Power, by The New Republic's Lawrence Kaplan. He writes:
Interestingly, former Clinton official Richard Holbrooke has separated himself from Democrats like Durbin, who have adopted the language of foreign policy "realists." Too bad Durbin and company aren't listening.
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Monday, April 24, 2006
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| (Update) The Assassination Campaign Against Moderate Muslim Scholars in Somalia |
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(Agence France Presse has the latest,"Mogadishu tensions soar as Islamists declare jihad on warlords," from Somalia.) Posted on February 20, 2006: Since the early 1990s, al Qaeda has targeted Somalia. Back then, American forces and U.N peacekeepers were the target. Today, as in other regions of the world, they are also increasingly aiming their gun sights on moderate Muslims. From the BBC: The fighting pits a new group, the Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism, against the Islamic Courts' militia....
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Thursday, April 06, 2006
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| The Circus Act Rolls On |
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Saturday, March 25, 2006
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| (Update) The Assassination Campaign Against Moderate Muslim Scholars in Somalia |
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(Though Somalia gets little media attention these days, it remains a battleground for radical Islamists. From Reuters: MOGADISHU - Heavy fighting between rival Somali militia linked to Islamic courts and a new "anti-terror" alliance has killed about 90 people in the last three days in the capital, Mogadishu, residents and local radio said on Friday. Posted on February 20, 2006: Since the early 1990s, al Qaeda has targeted Somalia. Back then, American forces and U.N peacekeepers were the target. Today, as in other regions of the world, they are also increasingly aiming their gun sights on moderate Muslims. From the BBC:
The fighting pits a new group, the Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism, against the Islamic Courts' militia....
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Thursday, March 23, 2006
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| U.S. Ambassador to Nations that Give a Damn |
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Kosovar Albanians don't think much of the UN but they sure like the U.S. and NATO. This was abundantly clear when I was over there last August. They resented the fact that the UN Security Council sat on its hands while Milosevic's forces rampaged throughout the province. They were also well aware that it was American leadership that moved other nations to ignore the Security Council and act against the Serb forces. Of course, back then Russia and China blocked UN action. The Russians had a soft spot for Milosevic, while the folks who brought us Tiananmen Square believed the killings, torched villages and mass exodus of Kosovar Albanians were an "internal" matter. Today, as this Wall Street Journal editorial points out, it's more of the same: Today's leading authority on Darfur is the political philosopher Thomas Hobbes, who prophesied a world "nasty, brutish and short." At least 200,000 civilians have been killed in the past three years and two million more have become refugees. The source of the problem is the Arab rulers in Khartoum, who have pursued an ethnic cleansing campaign against black Muslims in western Sudan. They've equipped the Janjaweed Arab tribesmen to do the dirty work, and that militia is now attacking civilians across the border in Chad, creating 20,000 more refugees. And ABC News reported: The U.N. Security Council remained divided Monday on imposing punitive measures over the conflict in Darfur despite calls for sanctions against Sudanese allegedly blocking peace in the region. Perhaps we should create a new position in our diplomatic corps: Ambassador to Nations that Give a Damn about Atrocities.
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Monday, March 20, 2006
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| New York Times Editors Fail Kerry's "Global Test" on Sudan |
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The Beltway Blitz explains it all here.
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Wednesday, March 15, 2006
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| Sorry About the Massacres, It's Just Business |
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From a Fortune magazine piece on Beijing's activities in Africa: ...African governments view China as a more cooperative partner than the West. China has refused to back regular Western rebukes of African corruption and human-rights abuses and last year used its permanent seat on the UN Security Council to block genocide charges against Sudan--source of about 7% of China's oil--for the massacres in Darfur. "The U.S. will talk to you about governance, about efficiency, about security, about the environment," says Mustafa Bello, head of the Nigerian Investment Promotion Commission, who has visited China seven times. "The Chinese just ask, 'How do we procure this license?'" I'm sure Beijing will be more helpful on the other pressing issues facing the Security Council.
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Wednesday, March 08, 2006
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| (Update) Darfur Intimidation |
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(From Reuters: But after a government-led media campaign against U.N. intervention, nationalist sentiment in Sudan is running high. The pro-government al-Intibaha newspaper has announced the formation of two new Islamist movements threatening to target foreign interests in Darfur, called the Darfur Jihad Organization and the Blood Brigades. The protestors handed a statement to U.N. offices demanding the immediate eviction of the top U.N. envoy in Sudan, Jan Pronk. Sudanese women bearing kalashnikovs joined the march, declaring their readiness to fight foreign troops. The atrocities in Darfur continue. But thanks to Moscow and Beijing the government in Khartoum doesn't have to worry about UN-imposed sanctions. From ABC News: The U.N. Security Council remained divided Monday on imposing punitive measures over the conflict in Darfur despite calls for sanctions against Sudanese allegedly blocking peace in the region. With sanctions off the table, Khartoum is now more brazen in its threats against the deployment of an effective peacekeeping force in Darfur. And, al Qaeda has reportedly made its own threats against such a force. From the Los Angeles Times: Envoy to Sudan Reports Threats U.N.'s Jan Pronk says Al Qaeda has warned him and non-African troops who might go to Darfur. "Nothing rips more at the common fabric of humanity than genocide -- and the only way to assert our own humanity is to stand up to it," wrote New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof, who won't let the world forget about the suffering in Darfur. He continued: President Bush is doing more about Darfur than most other leaders, but that's not saying much. The French are being particularly unhelpful, while other Europeans (including, alas, Tony Blair) seem to wonder whether it's really worth the expense to save people from genocide. Muslim countries are silent about the slaughter of Darfur's Muslims, while China disgraces itself by protecting Sudan in the United Nations and underwriting the genocide with trade. Still, even Mr. Bush is taking only baby steps. As with Rwanda and the Balkans for many years, we have, thus far, failed "to assert our own humanity" in Darfur.
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Saturday, March 04, 2006
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| (Update) An Anti-Corruption Offensive the Left and the Right Should Embrace |
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(The corrupt strike back. From yesterday's Christian Science Monitor: Masked, armed police Thursday stormed the offices of a leading Kenyan media company in a raid seen as punishment for reports criticizing the government's dismal record on corruption. It was odd that one of the biggest barriers to lifting nations out of chronic poverty -- rampant government and business corruption -- didn't appear on the radar screen at the World Economic Forum at Davos a few weeks back. There wasn't a single panel discussion on a problem that some say costs poorer nations up to twenty-five percent of their national income. Nonetheless, instigated by people tired of empty promises, horrible living conditions, and out-right thievery an anti-corruption wave, has gathered some momentum. The BBC reported on this campaign over the weekend. While today's Washington Post reports on anti-corruption efforts in Kenya -- "'We're a thirsty land of empty promises. Other countries have droughts and you never see their people dying,' Ciira said in this town 50 miles northwest of Nairobi. As she spoke, people gathered around her, some waving copies of one of Kenya's daily newspapers, the Nation, with a three-page spread detailing the largest scandals." -- and at the World Bank under the leadership of Paul Wolfowitz. The bank has frozen lending to Chad, whose government had reneged on a promise to spend its oil revenue on poverty reduction. Although Chad is a small country, the frozen loans were high-profile: They were an attempt to defy the "curse of oil" and make petrodollars serve development. It took some courage to admit that the curse of oil remained unbroken.
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Friday, March 03, 2006
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| Darfur Intimidation |
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The atrocities in Darfur continue. But thanks to Moscow and Beijing the government in Khartoum doesn't have to worry about UN-imposed sanctions. From ABC News: The U.N. Security Council remained divided Monday on imposing punitive measures over the conflict in Darfur despite calls for sanctions against Sudanese allegedly blocking peace in the region. With sanctions off the table, Khartoum is now more brazen in its threats against the deployment of an effective peacekeeping force in Darfur. And, al Qaeda reportedly makes its own threats against such a force. From the Los Angeles Times: Envoy to Sudan Reports Threats U.N.'s Jan Pronk says Al Qaeda has warned him and non-African troops who might go to Darfur. "Nothing rips more at the common fabric of humanity than genocide -- and the only way to assert our own humanity is to stand up to it," wrote New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof, who won't let the world forget about the suffering in Darfur. He continued: President Bush is doing more about Darfur than most other leaders, but that's not saying much. The French are being particularly unhelpful, while other Europeans (including, alas, Tony Blair) seem to wonder whether it's really worth the expense to save people from genocide. Muslim countries are silent about the slaughter of Darfur's Muslims, while China disgraces itself by protecting Sudan in the United Nations and underwriting the genocide with trade. Still, even Mr. Bush is taking only baby steps. As with Rwanda and the Balkans for many years, we have, thus far, failed "to assert our own humanity" in Darfur.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2006
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| The Russia-China Alliance |
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If Iran strikes a nuclear agreement with Russia, it won't be a shock to learn that Moscow also agreed (perhaps in a Gore-like secret side deal) to block any substantial Security Council action against Tehran. Beijing may also be in on the deal given China's huge energy interests in Iran. Such a deal would help Iran guard against the possibility that the West rejects the nuclear agreement and goes for UN sanctions against Tehran. To see the Moscow-Beijing alliance in action, look no further than Sudan. From ABC News: The U.N. Security Council remained divided Monday on imposing punitive measures over the conflict in Darfur despite calls for sanctions against Sudanese allegedly blocking peace in the region. Perhaps Bolton haters can lighten up a bit and support him on this one.
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Tuesday, February 21, 2006
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| Confusing Times |
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From the BBC: A curfew has been imposed in Bauchi in northern Nigerian after at least 13 people were killed in a sectarian riot. It began as an argument between a teacher and a pupil over the confiscation of a Koran in school. From the caption accompanying a photo in a Washington Post piece on rioters in Afghanistan: "Ataullah Najafi, ... in Herat, in West Afghanistan, shows the remains of hundreds of Korans burned by Sunni rioters who descended on the mosque on Feb. 9.
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Monday, February 20, 2006
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| The Assassination Campaign Against Moderate Muslim Scholars in Somalia |
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Since the early 1990s, radical Islamists have targeted Somalia. Back then, American forces and U.N peacekeepers were the target. Today, as in other regions of the world, they are also increasingly aiming their gun sights on moderate Muslims. From the BBC: The fighting pits a new group, the Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism, against the Islamic Courts' militia....
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Saturday, February 18, 2006
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| "Paradox of Poverty in the Midst of Plenty" |
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The BBC reports on the anti-corruption campaigns being launched by many African nations. Corruption costs African countries an estimated 25% of its combined national income, Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo said - some $148bn a year.
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Wednesday, February 15, 2006
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| What Newly Released al Qaeda Letters on Somalia/U.S. Withdrawal Tell Us |
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The Combating Terrorism Center at West Point has posted on its web site several al Qaeda-related documents that have been "captured in the course of operations supporting the GWOT." Two letters, dated September 30, 1993 and May 24, 1994, relate directly to al Qaeda operations in Somalia. The letters are from "Hassan al-Tajiki" to the "African Corps." Assuming their authenticity, the letters are consistent with the propaganda of bin Laden in the 1990s that Mogadishu and other events showed that America was "a paper tiger" and "a weak horse." He and his followers would use such imagery as a recruiting tool for al Qaeda, "the strong horse" in bin Laden's words, throughout the 1990s. In fact, though little reported in the media, al Qaeda had recruited and trained thousands before September 11, 2001. Indeed, Richard Clarke told PBS' Frontline that by the end of 2000 al Qaeda had a presence "in probably between 50-60 countries [and] that they had trained thousands, perhaps over 10,000 terrorists at the camps in Afghanistan." The September 30, 1993 letter called for attacks "to expel" US forces "from Somalia." (Later, a U.S. government indictment charged that bin Laden and other al Qaeda members had trained those who attacked the U.S. Rangers.) Therefore, the most important need is to expel them from Somalia, even were a semi-Islamic, semi-democratic, semi-etc. government subsequently to assume power.... The May 24, 1994 letter congratulates the Africa Corps for the "great victory" in the American withdrawal. It notes that the "victory in Somalia over the Americans has profound implications ideologically, politically, and psychologically..." and that the U.S. "fled in panic before their true capabilities could be exposed." Furthermore, "the Somali experience confirmed the spurious nature of American power and that it has not recovered from the Vietnam complex. It fears getting bogged down in a real war that would reveal its psychological collapse at the level of personnel and leadership. Since Vietnam America has been seeking easy battles that are completely guaranteed." We congratulate you, ourselves, and all Muslims for that great victory in the land of Islamic Somalia.... What's clear is that the supposed "stability" of the 1990s was illusory.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2006
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| The New York Times On The GSPC Terrorist Arrests In Spain |
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Tuesday, January 10, 2006
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| Algerian Terrorists, bin Laden & Saddam's Training Camps |
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From a December 3, 2001 USA Today piece>: Saddam, under intense international scrutiny after the Gulf War, also had strong ties to Khartoum, and Iraqi intelligence was well represented in the stew of Islamic radicals, insurrectionists and foreign agents pouring through the city. Fast forward to the current Weekly Standard cover piece, "Saddam's Terror Training Camps." Regarding the training of Algerian terrorists, in particular, Stephen Hayes has uncovered the following: THE FORMER IRAQI REGIME OF Saddam Hussein trained thousands of radical Islamic terrorists from the region at camps in Iraq over the four years immediately preceding the U.S. invasion, according to documents and photographs recovered by the U.S. military in postwar Iraq. The existence and character of these documents has been confirmed to THE WEEKLY STANDARD by eleven U.S. government officials. Key Question By 1997, a splinter group emerged from the GIA (Armed Islamic Group) called the Salafi Group for Call and Combat, or GSPC. But exactly what was the relationship between the GSPC and al Qaeda? Some say not much; others say the GSPC had very close ties to bin Laden. Well, consider what the Center for Defense Information, a liberal think tank in Washington, DC, had to say on the issue of a connection between the GSPC and bin Laden: The Salafist Group for Call and Combat (GSPC) has emerged in recent years as a major source of recruiting and other support for al Qaeda operations in Europe. A splinter faction of the Algerian-based Armed Islamic Group (GIA), the GSPC is engaged simultaneously in efforts to topple Algeria's secular government and to organize high-profile attacks against Western interests on the continent.... To be continued...
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Saturday, December 03, 2005
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| Great News, D - Day Museum Reopened Today in New Orleans, Home of the Higgins Landing Craft Manufacturer |
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If you ever get the chance, go visit this outstanding tribute to America's World War II generation.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2005
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| Spain's Socialist Leader Flops on the World Stage, an Aide Blames Israel |
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Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero hosted a European-Mediterranean summit that ends "with a murmur." From the Los Angeles Times: The desperation of the summit hosts to achieve agreement, any agreement, was revealed during a break in deliberations. A microphone had been left on near Zapatero, and a top aide complained to him that the Israelis were intractable and that the other members were "ready to throw in the towel."
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Wednesday, November 09, 2005
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| Democracy Advances in Liberia with the Help of the International Republican Institute (IRI) |
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Most Americans haven't heard of the International Republican Institute but for over 20 years IRI has helped advance democracy in the world. IRI has monitored elections in over 160 nations with little or no history in democracy -- and supports democracy efforts in many others. IRI recently sent a delegation to observe Liberia's election and issued its preliminary report here.
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Saturday, October 29, 2005
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| Joe Wilson's "Vanity Fair" Hell |
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Gee, it must have been pure hell for Joe Wilson doing that glamorous photo spread in Vanity Fair
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Thursday, October 20, 2005
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| Another Media Distortion: Joe Wilson Didn't Uncover Forgeries and Didn't "Debunk" Much of Anything |
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The media distortions and outright falsehoods just keep on coming. For example, the New York Daily News claims that Joe Wilson debunked a key claim in a speech by President Bush that Iraq sought nuclear materials in Africa…. When Wilson was sent by his wife to Africa to research the claims, he showed the documents claiming Saddam tried to buy the uranium were forgeries. Actually, Wilson had no role in identifying the forgeries. As Stephen Hayes points out, Wilson's trip to Niger took place in February 2002, some eight months before the U.S. government received the phony Iraq-Niger documents in October 2002. So it is not possible, as he told the Washington Post, that he advised the CIA that "the dates were wrong and the names were wrong." And it is not possible, as Wilson claimed to the New York Times, that he debunked the documents as forgeries. And the Senate's 2004 bipartisan Report on the U.S. Intelligence Community's Prewar Intelligence Assessments on Iraq concluded: Page 45 The former ambassador also told Committee staff that he was the source of a Washington Post article…which said, "among the Envoy's conclusions was that the documents may have been forged because 'the dates were wrong and the names were wrong.'" Committee staff asked how the former ambassador could have come to the conclusion that the "dates were wrong and the names were wrong" when he had never seen the CIA reports and had no knowledge of what names and dates were in the reports. The Daily News' assertion that Wilson "debunked a key claim in a speech by President Bush" is just plain old bunk. Most intelligence analysts believed his trip "lent more credibility" to reports that Iraq was seeking uranium from Niger, and the CIA continued to approve the use of the Iraq-Niger-Uranium language "in Administration publications and speeches, including the State of the Union." The same Senate report states: The report on the former ambassador's trip to Niger, disseminated in March 2002, did not change any analysts' assessments of the Iraq-Niger uranium deal. For most analysts, the information in the report lent more credibility to the original Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) reports on the uranium deal, but State Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR) analysts believed that the report supported their assessment that Niger was unlikely to be wiling or able to sell uranium to Iraq. Conclusion 12 (page 72) Until October 2002 when the Intelligence Community obtained the forged foreign language documents on the Iraq-Niger uranium deal, it was reasonable for analysts to assess that Iraq may have been seeking uranium from Africa based on Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) reporting and other available intelligence. Conclusion 19 (page 77) Even after obtaining the forged documents and being alerted by a State Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR) analyst about problems with them, analysts at both the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) did not examine them carefully enough to see the obvious problems with the documents. Both agencies continued to publish assessments that Iraq may have been seeking uranium from Africa. In addition, CIA continued to approve the use of similar language in Administration publications and speeches, including the State of the Union.
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