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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
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| The Coming Immigration Fight? |
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In the middle of an article on an apparent (though also superficial and largely irrelevant) GOP split, Thomas B. Edsall writes that immigration is "an issue likely to be taken up by Congress next year." I have my doubts, since it's unlikely that House members, in an election year, will be eager to vote on an immigration bill that includes some sort of amnesty. Still, let's imagine that the president's agenda on health care, cap and trade, financial regulation, and the budget all go swimmingly, and Obama retains the political capital to push for an immigration overhaul along the lines of what Bush attempted in 2006 and 2007. Who knows? Stranger things have happened. Yet Michael Barone points out today that, when it comes to immigration, "the facts on the ground have changed." Writes Barone: "The surge of illegal immigrants into the United States, which seemed to be unrelenting for most of the last two decades, seems to be over, at least temporarily, and there's a chance it may never resume." Why? Three reasons, says Barone. First, border security and enforcement isn't pretty, but it does work. Second, the recession has diminished the demand for unskilled labor, thereby shrinking supply. And third, the recent immigrant experience in America hasn't been fun. Jobs dried up. Immigrants encountered public hostility. The real estate bubble popped, and the dreams of many immigrants to own their own home vanished with it. "I think we might, at a time when high unemployment means we have less need for unskilled workers, have to consider moving away from family reunification and toward high skill levels in our criteria for legal immigration, as Canada and Australia already do," Barone concludes. Too true, but Democrats oppose such a shift, so skill-based immigration isn't likely any time soon. It's far more likely that the president will go ahead and try to pass, for the third time, something like McCain-Kennedy. And if he did that, history suggests he'd be effectively begging for more angry town halls and a major legislative defeat. ![]()
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Thursday, January 08, 2009
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| The Minds of the Mumbai Murderers |
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Yesterday The Hindu, an Indian newspaper, released a leaked copy of the dossier the Indian government put together on the Mumbai attacks and sent to the Pakistani government. Included in these documents are recorded phone conversations between the Mumbai terrorists and their handlers in Pakistan. The handlers kept in constant contact with the terrorists and provided orders and advice. I excerpted some of the more chilling recordings at The Long War Journal . The exchange between the handlers and the terrorist at the Trident Hotel perfectly encapsulated the nature of our enemies: cold, calculating, cunning, manipulative, no regard for human life, sadistic. The exchange is below is between the Two terrorists at the Trident, Abdul Rehman and Fahadullah, and two handlers, one named Kafa and the other who is unidentified. This transcript speaks for itself:
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Thursday, April 03, 2008
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| Amnesty Debate Derailed... by McCain? |
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I've written before on Congressman Heath Shuler's claim that John McCain has quietly intervened to discourage House Republicans from forcing a debate on immigration. I've argued that the claim is implausible, since 175 out of 198 Republicans have signed a discharge petition designed to force a debate, compared to just 10 Democrats. If McCain is discouraging Republicans from signing the petition, he's obviously not being very effective. McCain's staff also denies the claim. Further, the debate would/will be very painful for Democrats. So Democratic leaders who want to avoid the bill have reason to try and throw up some dust. With this prologue, Roll Call today reports that several House Democrats claim at least one Republican refused to sign on because of McCain's opposition:
But read the rest of the piece, and you see that the Democrats weren't talking about the Shuler border enforcement bill per se; they plan to use support for the Shuler bill to force a new debate over comprehensive immigration reform:
So McCain's team says that he didn't intervene, while Democrats continue to claim that he did. In either case, it seems that the Democratic leadership is dead-set against a simple up or down vote on Shuler's enforcement bill. Instead, if the discharge petition gets to 218 signatures, we'll be treated to a comprehensive reform debate.
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Thursday, March 27, 2008
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| McCain Blocks Immigration Enforcement? |
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Congressman Heath Shuler (D-NC) is claiming that John McCain has been pressing Republicans not to sign onto the discharge petition for his legislation to enhance immigration enforcement. In considering the likelihood that this is true, let's look at the reality of the situation: A discharge petition needs 218 signatures to bring a bill to the floor. The petition was filed just 4 legislative days ago -- on March 11, with March 14 being the last day to add signatures before Easter recess. In those 4 days, Republicans got 172 signatures (out of 198 Republicans in the House). In the same time, the Democrats got 9 signatures for the petition (out of 49 cosponsors of the legislation). We know there's heavy pressure from senior liberal Democrats not to sign the petition. So the petition has been signed by 90 percent of all Republicans in the House, and by less than 20 percent of all its Democratic sponsors. Shuler seems to be more concerned with CYA and blame spreading than with getting the bill to the floor.
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Thursday, March 06, 2008
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| Dem Immigration Infighting Heats Up |
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The Politico reports on a dustup on the House floor between Representatives Heath Shuler (D-NC) and Debbie Wasserman-Schulz (D-FL):
I've written on this several times lately -- including one Democratic representative comparing immigration officials to gestapo agents. It's beginning to look like a Greek tragedy -- one the Democrats can foresee a mile away, but are unable to avoid. That's because there's a basic tension between red state Democrats who want to boost re-election prospects, and liberal Democrats who regard the whole topic as race-baiting. With Republicans preparing to force a debate on the Shuler bill, things may be coming to a head:
The Politico reports that it's unclear that Republicans will get the signatures they need to force a debate -- at least right now. But painful as the debate might be, Speaker Pelosi ought to consider getting this debate out of the way. After all, if a discharge petition falls short today, it isn't going to go away as the pressure of election day draws closer. Do House Democrats really want to let a difficult issue like this fester, if it may come back to haunt them later? ![]()
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Wednesday, February 27, 2008
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| Are Immigration Officials Gestapo Agents? |
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I've written before that House Democrats seem headed for a painful immigration debate that exposes the fault lines between the moderates elected in 2006 -- who want to protect their seats by passing legislation to get tough on illegal immigration -- and the lliberals and latinos who favor 'earned legalization.' Well, it looks like the depth of the split is already on display in the subcommittee that funds immigration enforcement:
Congratulations Sam Farr, on being the first to prove Godwin's Law. But perhaps you ought to direct your anger at Chairman Price, who seems eager to see ICE get tougher on the illegal immigrants who are the target of worksite enforcement. Your message might get a more receptive hearing if the man who funds ICE wasn't sending the opposite signal. Chairman Price offers an instructive lesson of how strong the feeling is about illegal immigration right now. He represents the research triangle of North Carolina, and taught at Duke. He has a career 'F' grade from the anti-illegal immigration group Numbers USA, and does equally poorly on the FAIR scorecard. But in the current political climate, even he wants to be seen as doing more to fight illegal immigration. This incident presages what will likely be a nasty and unavoidable fight within the party later this year.
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Saturday, February 16, 2008
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| GOP Won't Force Immigration Fight... For Now |
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I suppose they may be waiting for a more politically-opportune time. Once Senator McCain clarifies his stance -- specifically, would he oppose any 'comprehensive' bill that may pass the House as a result of this debate -- they will better understand the political calculus: Rumors to the contrary, Rep. Brian P. Bilbray of California says Republicans have no plans to force Democrats into voting on an immigration enforcement measure written by one of their own. If a majority of the House (a total of 218 Members) signs a discharge petition, the leadership is required to schedule a prompt vote on the measure. The vote need not be simply up-or-down, the House would likely consider amendments and alternatives. So if/when Republicans decide it's in their political interest to have an immigration debate, they could quickly get about 200 signatures. They would then pressure moderate Democrats, red-state Democrats, and swing seat Democrats to sign as well. The 'right' time to press for a vote would probably be shortly before the election -- when there's the greatest potential to either force a wedge between latinos and the Democratic party, or to show targeted Democrats as 'soft' on immigration. If the Democratic leadership is wise, they won't wait for a discharge petition to force the debate on them, but will hold it when it suits them.
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Monday, February 11, 2008
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| Democrats to Revive 'Comprehensive' Immigration Reform? |
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From Roll Call:
The immigration debate last year showed that this is a huge political minefield for Democrats, but it may be unavoidable for them. There are a number of moderate Democrats who think that they are vulnerable for re-election this year on the issue of illegal immigration, and they feel compelled to push for further measures to deter it. Their legislative vehicle -- so far -- is Congressman Heath Shuler's SAVE bill, which is cosponsored by dozens of moderate Democrats, and which has already got him in hot water with House liberals. But the strategy seems to be to join Shuler instead of trying to beat him. If they can come up with a politically-salable compromise that moves the country toward 'earned legalization,' then they'll take the half-a-loaf. However, House Republicans with whom I've spoken say there's no chance that they'll compromise on a measure that can in any way be characterized as amnesty (or 'amnesty lite'). This is a dangerous debate for Democrats. It splits their caucus and raises the profile of an issue that may bite them in November. By raising it during the presidential campaign, they may force their candidates to take a position that's bound to anger part of their constituency. It also makes things more interesting on the Republican side, as presumptive nominee John McCain has previously supported this approach. Having now declared that there needs to be a consensus that the borders are secure before addressing legalization, how will he vote if such a measure passes the House?
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Friday, February 01, 2008
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| Democrats Back Bush Increases in Border Spending? |
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If Democratic leaders like Robert Byrd and David Price speak for many of their colleagues, it may not matter much if a 'pro-amnesty' candidate wins the presidency this year:
Votes on these proposals are likely to generate conflict among Democrats in the months ahead. Latinos and Democratic liberals have clashed with moderate Democrats they see as pandering to anti-immigration sentiment. When the House and Senate consider appropriations bills this year, there are sure to be votes on the increases proposed by the president. In an election year such as this one, these votes could prove problematic for Democrats, and perhaps for Republicans as well.
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Thursday, January 17, 2008
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| Chertoff Gets Around Congress to Enforce Immigration Law |
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While we've covered it here, the attempt by Congress to defer implementation of the Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative has gotten surprisingly little attention. The WHTI requires all citizens of the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Bermuda to have a passport or other accepted ID that establishes the bearer’s identity and nationality, to enter or depart the United States from within the Western Hemisphere. Yesterday DHS Secretary Michael Chertoff announced that while Congress has blocked full implementation of the initiative, the administration is narrowing the range of documents that can be used to gain entry at land ports, and reducing the number of cases in which an individual can simply assert citizenship to enter without ID:
The Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative fulfills one of the recommendations of the 9/11 commission. The commission noted that it's impossible to know who is entering the United States when so many forms of identification are accepted for entry, with most being easy to fake. Given that Congressional leaders cite implementation of the 9/11 Commission recommendations as one of their signature achievements of 2007, it's stunning that they moved to block full implementation of the initiative. Chertoff has spoken in the past on the problem and the need for reform:
It's simply incredible that more than six years after the 9/11 attacks, anyone can enter the U.S. by asserting that he or she is a citizen, and fooling a border guard. It's even more incredible that Congress has attempted to block the administration from remedying this--when they ought to be screaming for it to be fixed more quickly. The reform that DHS is about to implement is a step in the right direction, at least.
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Friday, January 11, 2008
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| Is the Border Fence About to Get New Prominence? |
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Jim Geraghty reports on the addition of Jim Pinkerton to Governor Huckabee's team.
Regular readers will recall that Jim Pinkerton's latest project is an effort to get Republican candidates at the federal level to commit to completing a border fence by a date certain. Not surprisingly, Huckabee has already pledged to complete the border fence promptly upon taking office. Look for the pledge to be featured more prominently in the Huckabee campaign in the days ahead.
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Wednesday, January 09, 2008
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| Candidates Challenged to 'Border Fence Pledge' |
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In the last few years, Republicans in Washington have tried to act--or if you're a cynic, appear to act--to stem the flow of illegal immigrants into the United States. Shortly before the 2006 midterm election, the Republican-led Congress approved 700 miles of double-layered border fence, only to see the current Congress largely gut the measure in 2007. Other legislation has funded enhanced border security. But as Congress has done a two-steps-forward-one-step-back border enforcement dance, the public seems to be becoming impatient for more. Public opinion polls show that as the war in Iraq has faded somewhat as a priority for voters, a range of domestic issues are rising in importance--among them illegal immigration. In yesterday's voting in New Hampshire for example, exit polls showed that illegal immigration was a priority for the state's Republican primary voters (and illegal crossings aren't exactly a big problem in the state). Congressional Republicans have been saying for months that illegal immigration is invariably the top issue at townhall meetings--all across the country. What can Republicans in Washington do to address these concerns? Newsday columnist and Fox News contributor Jim Pinkerton has one possible answer: pledge to complete the double-layer border fence within six months of the convening of the next Congress. The pledge is explained and publicized at his fencebydatecertain blog. Early backers of the pledge include Congressman Walter Jones and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee. Pinkerton's effort--if successful--will force Republican candidates to take a firm stand on the border fence, and implicitly on tough enforcement in general. In a session yesterday at the Heritage Foundation, Pinkerton analogized it to the 'no new taxes' pledge pioneered by Grover Norquist of Americans for Tax Reform and, like Norquist, Pinkerton would make the pledge a litmus test for Republican candidates at the federal level. Given the strong feelings among core Republican voters, there might even be pressure to incorporate the fence pledge into the Republican candidate's platform--or in any agenda that Congressional Republicans may promise in 2008. Read also Joe Mansour's post at TechRepublican.
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Wednesday, November 14, 2007
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| Hope You're Not Counting on That Tax Refund |
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The Wall Street Journal reports that it is becoming more and more likely that millions of taxpayers will see processing of their 2007 returns delayed due to Congress' inability to pass a fix for the Alternative Minimum Tax:
Sure, Congress has been unable to pass a simple tax fix, but at least they've found time to hold 40 votes on Iraq. Your tax dollars at work.
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Tuesday, August 28, 2007
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| More on Petraeus's 'Jedi Mind Trick' Abilities |
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Yesterday I pointed out that the lefty bloggers seem to regard Congressman Jerry McNerney as a weak-minded victim of General David Petraeus's 'Jedi Mind Trick'. Today it seems that Brian Baird was also seduced by the Dark Side:
Just a few months ago the left was enraged that George Bush stuck to the same plan in Iraq regardless of changing facts. Ultimately, of course, the lack of success in Iraq led him to switch commanders and plans, with positive results. Yet it's the left which now calls on their leaders in Congress to ignore the results and stick with the same plan--regardless of facts. More importantly, can Speaker Pelosi and Majority Leader Reid risk allowing General Petraeus to testify on the results of Operation Phantom Thunder in open session? How many simpletons are there among Congressional Democrats, who might be fooled as easily as McNerney and Baird?
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Monday, July 16, 2007
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| Germany Reforms, Immigrant Groups React |
![]() Merkel holds a copy of the Turkish daily Hurriyet. Last Thursday in Berlin, German Chancellor Angela Merkel hosted the country’s second "Integration Summit," which saw representatives attend from various immigrant associations representing the more than 7 million foreigners currently living in Germany. But several of the major groups representing Germany's 2.6 million-strong Turkish community decided to boycott the high-level gathering. Further, they threatened to no longer participate in such meetings unless the German government repealed new, more restrictive immigration reform legislation. Chancellor Merkel was quick to condemn the Turkish boycott and strongly rejected any attempt to coerce the German government into revoking the bill. At the Summit, she also promised to provide €750 million ($1.1 billion) in new funding for various integration measures, including German language and culture courses and sports activities for youth. Commentators from Germany’s leading newspapers were divided over whether the Turkish groups were justified in boycotting the Integration Summit or whether this was just further evidence that Germany's Turkish community has no real interest in integration. From the Turkish perspective, the most controversial aspect of Germany’s immigration reform package--which was passed by both houses of parliament earlier this year but has yet to be signed into law by the German President--concerns new provisions restricting the ability of foreigners to have their foreign-born spouses move to Germany permanently. First, foreigners in Germany will have to wait until their spouses are at least 18 years old before they can bring them into the country. Second, all spouses will be required to demonstrate basic German language skills before they are allowed to move to Germany. In particular, these two new provisions attempt to clamp down on a very disturbing practice that has prevented the successful integration of Germany’s growing Muslim community for far too long. In Germany (like in other European countries) Muslim immigrants have “imported” their young brides--who generally come from rural areas, have low levels of education, speak no German, and are sometimes only 15 or 16 years old--through arranged marriages. In this context, German authorities are also increasingly concerned about forced marriages involving young women and girls from Turkey and other Muslim countries being married against their will to foreigners in Germany. Obviously, the line between “arranged marriages” and “forced marriages” can be very blurry. In her bestselling 2005 book Die Fremde Braut (The Strange Bride), Turkish-German sociologist and women’s rights activist Necla Kelet provided a powerful account of the plight of young Turkish women sent to Germany to marry men they've never met before and to live in a country where they do not speak the language. Kelet’s book and similar publications by other Turkish-German authors like Seyran Ates and Serap Cileli are based on interviews, sociological studies, as well as partly on autobiographical material. For obvious reasons, though, it is very difficult to obtain and assess the true extent of the problem as Turkish women in Germany are often too afraid to speak out and seek legal protection in response to abuse. But Kelet’s book, in particular, has triggered a barrage of criticism. Several Turkish-German academics and journalists have accused her of overstating the extent of forced marriages by taking isolated incidents out of context and making generalized statements about the Turkish population in Germany at large. The influential Turkish newspaper Hurriyet, which has a circulation of more than 500,000 in Germany alone, accused the authors of insulting Turkish women, making the Turkish community look bad, and reconfirming German prejudices against Turks by making generalizations. But Germany’s respected conservative Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung newspaper, responded that Hurriyet’s actions amounted to a smear campaign.
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Wednesday, May 30, 2007
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| Parliamentary Maneuver Adds Another Hurdle for Immigration Bill |
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Go over and read how Ed Morrissey's innocent question to Sen. John McCain in a media conference call led to a significant new hurdle for the Senate immigration bill. This is the end result: House conservatives are ready to stop the Senate immigration bill in its tracks with a potent procedural weapon should the contentious measure win passage in the upper chamber. The trump card conservatives may hold is a constitutional rule that revenue-related bills must originate in the House. The Senate immigration measure requires that illegal immigrants pay back taxes before becoming citizens, opening the door to a House protest, dubbed a 'blue slip' for the color of its paper. This has happened before. In fact, it happened less than a year ago, with the same piece of legislation. The Senate included a provision in its version of the immigration bill to require the repayment of back taxes. This led the House to 'Blue Slip' the measure, forcing the Senate leadership to find a procedural work-around. The Senate is not entirely without moves of its own that it can make. The House has passed a few tax bills this year that the Senate might 'amend' by adding the immigration bill. This would create a significantly broader piece of legislation--but it would technically satisfy the Congressional stipulation that revenue bills originate in the House of Representatives. Alternately, leaders from the House and Senate might strike a bargain in advance, and have the Senate strip the tax provisions before sending the measure to the House--with the understanding that the House would add them back in later. Lastly, Don Wolfensberger--a former Staff Director for the House Rules Committee and a procedural whiz--wrote last year ($) that the House can vote to ignore the violation--more or less: If the Senate, either intentionally or inadvertently, originates a revenue-raising bill, any Member of the House has the option of calling up a 'blue-slip resolution' (named after the color of paper it is printed on after passage) to send the measure back to the Senate. The resolution gets immediate consideration as a matter of constitutional privilege, is debatable for an hour and is not subject to amendment (though it may be tabled or referred to committee). If the political will exists, there are several ways for the Senate to eliminate this problem and expedite passage of the measure. However, for legislation that's none too popular already, this is a problem its proponents ought to have tried harder to avoid.
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Tuesday, January 02, 2007
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| The Swift Raid |
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Tamar Jacoby of the Manhattan Institute explains why our immigration system needs a complete overhaul -- not just a fence.
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Wednesday, December 13, 2006
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| Bonilla Goes Down |
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Hotline reports: It's official... AP has called TX 23. Ex-Dem Rep. Ciro Rodriguez is coming back to Congress. With 94% of precincts reporting, Rodriguez leads GOP Rep. Henry Bonilla 55-45%…. Here’s what George Will had to say a few months back on the possible long-term political damage to the GOP: So, safely assuming that the House-Senate conference fails to produce a compromise acceptable to both houses, when Congress returns to Washington after the Labor Day recess, the House may again pass essentially what it passed in December…. Will also wrote: [C]onservatives should favor reducing illegality by putting illegal immigrants on a path out of society's crevices and into citizenship by paying fines and back taxes and learning English…. [I]t would prevent the emergence of a sullen, simmering subculture of the permanently marginalized, akin to the Arab ghettos in France. The House-passed bill, making it a felony to be in the country illegally, would make 11 million people permanently ineligible for legal status. To what end? I support tough border security, but the House GOP’s immigration stance was a mistake – on political and policy grounds – in my view. They would have had a lot of leverage going into conference with the Senate on immigration to get something done. I suspect they would have even won a phased comprehensive bill where border security would have come first followed by the phasing in of the other measures contained in the Senate bill. It was a missed opportunity.
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Monday, November 27, 2006
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| How to Lose the Colorado Senate Seat |
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Have Rep. Tom Tancredo face off against Mark Udall for the Allard seat. From the Denver Post: The buzz in U.S. Senate circles is that Wayne Allard might honor his pledge to serve just two terms and retire to that new home he and his wife, Joan, are building in Jackson County…. Speaking of immigration, CNN has just released a presidential poll of GOP voters. The result: Giuliani, 33%, McCain, 30%, Gingrich, 9%, and Romney, 9%. Rudy and McCain both hold the president’s view on immigration; Newt and Romney agree on immigration and oppose the president’s position. Yet, the polls consistently show Giuliani and McCain with a large share of the GOP vote. Does this suggest that the views of rank-and-file Republicans on immigration may be more varied than those on talk radio and in the blogoshere? Perhaps.
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Wednesday, November 15, 2006
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| Novak on the Election Fallout |
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His comments on immigration, the party leadership races, and 2008 may be found here.
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Monday, November 13, 2006
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| Giuliani: Pass Immigration Reform |
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Rudy hasn't wavered in his support for stronger border security plus broader immigration reform. From the Times Leader (PA): He recommended that political leaders “do immigration reform” before the 2008 Presidential election cycle begins because it should be easy for both sides to agree on such legislation. “I think that would restore people’s confidence in government (to) get something done,” he said….
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Wednesday, November 08, 2006
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| Against Delusions |
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Here's a novel take on the election results that I couldn't disagree with more. And here's an alternative view: Burns lost because of Jack Abramoff. Chaffee lost because heavily Democratic R.I. loathes the GOP national leadership. Corruption has hollowed out the Ohio GOP, which, in turn, impacted the campaign of Mike DeWine – and that of Ken Blackwell for that matter. Sen. Allen didn’t run much of an ideological campaign, except on immigration where he ran many ads against “amnesty” – a campaign tactic that also failed fellow Virginia GOPer Jerry Kilgore, who lost his gubernatorial election bid to Tim Kaine. Santorum didn’t lose by 18 points because of the “Gang of 14” or the Senate's failure to rubber stamp the House immigration bill. In the House, the swirl of corruption cost a number of seats, as did immigration. Speaking of, today’s Wall Street Journal notes that among Hispanics, “some 27 percent voted Republican – an 11-percentage-point drop from the prior mid-term election in 2002.” Of course, hovering over all this – the ethical issues, the profligate spending (though, to his great credit, John Boehner strongly opposed his party's pork binge), and the immigration mess -- is the war in Iraq. One of the very few people to fully grasp the deteriorating situation, early on, was the senator from Arizona. The bottom line: to recapture our majority and keep the White House in 2008, Republicans should assess the election results based on reality, not delusions.
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Friday, October 27, 2006
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| Armey v. Gingrich in '08? |
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Don't be surprised to see former Majority Leader Dick Armey on the debate stage, perhaps in South Carolina this May. Armey knows full well he won’t win the nomination. But, as one knowledgeable source told me, he is seriously considering jumping in for the national exposure and for the chance to duke it out with Newt Gingrich. It’s no secret that Gingrich may run and that Armey isn’t a big admirer of the former speaker. The libertarian Armey, never a fan of the Iraq War which Gingrich supports, has reserved his strongest criticism for “enforcement-only” Republicans, along with the Christian Coalition and evangelical leader James Dobson. Armey strongly supports the president’s call for comprehensive immigration reform and a guest-worker program; Gingrich is steadfast against it. After Armey recently criticized the GOP for having “pandered to Christian evangelical conservatives,” Gingrich fired back on Fox News: “When Dick Armey looks at Nancy Pelosi and Charlie Rangel and huge tax increases he's going to love those evangelicals.” So, buckle up. If Gingrich (who I believe is more likely to run than Giuliani) and Armey enter the fray, the GOP debates should be just as entertaining as those on the other side of the aisle. Stay tuned…
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Thursday, August 10, 2006
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| "They Want to Kill Any and All of Us" |
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Sen. Joe Lieberman today (via Hotline on Call): If we just pick up like Ned Lamont wants us to do, get out [of Iraq] by a date certain, it will be taken as a tremendous victory by the same people who wanted to blow up these planes in this plot hatched in England…. It will strengthen them and they will strike again…. I’m sure Harry Reid and all the rest who have heartily endorsed “Bring Them Home” Lamont won’t be happy with Lieberman. Good for Joe.
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Thursday, August 03, 2006
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| Rudy on Immigration |
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Last night, in an interview with Fox's Bill O'Reilly, Rudy Giuliani again put himself squarely in the president’s camp on immigration reform. The mayor is for tough border security, but he has also made the case in recent speeches that real reform must include a guest worker program and a “path to citizenship.” On Fox, Giuliani argued that comprehensive reform is not only practical but also aides in fighting crime and thwarting terrorists. Some highlights: GIULIANI: Yes, yes. National Guard short-term solution makes a lot of sense. Increasing the border patrol.
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Thursday, July 27, 2006
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| About those Field "Hearings" |
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I wonder if the Speaker will invite President Bush or Rudy Giuliani to testify at these (scroll up) field ”hearings”? Both oppose the House-passed immigration bill and support comprehensive reform.
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Tuesday, July 25, 2006
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| (Update) Giuliani Supports Guest-Worker Program on National Security Grounds |
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(The Manhattan Institute's Tamar Jacoby seconds, in the Washington Post, an argument Rudy Giuliani has been making to audiences. She writes: “The point is obvious enough: We need to take the busboys out of the equation (by means of a temporary worker program) so that Border Patrol can focus on the smugglers and terrorists who pose a genuine threat. And, just as urgent, we need to find a way to bring the 12 million illegal immigrants already in the country onto the right side of the law, creating incentives for them to come forward, then registering, screening and, as long as they stay here, keeping track of them.”) Post on April 5, 2006: Opponents of President Bush's immigration position like to claim the high ground on national security. They rightly claim that we must secure our border, especially in a post 9/11 world. But at the same time many also contend that a guest-worker program would weaken U.S. security. Well, Mayor Giuliani argues that 9/11 is a reason why we need such a program. From today's Chicago Sun Times: Giuliani wants to 'regularize' immigrants to improve safety:
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Friday, July 07, 2006
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| Sorry Governor |
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Former Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore, who did a good job while in office, had a lot to say Wednesday night on Hardball. He’s opposed to the president’s immigration position, which he has every right to do. But in explaining why, the Virginia Republican totally mischaracterized what’s in the Senate-passed bill -- a bill that basically tracks with the president’s view on immigration reform – and he forgot to mention that fellow Virginia GOPer Jerry Kilgore recently lost his gubernatorial election bid after making his Gilmore-like position on immigration the centerpiece of his campaign. Gilmore also commented on Sen. Lieberman's primary challenge from the anti-war Ned Lamont: Question: What does this tell us governor that an anti-war candidate could beat Senator Joe Lieberman? Excuse me, but shouldn’t we applaud a Democrat who has stood with a Republican president on a war because he believes national security trumps party loyalty? A fierce anti-communist, Democratic Sen. Henry “Scoop” Jackson often bucked his McGovernite party on foreign policy and defense issues. Was he wrong to do so? Despite deep Republican reservations, Senator Dole backed President Clinton in the Balkans. Was he wrong too? Sorry Governor, but you’re way off base on this one.
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Friday, June 23, 2006
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| A "Tent City" and the GOP |
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Today's Wall Street Journal has an insightful editorial on the House Republicans’ assault on what is really the president’s immigration plan – a plan that Mayor Giuliani believes strengthens our national security. “The Kennedy bill” is how some House members refer to the Senate bill. But I don’t remember all those House Republicans who voted for the “No Child Left Behind Act” refer to that legislation as “the Kennedy bill.” He, of course, was a primary Senate backer of the act. The Journal editors argue that the House enforcement-only position is bad policy and bad politics. They write: Even if all of this somehow works this election year, the long term damage to the GOP could be considerable. Pete Wilson demonized illegal aliens to win re-election as California Governor in 1994, but at the price of alienating Latino voters for a decade. The smarter Republicans--President Bush, Karl Rove, Senator John McCain, Colorado Governor Bill Owens and Florida Governor Jeb Bush--understand that the GOP can't sustain its majority without a larger share of the Hispanic vote. Making Mr. Tancredo the spokesman on this issue is a surefire way to make Hispanics into permanent Democrats. All this brings me to the comments of Don Goldwater, who is seeking the GOP nod to run against Arizona governor Napolitano. His recent remarks, covered in a local paper, concerning his illegal immigration plan are now being picked-up in the Hispanic media and likely soon by national media outlets. From the Arizona Republic:
Goldwater promised to put undocumented workers in a “tent city” at the border. “It’s my intention to take illegals and put them down at the border in a tent city and use them as labor to build the fence and clean up the desert they are tearing up,” said Goldwater, who didn’t offer any specifics for his plans that some construe as unconstitutional. Republican leaders should roundly and categorically denounce his plan before it unfairly tars the party of Reagan. They may also want to take a second look at the immigration proposal put forth by conservative Mike Pence of Indiana, who, as the Journal notes, offers Republicans “a way out of their political mess.”
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Sunday, June 18, 2006
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| Caveat Emptor |
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Conservative columnist George Will isn't a fan of the House-passed immigration bill. He believes it’s bad policy and bad politics. A few months back, he criticized “faux conservatives” for trying to pin the “amnesty” moniker on the Senate-passed bill. [C]onservatives should favor reducing illegality by putting illegal immigrants on a path out of society's crevices and into citizenship by paying fines and back taxes and learning English. Faux conservatives absurdly call this price tag on legal status "amnesty." Actually, it would prevent the emergence of a sullen, simmering subculture of the permanently marginalized, akin to the Arab ghettos in France. The House-passed bill, making it a felony to be in the country illegally, would make 11 million people permanently ineligible for legal status. To what end? And in today’s Washington Post Will argues that the GOP risks inflicting long-term political damage if it stumbles on immigration. So, safely assuming that the House-Senate conference fails to produce a compromise acceptable to both houses, when Congress returns to Washington after the Labor Day recess, the House may again pass essentially what it passed in December….
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Wednesday, June 07, 2006
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| Swing and a Miss |
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Democrats swung for the fences in the Calf. 50 race but came up empty. The media would have pumped a Donkey victory for days. That said, I’m not sure how to interpret Bilbray’s narrow win. He overcame the Duke Cunningham corruption albatross by emphasizing the need for tough border enforcement. But he did so in a majority Republican district and against an opponent who committed the cardinal sin of politics -- making a major gaffe in the closing days of the campaign. In the end, Bilbray ran a better campaign, which means Rahm Emanuel (D-IL), the party's top strategist for taking back the House, shouldn’t get too cocky about the prospects of a Speaker Pelosi – for now at least.
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Friday, May 26, 2006
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| Voters Back Comprehensive Immigration Reform |
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Today's Hotline reports on an internal RNC poll showing strong support for comprehensive immigration reform: RNC senior adviser...Matthew Dowd urges Republican Nat'l Committee members to favor a "comprehensive" solution to immigration, which the public believes is "unifying -- not polarizing." In addition, Voters don't consider granting legal status to those already here amnesty. Seventy percent (70%) of voters say illegal immigrants who have put down roots in the U.S. should be granted legal status after they go to the back of the line, pay a fine, pay back taxes, learn English, and have a clean criminal record; just 25% say that would be amnesty and we should instead impose criminal penalties on illegal immigrants in the U.S. Republican and conservative opinion is only slightly lower. 68% of conservatives and 64% of Republicans support granting legal status over criminal penalties.)
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| Conservatives Craig and McConnell Vote for Senate Immigration Bill |
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Last time I checked Sens. Larry Craig (R-ID) and Mitch McConnell (R-KY) aren't moderate squishes. Craig: Is this bill perfect? No. But it realistically addresses the immigration challenges facing America today by delivering in each of the three critical areas of reform: better border security, increased internal enforcement, and visa reform. Without all three, reform is meaningless, because it will be incomplete and ineffective. McConnell: Today, the Senate passed a bill to strengthen our borders, reform guest-worker programs that benefit employers and our economy, and deter illegal activity. I believe more work needs to be done to improve the bill as Congress considers it further. However, this is a necessary first step to balancing our tradition as a nation of immigrants, but also a nation of laws. I also suspect that Sen. McConnell (with California Gov. Pete Wilson in mind) isn't interested in watching the GOP become a minority party in the years ahead. That said, House Republicans are in a position to get tough border enforcement in the final conference bill and shouldn't let this opportunity pass them by.
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Thursday, May 25, 2006
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| Inflated Immigration Numbers? |
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Here's an interesting nugget from the latest Economist: For many, perhaps most Americans, the question is not "Should we welcome immigrants?" but "How many?" A moderate influx may be economically helpful and culturally invigorating; a huge one would be disruptive. It is not easy, however, to look at a proposed law and predict how many newcomers it might let in. Avoiding just such a simmering immigrant underclass is one reason conservative George Will supports a path to citizenship: As the debate about immigration policy boils, augmented border control must not be the entire agenda, lest other thorny problems be ignored.... One last thing: those in the White House and on Capitol Hill should read this and then this (on the "political disaster" facing Republicans) before the GOP Jumps the Shark on immigration.
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Friday, May 19, 2006
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| Krauthammer Joins George Will in Backing Comprehensive Immigration Reform |
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Charles Krauthammer, who can't be accused of being an "amnesty" squish, writes in today's Washington Post that a final bill that includes rigorous border enforcement and a path to citizenship for those already here "would make sense." I am not against legalization. Admittedly, legalization is desperately unfair to the further millions who have been waiting in line at U.S. consulates around the world. By itself, it would only encourage future illegal immigration. But if coupled with a program that closes down the border, it would make sense. It would resolve the problem once and for all. And yesterday on Fox, he argued: Essentially all of that millions with the few exceptions are going to end up citizens, and I'm not against that if you enforce security, if you've got a fence that stops the new illegals. Similarly, George Will argued in a Post column that we should vigorously enforce border controls. But he also warned that the U.S. should avoid the mistakes many European nations have made in permanently marginalizing an immigrant underclass. He wrote: As the debate about immigration policy boils, augmented border control must not be the entire agenda, lest other thorny problems be ignored.... One thing's for sure, the president has a lot riding on getting an immigration bill on his desk and, in the famous words of Gene Kranz, "failure is not an option."
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| The "Racist" Senators |
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In his speech a few days ago, the president said that no matter what your position is on immigration we should strive to conduct the debate in a "reason and respective tone." Yesterday, the Senate's top Democrat, Harry Reid (NV), did his best to keep the dialogue civil. During debate on an amendment by Sen. Inhofe (R-OK) making English the national language, Reid had this to say: "I really believe this amendment is racist." Below is the list of Republican and Democratic senators who are apparently "racist" for voting for a "racist" amendment. Alexander (R-TN)
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Tuesday, May 16, 2006
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| The "Over-the-Cliff Party" |
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It's disappointing (and in some cases very surprising) to see some on the right turn their backs on the vision of Ronald Reagan on immigration, as today's Wall Street Journal editorial argues, and seek to purge the GOP of dissenters. "The GOP is losing this one for the Gipper," the editors note, as the "GOP's nativist wing" seeks to "hijack the Gipper's reputation" to push their cause. Look out Gov. Jeb Bush. You could also be part of the purge given your apostasy on immigration. If things keep going the way they are, the Grand Old Party should consider renaming itself the "Over-the-Cliff Party." Disappointing and depressing, indeed.
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Monday, May 15, 2006
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| The Party of President Bush or Patrick McHenry? |
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The president struck the right tone tonight but has a lot work ahead of him to get to a signing ceremony. His call for a "reason and respective tone" obviously didn't make it to the ears of Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-NC) who said after the speech (via Hotline blog) that "a guest worker program is nothing more than amnesty wearing make-up --it's easier to look at, but just as ugly underneath." How witty. House Majority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) also put out a statement that made more news in what it didn't say: House Republicans have responded to the concerns of the American people by passing a strong border security bill that reflects our commitment to re-establishing basic respect for our immigration laws and sealing our border against illegal entry. If the Senate passes an immigration bill, I'm committed to working with Chairman Sensenbrenner and House Republicans to ensure we make border security our first priority and meet our commitments to the American people. Boehner didn't reject a guest worker program or "paths to citizenship" for those already here. Why? Because he and other House GOP leaders want to get a bill out of conference that doesn't include the felony provision that was in the House-passed bill -- a bill that Boehner, ironically, didn't support. So at the end of the day Republicans will have to decide whether they want to be the party of Patrick McHenry or President Bush -- in other words, a minority party or a majority party in the years ahead.
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Friday, May 12, 2006
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| Media Bias? |
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Is the Washington Times using the same journalistic standards of the liberal media? How many times have conservatives pointed to misleading headlines in the New York Times or taken apart the numerous anti-Bush Associated Press pieces that read more like editorials than hard news pieces? I know I have pointed out such journalistic sleights of hand many times. Today, this Washington Times piece on immigration piece isn't much better. The headline, "Senators agree on 'amnesty' proposal," isn't exactly fair and balanced in characterizing the Senate's agreement or what conservatives like Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback believe. What a disappointment.
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Thursday, May 04, 2006
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| Sound Advice, Wrong Target |
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Today's Hotline reports on the election advice Rush Limbaugh offered yesterday to the GOP: Rush Limbaugh: "There are" GOPers "planning to abandon" Bush "in droves, particularly during this election year." Bush is "an albatross around their neck." GOPers, "I'll just give you some advice right now. All of you" GOPers "in Congress -- including you," Sens. Chuck Hagel (R-NE) and Olympia Snowe (R-ME) "and all the rest of them, McCain -- you want to win re-election this year, if you're up? You want" GOPers "to hold the House? Unify behind George W. Bush. Just do it. Just do it. Don't try to please moderate or" Dem "voters by showing your independence. Just go out there and unify and support" the pres. "on a number of issues that you can." Unfortunately, too many House Republicans have often gone out of their way to stick it to the president. They joined in on the hysteria over the Dubai Ports deal and on immigration they have not unified "behind George W. Bush." Instead, too many have demagogued the issue (which worries RNC Chair Ken Mehlman) in much the same way Democrats have on gas prices. They haven't unified behind the president to control spending (though, there's a glimmer of hope on that front). And on Iraq, rather than making a coordinated argument on the consequences of leaving Saddam in power -- as many Democrats advocated -- and why we must win, we get comments like this expressing hope for an "October Surprise." Good thing it's only May 4, not November 7, and there is still time to recover as the influence of Majority Leader Boehner takes hold. By the way, guess what Republican Senator will likely do the most campaigning for House Republican candidates? The one from Arizona.
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Thursday, April 27, 2006
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| Texas, Immigration and the Economic "Doom and Gloomers" |
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Texas shares a lengthy border with Mexico, and, in the last 20 years, the state has absorbed many immigrants. Yet, despite the remarks of Rep. Tom Tancredo and others, I was surprised to learn just how well the Texas economy has performed since President Reagan signed the 1986 immigration bill (setting aside the debate over whether the president should have signed the legislation). According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, the state's unemployment rate was 8.9 percent in 1986; at the end of 2005 it was 5.3 percent. Real wages have made substantial gains. In El Paso, for example, real wages increased from 647 million in 1986 to about 960 million in 2005. In the Dallas metro area, real wages rose from 7 billion in 1986 to over 11.8 billion in 2005. Here are some other interesting statistics: "Following recent revisions, data now show that Texas payroll employment grew more rapidly in 2005 than at any time since the tech bust. Jobs increased by 2.7 percent—half a percentage point stronger than the Dallas Fed’s early benchmark and 1.2 percentage points stronger than initially estimated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics" As CNBC's Larry Kudlow likes to say, the economic "doom and gloomers" on immigration have a tough case to make when it comes to Texas.
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Friday, April 14, 2006
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| Murdered for Living "Like a German" |
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From Reuters: A German court sentenced a man of Turkish origin to more than nine years in prison on Thursday for the so-called "honor killing" of his sister but found two other brothers not guilty of conspiring in the murder. George Will, in a recent Washington Post column, warned that the U.S. should avoid the mistakes many European nations have made in permanently marginalizing an immigrant underclass. He wrote: Conservatives should favor reducing illegality by putting illegal immigrants on a path out of society's crevices and into citizenship by paying fines and back taxes and learning English. Faux conservatives absurdly call this price tag on legal status "amnesty." Actually, it would prevent the emergence of a sullen, simmering subculture of the permanently marginalized, akin to the Arab ghettos in France.
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Wednesday, April 12, 2006
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| Blame Yourselves Republicans |
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Some Republicans continue to whine that Democrats didn't allow them to take out the felony provision contained in the House-passed immigration bill. But why would Democrats help Republicans out? They want to retake the House and believe the felony language helps them in swing districts. House Republicans put the provision in the bill and now the leadership wants nothing to do with it. Perhaps next time they'll listen a bit less to Rep. Tancredo and Company. From the Associated Press: GOP Leaders to Drop Felony for Immigrants
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Monday, April 10, 2006
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| The Terminator on the Border |
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Schwarzenegger talks sense on immigration in today's Wall Street Journal: President Reagan memorably described his "shining city on a hill" as a place that "hummed with commerce and creativity, and if there had to be city walls, the walls had doors and the doors were open to anyone with the will and the heart to get here." Perhaps because he'd been a border state governor, Reagan understood the challenges and the opportunities presented by immigration. He believed, as I do, that we can have an immigration policy that both strengthens our borders and welcomes immigrants.
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Wednesday, April 05, 2006
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| Giuliani Supports Guest-Worker Program on National Security Grounds |
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Opponents of President Bush's immigration position like to claim the high ground on national security. They rightly claim that we must secure our border, especially in a post 9/11 world. But at the same time many also contend that a guest-worker program would weaken U.S. security. Well, Mayor Giuliani argues that 9/11 is a reason why we need such a program. From today's Chicago Sun Times: Giuliani wants to 'regularize' immigrants to improve safety:
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Friday, March 31, 2006
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| Ask Virginia's Failed Gubernatorial Candidate about Immigration |
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Jerry Kilgore lost his bid to succeed the prospective 2008 Democratic presidential candidate Mark Warner. Though as Election Day drew near, the Kilgore camp believed they had an issue that would put them over the top -- illegal immigration. It didn't work and may be a harbinger of things to come for Republicans if, as the Wall Street Journal editorializes today, the party of Reagan morphs into the party of Tom Tancredo. Just after Kilgore's defeat Fred Barnes noted in the Weekly Standard that Republicans had lost their grip on what had been two solidly Republican counties in Northern Virginia. From the governor's election in Virginia last week, there's a bit of evidence that the Republican grip on the exurbs may be loosening.... [T]he outcome in Loudoun and Prince William should be alarming to Republicans. Located west of Washington, Loudoun is the second fastest-growing county in the country. Kilgore lost Loudoun by 51 percent to 46 percent. A year earlier, Bush did 10 points better.... The numbers in Prince William, south of Washington, were slightly better. Kilgore was defeated by 50 percent to 48 percent, slipping five points below Bush.... President Bush opposes the House-passed immigration bill because it isn't "comprehensive" and has asked for everyone involved in the debate to keep it "civil." Of course, he was talking to House Republicans. Having successfully run STATEWIDE in Texas and twice NATIONALLY, the president may have a better grasp on how to maintain Republican majorities than those from overwhelmingly safe districts who appear to be the most vocal on the immigration issue. Also see "Social Conservatives, Sen. Sam Brownback and Immigration Reform."
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Thursday, March 30, 2006
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| Social Conservatives, Sen. Sam Brownback and Immigration Reform |
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Social conservatives couldn't have a better friend on Capitol Hill than the Senator from Kansas. On the cultural divide, he stands as far away from Sen. Kennedy as Pluto is from Mars. Yet, Brownback was instrumental in getting the immigration bill out of the Senate Judiciary Committee. Upon passage, he noted the bill, which also tightens border security, isn't "amnesty," which some conservative critics have falsely claimed in much the same way liberals did in accusing Republicans of "cutting" programs when, in fact, they were just slowing the rate of spending growth. It's an effective rhetorical device but deeply misleading. Said Brownback: I am pleased that we were able to report out a bill that makes positive strides toward a guest-worker program and strong enforcement at the border and on the employer....Committee passage is a big step, but not the final step. Workable immigration reform is one of the biggest issues facing the country today and in the future, and we struck a good balance. We need to continue to work on this bill from the floor of the Senate to ensure that we don’t make the mistakes of the 1986 amnesty bill or the 1996 enforcement-only bill, which together led to an explosion of the illegal immigrant population. David Brooks in today's New York Times also argues (Times Select, unfortunately) that social conservatives should speak up in support of the Brownback-backed immigration bill and not let opponents claim the moral high ground. Some highlights: The facts show that the recent rise in immigration hasn't been accompanied by social breakdown, but by social repair. As immigration has surged, violent crime has fallen by 57 percent. Teen pregnancies and abortion rates have declined by a third. Teenagers are having fewer sexual partners and losing their virginity later. Teen suicide rates have dropped. The divorce rate for young people is on the way down.
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Tuesday, March 28, 2006
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| The Road to Nowhere? |
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I usually agree with the editors of the New York Post, but not this paragraph from today's editorial Forced repatriation, also under consideration, is a drastic - and politically explosive - option. But it needs to be part of the debate, if only to underscore the gravity of the current debate. Do Republicans really want to go down this road? This blogger makes some interesting points, while this one, I believe, is unfair and doesn't make much sense. Why would a potential GOP presidential candidate take such a position if it were just about "ambition"? And where in the Senator's quote does he exclude tougher border enforcement? He doesn't. Also, President Bush generally supports the bill that came out of the Judiciary Committee, so is he somehow weakening his credentials as a hawk "in the GWOT"? I don't think so. I do have a prediction, though. An immigration bill won't come out of conference until after the November election.
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Monday, March 27, 2006
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| What About "Patriotic Assimilation"? |
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This issue is not a subject of debate on Capitol Hill by either side in the immigration divide, but it should be. Nearly three years ago, John Fonte, the director of the Hudson Institute's Center for American Common Culture, wrote an interesting article on the "need for a patriotic assimilation policy" in the U.S. "It makes no sense to discuss immigration without talking about assimilation," Fonte wrote, "nor does it make sense to develop an immigration policy without an assimilation policy." But today on Capitol Hill [and in the White House for that matter] that is exactly what is happening. You hardly hear a peep about it. The House-passed immigration bill ignores the topic, while Senate Majority Leader Frist will likely sponsor a similar enforcement-only bill in the Senate. Sen. Specter's Judiciary Committee-passed bill will likely have nothing on "patriotic assimilation" and even Sen. McCain's "earned citizenship" bill says little on the issue. The same holds for the bill sponsored by Sens. Kyl and Cornyn. It's a fairly good bet that a bill will get through the Senate. What the final legislation will look like when [and IF] it emerges from the House-Senate conference committee is anyone's guess. Though, what is certain is that most immigrants will continue to come to the U.S. because of the opportunity our nation offers for a better life. Agree or disagree with him, Fonte makes some points worthy of debate and consideration by our elected representatives. From Fonte's May 14, 2004 piece, "We Need a Patriotic Assimilation Policy": For more than two hundred years, immigrants to America and their children have been successfully assimilated into what has been called the American way of life. This civic or patriotic assimilation of immigrants into the American constitutional regime did not happen naturally. Patriotic assimilation was the end result of a sometimes explicit (and other times implicit) long-range vision formulated by America’s leaders. From the days of George Washington continuing through the era of Theodore Roosevelt and Woodrow Wilson, and supported in the past decade by such public figures as Barbara Jordan, this strategic vision has helped to define immigration-assimilation policy by articulating two interconnected ideas: (1) welcoming immigrants and (2) assimilating those immigrants into the mainstream of American civic life....
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Sunday, March 26, 2006
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| How to Become a Minority Party |
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Ignore this advice, "When we conduct this debate it must be done in a civil way," Mr. Bush said after meeting with groups that support legalizing illegal aliens. "It must be done in a way that doesn't pit one group of people against another." and adopt rhetoric like this, Illegal immigrants are "a scourge that threatens the very future of our nation" [Rep. Tancredo (R-CO) says.
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Saturday, December 31, 2005
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| The Wall Street Journal Weighs in on the Immigration "Reforms" Pushed by House Republicans |
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From Thursday's Journal editorial: The House took a step in that direction this month by passing another immigration "reform" bill heavy with border control and business harassment and light on anything that will work in the real world.
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