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Wednesday, May 31, 2006
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| (Update) Dissent on the Left: The Euston Manifesto |
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(The Euston group formally launched on May 26 in London. Several members have also written op-eds -- see here -- as part of the roll out. Norman Geras, a government professor at the University of Manchester, has been particularly insightful, including this piece in the Guardian: Within the large "middle" sector of left-liberal opinion opposed to the war there has been, from the start, a differentiating subdivision - between those who opposed the war without being in denial about the considerations on the other side of the argument, and those who precisely have been in denial about them. This latter group extends well beyond the far left.
Though it hasn't garnered much media attention, there has been an interesting fight brewing within the political Left. Britain's Oliver Kamm got the ball rolling by writing a provocative piece in Progess, a journal published by British Labour Party members, arguing that the Left has abandoned its anti-totalitarian roots. Now, a "new democratic progressive alliance" has come together in the blogoshere to challenge others on the Left who are consumed with anti-Americanism and have a soft spot for tyrants. Kamm and many others have signed The Euston Manifesto. Drawing on the "lesson of the disastrous history of left apologetics over the crimes of Stalinism and Maoism, as well as more recent exercises in the same vein (some of the reaction to the crimes of 9/11, the excuse-making for suicide-terrorism, the disgraceful alliances lately set up inside the "anti-war" movement with illiberal theocrats)," the Manifesto's preamble states: We are democrats and progressives. We propose here a fresh political alignment. Many of us belong to the Left, but the principles that we set out are not exclusive. We reach out, rather, beyond the socialist Left towards egalitarian liberals and others of unambiguous democratic commitment. Indeed, the reconfiguration of progressive opinion that we aim for involves drawing a line between the forces of the Left that remain true to its authentic values, and currents that have lately shown themselves rather too flexible about these values. It involves making common cause with genuine democrats, whether socialist or not. Stay tuned... ![]()
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| Uribe's Blowout |
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A staunch U.S. ally, Colombian President Alvaro Uribe cruised to re-election winning by an astounding 40-point margin. A recent cover piece in The Economist reported on "The Battle for Latin America's Soul." Will the region go the way of Venezuela's Chavez and Bolivia's Morales or choose the path of friendlier relations with the U.S. and openness to foreign investment? Well, Colombians have made their decision. Under Uribe's leadership, Colombia has experienced strong economic growth -- 5.1 percent in 2005 -- and the FARC, which had used previous government "peace initiatives" to strengthen its position, has been severely weakened. This is quite a turn-a-round considering that only a few years back the FARC welcomed the newly elected Uribe by training mortars on his inaugural ceremony. So let's see, voters in Canada and Colombia endorse pro-U.S. candidates. And Mexican voters are likely to elect a president who has sprinted ahead in the polls by portraying his opponent as a Hugo Chavez wannabe. Uncle Sam is on a roll.
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| Deft Iranian Diplomacy |
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I doubt it's a coincidence that on the day before the UN Security Council meets to discuss Iran's nuclear enrichment activities Tehran announces plans to build two more nuclear reactors -- and that the Russians will likely be the lead contractor. And at least one powerful Republican, Senate Armed Services Chairman John Warner, appears resigned to the eventuality of an Iranian nuclear weapon. American diplomats, who are set to join the EU in direct talks with Iran, will not have an easy time of it given Tehran's skillful diplomatic maneuvering.
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Tuesday, May 30, 2006
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| Human Rights and National Security |
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Jay Lefkowitz, Special Envoy for Human Rights in North Korea, argues in a speech to the Asia Society that promoting human rights is very much in the American national security interest. Government conduct at home naturally influences conduct toward other nations. The 20th century shows us numerous examples of this correlation. With Hitler, Stalin, Mao and others, the march of tyranny at home was an antecedent to international aggression. For this reason, making human rights part of our national security agenda is not only an appropriate policy, but also a necessary one.
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| The Road From Gitmo |
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Let's hope they become good world citizens. ![]()
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| Ramadi and the "Footprint" |
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Splitting the Sunnis from Zarqawi has been a high priority for the U.S. in Iraq. But as in Tal Afar and other towns, it's difficult to have enduring success if Sunnis watch those who help us get assassinated and believe that Zarqawi's henchmen control the ground. Today's Washington Post story on Ramadi is not encouraging, especially given the progress we had made with tribal leaders. But it looks like the Marines, who've requested additional troops for many months, will get some more. The U.S. military said Monday it was deploying the main reserve fighting force for Iraq, a full 3,500-member armored brigade, as emergency reinforcements for the embattled western province of Anbar, where a surge of violence linked to the insurgent group al-Qaeda in Iraq has severely damaged efforts to turn Sunni Arab tribal leaders against the insurgency.
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Monday, May 29, 2006
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| Vets for Freedom |
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Iraq veteran Owen West has an excellent piece in today's New York Times. West is vice chairman of Vets for Freedom, "a group of Iraq and Afghanistan War veterans who believe in the mission of freedom in the Global War on Terror, but who have become frustrated with the way the operation has been politicized and reported to the home front." I highly recommend visiting Vets for Freedom often.
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Sunday, May 28, 2006
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| "The Boys of Pointe du Hoc" |
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On June 6, 1984, President Reagan delivered a remarkable speech commemorating the 40th anniversary of the D-Day landings. This Memorial Day we remember "the boys of Pointe du Hoc" and all the other American heroes who gave their lives for our freedom. Remarks at the U.S. Ranger Monument "We're here to mark that day in history when the Allied armies joined in battle to reclaim this continent to liberty. For four long years, much of Europe had been under a terrible shadow. Free nations had fallen, Jews cried out in the camps, millions cried out for liberation. Europe was enslaved, and the world prayed for its rescue. Here in Normandy the rescue began. Here the Allies stood and fought against tyranny in a giant undertaking unparalleled in human history. We stand on a lonely, windswept point on the northern shore of France. The air is soft, but 40 years ago at this moment, the air was dense with smoke and the cries of men, and the air was filled with the crack of rifle fire and the roar of cannon. At dawn, on the morning of the 6th of June, 1944, 225 Rangers jumped off the British landing craft and ran to the bottom of these cliffs. Their mission was one of the most difficult and daring of the invasion: to climb these sheer and desolate cliffs and take out the enemy guns. The Allies had been told that some of the mightiest of these guns were here and they would be trained on the beaches to stop the Allied advance. The Rangers looked up and saw the enemy soldiers--the edge of the cliffs shooting down at them with machine guns and throwing grenades. And the American Rangers began to climb. They shot rope ladders over the face of these cliffs and began to pull themselves up. When one Ranger fell, another would take his place. When one rope was cut, a Ranger would grab another and begin his climb again. They climbed, shot back, and held their footing. Soon, one by one, the Rangers pulled themselves over the top, and in seizing the firm land at the top of these cliffs, they began to seize back the continent of Europe. Two hundred and twenty-five came here. After two days of fighting, only 90 could still bear arms. Behind me is a memorial that symbolizes the Ranger daggers that were thrust into the top of these cliffs. And before me are the men who put them there. These are the boys of Pointe du Hoc. These are the men who took the cliffs. These are the champions who helped free a continent. These are the heroes who helped end a war. Gentlemen, I look at you and I think of the words of Stephen Spender's poem. You are men who in your "lives fought for life . . . and left the vivid air signed with your honor.'' I think I know what you may be thinking right now--thinking, "We were just part of a bigger effort; everyone was brave that day.'' Well, everyone was. Do you remember the story of Bill Millin of the 51st Highlanders? Forty years ago today, British troops were pinned down near a bridge, waiting desperately for help. Suddenly, they heard the sound of bagpipes, and some thought they were dreaming. Well, they weren't. They looked up and saw Bill Millin with his bagpipes, leading the reinforcements and ignoring the smack of the bullets into the ground around him. Lord Lovat was with him--Lord Lovat of Scotland, who calmly announced when he got to the bridge, "Sorry I'm a few minutes late,'' as if he'd been delayed by a traffic jam, when in truth he'd just come from the bloody fighting on Sword Beach, which he and his men had just taken. There was the impossible valor of the Poles who threw themselves between the enemy and the rest of Europe as the invasion took hold, and the unsurpassed courage of the Canadians who had already seen the horrors of war on this coast. They knew what awaited them there, but they would not be deterred. And once they hit Juno Beach, they never looked back. All of these men were part of a rollcall of honor with names that spoke of a pride as bright as the colors they bore: the Royal Winnipeg Rifles, Poland's 24th Lancers, the Royal Scots Fusiliers, the Screaming Eagles, the Yeomen of England's armored divisions, the forces of Free France, the Coast Guard's "Matchbox Fleet'' and you, the American Rangers. Forty summers have passed since the battle that you fought here. You were young the day you took these cliffs; some of you were hardly more than boys, with the deepest joys of life before you. Yet, you risked everything here. Why? Why did you do it? What impelled you to put aside the instinct for self-preservation and risk your lives to take these cliffs? What inspired all the men of the armies that met here? We look at you, and somehow we know the answer. It was faith and belief; it was loyalty and love. The men of Normandy had faith that what they were doing was right, faith that they fought for all humanity, faith that a just God would grant them mercy on this beachhead or on the next. It was the deep knowledge--and pray God we have not lost it--that there is a profound, moral difference between the use of force for liberation and the use of force for conquest. You were here to liberate, not to conquer, and so you and those others did not doubt your cause. And you were right not to doubt. You all knew that some things are worth dying for. One's country is worth dying for, and democracy is worth dying for, because it's the most deeply honorable form of government ever devised by man. All of you loved liberty. All of you were willing to fight tyranny, and you knew the people of your countries were behind you. The Americans who fought here that morning knew word of the invasion was spreading through the darkness back home. They thought--or felt in their hearts, though they couldn't know in fact, that in Georgia they were filling the churches at 4 a.m., in Kansas they were kneeling on their porches and praying, and in Philadelphia they were ringing the Liberty Bell. Something else helped the men of D-Day: their rock-hard belief that Providence would have a great hand in the events that would unfold here; that God was an ally in this great cause. And so, the night before the invasion, when Colonel Wolverton asked his parachute troops to kneel with him in prayer he told them: Do not bow your heads, but look up so you can see God and ask His blessing in what we're about to do. Also that night, General Matthew Ridgway on his cot, listening in the darkness for the promise God made to Joshua: "I will not fail thee nor forsake thee.'' These are the things that impelled them; these are the things that shaped the unity of the Allies. When the war was over, there were lives to be rebuilt and governments to be returned to the people. There were nations to be reborn. Above all, there was a new peace to be assured. These were huge and daunting tasks. But the Allies summoned strength from the faith, belief, loyalty, and love of those who fell here. They rebuilt a new Europe together. There was first a great reconciliation among those who had been enemies, all of whom had suffered so greatly. The United States did its part, creating the Marshall Plan to help rebuild our allies and our former enemies. The Marshall Plan led to the Atlantic alliance--a great alliance that serves to this day as our shield for freedom, for prosperity, and for peace. In spite of our great efforts and successes, not all that followed the end of the war was happy or planned. Some liberated countries were lost. The great sadness of this loss echoes down to our own time in the streets of Warsaw, Prague, and East Berlin. Soviet troops that came to the center of this continent did not leave when peace came. They're still there, uninvited, unwanted, unyielding, almost 40 years after the war. Because of this, Allied forces still stand on this continent. Today, as 40 years ago, our armies are here for only one purpose--to protect and defend democracy. The only territories we hold are memorials like this one and graveyards where our heroes rest. We in America have learned bitter lessons from two World Wars: It is better to be here ready to protect the peace than to take blind shelter across the sea, rushing to respond only after freedom is lost. We've learned that isolationism never was and never will be an acceptable response to tyrannical governments with an expansionist intent. But we try always to be prepared for peace; prepared to deter aggression; prepared to negotiate the reduction of arms; and, yes, prepared to reach out again in the spirit of reconciliation. In truth, there is no reconciliation we would welcome more than a reconciliation with the Soviet Union, so, together, we can lessen the risks of war, now and forever. It's fitting to remember here the great losses also suffered by the Russian people during World War II: 20 million perished, a terrible price that testifies to all the world the necessity of ending war. I tell you from my heart that we in the United States do not want war. We want to wipe from the face of the Earth the terrible weapons that man now has in his hands. And I tell you, we are ready to seize that beachhead. We look for some sign from the Soviet Union that they are willing to move forward, that they share our desire and love for peace, and that they will give up the ways of conquest. There must be a changing there that will allow us to turn our hope into action. We will pray forever that some day that changing will come. But for now, particularly today, it is good and fitting to renew our commitment to each other, to our freedom, and to the alliance that protects it. We are bound today by what bound us 40 years ago, the same loyalties, traditions, and beliefs. We're bound by reality. The strength of America's allies is vital to the United States, and the American security guarantee is essential to the continued freedom of Europe's democracies. We were with you then; we are with you now. Your hopes are our hopes, and your destiny is our destiny. Here, in this place where the West held together, let us make a vow to our dead. Let us show them by our actions that we understand what they died for. Let our actions say to them the words for which Matthew Ridgway listened: "I will not fail thee nor forsake thee.'' Strengthened by their courage, heartened by their value [valor], and borne by their memory, let us continue to stand for the ideals for which they lived and died. Thank you very much, and God bless you all."
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Friday, May 26, 2006
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| Voters Back Comprehensive Immigration Reform |
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Today's Hotline reports on an internal RNC poll showing strong support for comprehensive immigration reform: RNC senior adviser...Matthew Dowd urges Republican Nat'l Committee members to favor a "comprehensive" solution to immigration, which the public believes is "unifying -- not polarizing." In addition, Voters don't consider granting legal status to those already here amnesty. Seventy percent (70%) of voters say illegal immigrants who have put down roots in the U.S. should be granted legal status after they go to the back of the line, pay a fine, pay back taxes, learn English, and have a clean criminal record; just 25% say that would be amnesty and we should instead impose criminal penalties on illegal immigrants in the U.S. Republican and conservative opinion is only slightly lower. 68% of conservatives and 64% of Republicans support granting legal status over criminal penalties.)
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| John Edwards Morphs into Howard Dean |
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John Kerry's running mate has never stopped running for president. He tried to get Kerry to fight on in Ohio even after it was clear there weren't enough uncounted ballots to put Kerry over the top. Kerry was smart enough to realize that delaying the inevitable may have excited the party's base but would have done terrible damage to a potential comeback in 2008. But Edwards' plea wasn't about getting Kerry into the Oval office; it was about Edwards pandering to the Left and his '08 ambitions. Since then, Edwards has jettisoned much of the Southern "centrism" that got him elected Senator from the state of North Carolina and on the 2004 ticket. On Iraq, he was a hawk. He voted for the war and made forceful speeches on why Saddam Hussein must go. Now, like Kerry, he has repudiated his old position and sounds more like Howard Dean, the man who sent the Democratic establishment into a panic pre-Iowa and New Hampshire. Yesterday, Edwards was in Iowa sounding very much like the Dean of 2004. According to the Des Moines Register, Former U.S. Sen. John Edwards said Thursday, at the outset of an Iowa swing, that Democrats ought to express their outrage over the Bush administration's reported use of millions of telephone records to track terrorists, despite caution from others in his party on a similar issue. I can't help but think that Howard Dean must be amused by it all.
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| Conservatives Craig and McConnell Vote for Senate Immigration Bill |
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Last time I checked Sens. Larry Craig (R-ID) and Mitch McConnell (R-KY) aren't moderate squishes. Craig: Is this bill perfect? No. But it realistically addresses the immigration challenges facing America today by delivering in each of the three critical areas of reform: better border security, increased internal enforcement, and visa reform. Without all three, reform is meaningless, because it will be incomplete and ineffective. McConnell: Today, the Senate passed a bill to strengthen our borders, reform guest-worker programs that benefit employers and our economy, and deter illegal activity. I believe more work needs to be done to improve the bill as Congress considers it further. However, this is a necessary first step to balancing our tradition as a nation of immigrants, but also a nation of laws. I also suspect that Sen. McConnell (with California Gov. Pete Wilson in mind) isn't interested in watching the GOP become a minority party in the years ahead. That said, House Republicans are in a position to get tough border enforcement in the final conference bill and shouldn't let this opportunity pass them by.
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Thursday, May 25, 2006
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| Worlds Away on Ballistic Missile Defense |
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With an eye toward North Korea, the US Navy has accelerated its missile defense capability in the Pacific region. From the Associated Press: For the first time, a Navy ship at sea successfully shot down a long-range missile in its final seconds of flight, the military said Wednesday. And in Europe, NATO countries face a growing threat of attack by long-range missiles, a senior alliance official said on Wednesday as he presented a study on options for a missile shield system to protect Europe. But many on the continent aren't buying it. "There is a difference in perception," said Andrew Brookes of the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies. "America is looking at protection from strategic missile attacks from places like China, North Korea and Iran. Europe doesn't believe that's a threat." Though, it appears some in NATO believe Mr. Brookes has bought into his own fantasy.
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| Inflated Immigration Numbers? |
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Here's an interesting nugget from the latest Economist: For many, perhaps most Americans, the question is not "Should we welcome immigrants?" but "How many?" A moderate influx may be economically helpful and culturally invigorating; a huge one would be disruptive. It is not easy, however, to look at a proposed law and predict how many newcomers it might let in. Avoiding just such a simmering immigrant underclass is one reason conservative George Will supports a path to citizenship: As the debate about immigration policy boils, augmented border control must not be the entire agenda, lest other thorny problems be ignored.... One last thing: those in the White House and on Capitol Hill should read this and then this (on the "political disaster" facing Republicans) before the GOP Jumps the Shark on immigration.
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| Jihad Video Made "Just for Fun" |
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Wired News has the story of a 25-year-old's contribution to world civilization.
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| Securing Baghdad with a Larger "Footprint" |
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Today's Wall Street Journal editorial weighs in: The most urgent need is for leaders in both Iraq and Washington to do more to improve security in Baghdad. The White House has been right to point out that the media have missed many good news stories in Iraq, but current coverage probably understates the trauma of daily life in the capital. Iraq can survive the car bombs we hear about on the news. The real problem is more generalized lawlessness and a lack of basic services like electricity that have made normal life nasty, brutish and too often short. As the Journal notes, evidence continues to mount that the current "footprint" isn't getting the job done in Baghdad. This reality more than anything else is the biggest threat to the political progress Iraq has made. It's also why talk of decoupling the security situation in Iraq from the issue of US troop reductions is worrisome.
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Wednesday, May 24, 2006
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| Iraq, Progress and Definitions |
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Yesterday, during his press conference with Israeli Prime Minister Olmert, the president gave an interesting answer to this question: Q The U.S. has the most powerful military in the world, and they have been unable to bring down the violence in any substantial way in several of the provinces. So how can you expect the Iraqis to do that? President Bush is absolutely right. Substantial political progress has been made despite the violence. Though, drawing an analogy between the level and scope of violence in Tel Aviv and Baghdad, for example, is a stretch and I'm assuming not an effort to decouple the security situation in Iraq from the issue of US troop reductions. On this issue, Max Boot writes on "Securing Baghdad" (free reg. req'd) in today's Los Angeles Times and former West Point military historian Frederick Kagan offers "A Plan for Victory in Iraq" in the current Weekly Standard.
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| Cheney Rips Democrats, Bravo |
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Signs of life are stirring in the White House. Here's what the vice president had to say in a speech yesterday at a Bilbray for Congress event in San Diego: Issues of national security will clearly be at the top of the agenda in this election year. The President and I welcome the discussion, because every voter in America needs to know how the leaders of the Democratic Party view the war on terror. Their leader in the Senate, Harry Reid, has boasted publicly of his efforts to kill the Patriot Act. Their nominee for President in the last election viewed terrorism mainly as a law enforcement issue, and recently said that American troops are "terrorizing" Iraqis. The Chairman of the Democratic Party is Howard Dean, who said the capture of Saddam Hussein didn't make America safer. And those prominent Democrats who advocate a sudden withdrawal from Iraq are counseling the very kind of retreat that Osama bin Laden has been predicting and counting on. Yet these Democrats will not -- and cannot -- make the case that somehow surrender in Iraq would make our nation safer.
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| (Update) More Wiretaps, Please |
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(Just a thought but Republicans may want to remind voters of British intelligence failures leading up to the July 7 bombings and note the return in force of the ACLU Democrats -- see here and here.) Posted on May 22, 2006: The British government has released two reports -- here and here -- on the July 7, 2005 terrorist bombings in London, which killed 52 and injured over 800. In the current Weekly Standard, Gary Schmitt reviews what the British learned and notes the following: If there is any smoking gun when it comes to the failure of British intelligence and the July 2005 bombings, it's the fact that there appears to have been knowledge of Khan's role as a possible al Qaeda fellow traveler among the post-9/11 detainees in both Pakistan and Guantanamo. What is known for sure is that Khan had traveled to Pakistan in 2003 and late 2004. And while he was only one of several hundred thousand U.K. residents who visited Pakistan for a month or longer in 2004, at least one detainee, and perhaps a second, subsequently recognized Khan and knew about his efforts to reach out to Muslim extremists while there. Those who support the NSA's al Qaeda spying program may want to cite the British experience in explaining the program to their constituents. Most in the media surely won't and I doubt Harry Reid or Nancy Pelosi will either.
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| China Rising |
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The Pentagon has released its latest report on the status of the Chinese military, the Washington Post reports today. Its findings: China's military buildup is increasingly aimed at projecting power far beyond its shores into the western Pacific to be able to interdict U.S. aircraft carriers and other nations' military forces, according to a Pentagon report released yesterday that outlines continued concerns over China's rising strategic influence in Asia.... Beijing's military build-up is also driving closer relations between the U.S. and India -- a burgeoning relationship designed, in part, to thwart what Heritage Foundation scholars John J. Tkacik Jr. and Dana Dillon discuss in a recent issue of Policy Review.
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Tuesday, May 23, 2006
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| How About Releasing That Other Iraq NIE? |
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Sen. Harry Reid and Company have sent a letter to the president asking for a new National Intelligence Estimate on Iran. "In order to avoid repeating mistakes made in the run-up to the conflict in Iraq," they write, "we must have objective intelligence untainted by political considerations and policy preferences." The latter is, of course, pure garbage but I'd expect nothing less from senators who hope to be in the majority some day. That said, there's no doubt that the 2002 NIE was deeply flawed in its assessment of Iraq's wmd programs. But while the 2002 NIE vastly overestimated Iraq's programs, the one issued prior to the 1991 Gulf War vastly underestimated Saddam's nuclear program at the very least. On August 11, 1991, the Washington Post reported: International inspectors...unearthed one of the most important—and disturbing—finds of the post-Cold War era: a huge assembly line for the covert manufacture of equipment to make an Iraqi bomb. The Post also reported: Despite repeated warnings and Saddam’s own public statements, Western experts consistently underestimated Iraq’s scientific and technical capabilities. Inspection officials now believe Iraq was only 12 to 18 months from producing its first bomb, not five to 10 years as previously thought. So if we are seeking an informed debate about Iran and the limits of our intelligence capabilities, shouldn't the public also know the extent to which US intelligence has underestimated a target nation's programs as well as overestimated them?
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| The Unfortunate Smallness of Saddam's Trial |
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I don't agree with everything in this piece but Richard Cohen is right about a few things: A trial that was supposed to "highlight the many crimes of Saddam Hussein" has instead obscured them and those anti-Iraq War folks calling for action in Darfur face a moral contradiction of their own. On most days, [the trial] has been a sputtering charade, which somehow has managed not to highlight the many crimes of Saddam Hussein but to obscure them. This is an important point, for behind the stated reason for the war itself -- ridding Iraq of weapons of mass destruction -- was the repellent nature of Hussein's regime. It was no mere run-of-the-mill Middle Eastern dictatorship, like that of next-door Syria or, in its own way, Iran, but a place where the state could murder casually and with impunity -- and often did. A few months back I cited an article in the January issue of National Geographic. Lewis M. Simons traveled to Iraq to report on Camp Slayer, where scientists continue to examine the "new forensic evidence of Saddam Hussein's murderous regime." He noted a Clark University Center for Holocaust and Genocide Studies estimate that Saddam's regime had murdered up to 240,000 men, women, children and infants. Here are some of the victims and how they died: Patterns of neat bullet holes peppered skulls and garments, many of them the baggy trousers peculiar to Kurdish men. Staring at cardboard boxes filled with skulls in plastic bags and skeletons precisely arrayed on steel gurneys, inhaling the oddly metallic death smells.... Simon also noted: Initially, X [an Iraqi forensic scientist] gladly agreed to be identified in this story. But shortly before it went to press he got word to me of death threats against him and his family.... The threats most likely where made by Sunni supporters of Saddam Hussein, who are striving to diminish evidence against the former dictator. So far, Saddam's trial has been a missed opportunity to remind the world of the horrors of his dictatorship. In Cohen's words, what a "damn shame."
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Monday, May 22, 2006
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| Serbia and Montenegro, RIP |
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Montenegrins have voted for full independence from Serbia. The last time an independent Montenegro existed delegates were gearing up for Versailles following The Great War. Serbia, which annexed Montenegro in 1919, will also likely watch Kosovo become an independent state in the not-to-distant future. But as the old order further dissolves, the work of the U.S. and the EU isn't done -- far from it. Small failed states clustered together in the Balkans can be just as bad as one large failed state. Overwhelmingly Muslim Kosovo, in particular, is very much pro-U.S. and having a vibrant, democratic pro-US Kosovo is obviously in our national security interest. But its economy is poor and civil society weak. The Bush administration and its successor should avoid putting Kosovo and the region as a whole on the back burner of American policy or five years or so from now we may be asking, "Who lost the Balkans?"
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| Coalitions of the Willing |
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Given the UN Security Council's dithering ways, it's good to see the Bush administration steadily building a parallel structure to deal with threats that doesn't go through the slog of Turtle Bay. Next week, the US will conduct military exercises with Turkey as part of the Proliferation Security Initiative -- a program created in 2003 to track and intercept illicit wmd trafficking by rogue nations. Who knows, in time there may even be a Genocide Prevention Initiative composed of nations that will act when the next Rwanda or Darfur rolls around.
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| More Wiretaps, Please |
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The British government has released two reports on the July 7, 2005 terrorist bombings in London, which killed 52 and injured over 800. In the current Weekly Standard, Gary Schmitt reviews what the British learned and notes the following: If there is any smoking gun when it comes to the failure of British intelligence and the July 2005 bombings, it's the fact that there appears to have been knowledge of Khan's role as a possible al Qaeda fellow traveler among the post-9/11 detainees in both Pakistan and Guantanamo. What is known for sure is that Khan had traveled to Pakistan in 2003 and late 2004. And while he was only one of several hundred thousand U.K. residents who visited Pakistan for a month or longer in 2004, at least one detainee, and perhaps a second, subsequently recognized Khan and knew about his efforts to reach out to Muslim extremists while there. Those who support the NSA's al Qaeda spying program may want to cite the British experience in explaining the program to their constituents. Most in the media surely won't and I doubt Harry Reid or Nancy Pelosi will either.
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Sunday, May 21, 2006
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| Where's the CIA Leak? |
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From 2003 on, there were many officials pushing for a heavier "footprint" in Iraq. Powell, for example, pressed early on for more combat troops and advisors to, as he put it, crush the insurgency before it could get off the ground. And according to this New York Times piece, Powell and others also pushed for a larger contingent to train the Iraqi police force AFTER it became apparent that the force was in very bad shape. The Times also has this nugget concerning the CIA's pre-war assessment of the police force: Before the war, the Bush administration dismissed as unnecessary a plan backed by the Justice Department to rebuild the police force by deploying thousands of American civilian trainers. Current and former administration officials said they were relying on a Central Intelligence Agency assessment that said the Iraqi police were well trained. The C.I.A. said its assessment conveyed nothing of the sort.... [T]he assessment by the C.I.A. led administration officials to believe that Iraq's police were capable of maintaining order. Douglas J. Feith, then the Defense Department's under secretary for policy, said in an interview that the C.I.A.'s prewar assessment deemed Iraq's police professional, an appraisal that events proved "fundamentally wrong." Given the CIA's track record of selectively leaking material to bolster its image and tarnish that of the White House, I wonder why someone over there hasn't leaked this police document if the agency's assessment was so spot on.
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Friday, May 19, 2006
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| (Update) The Left Disgraces Itself at The New School |
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(And these are the clowns the Democratic Party is taking its marching order from.) I know it will come as a shock that a number of "open-minded progressives" at The New School acted like fools today during Sen. McCain's commencement address. They don't like his views on just about everything -- Iraq, Iran, the War on Terror, abortion, gay marriage, etc. -- and the fact that he spoke at Liberty University the week before. When Sen. McCain spoke at Liberty there were also some in the audience who disagreed with him on some issues. But they listened respectfully to an elected official who had also spent nearly 6 years as a prisoner of war in North Vietnam. Such courtesy was evidently in short supply in Greenwich Village. The National Review's Rich Lowry was at McCain's speech and blogged the following on NRO's Corner: ...shameful performance by The New School student body, but I suppose it could have been worse. Kerrey must be a little embarrassed. He gets up: “For those of you who listened to two speeches...one from McCain...the other from [the student], you saw two acts of bravery.” (Actually, it is very bad form to directly attack another speaker in such a forum—but I guess Kerrey feels he can only go so far in defending civility.) Kerrey says, in contrast, that in heckling from the audience, there is “no bravery required.” He gets pretty good applause. Asks if when students get older and someone is heckling, laughing or booing them, will they stand up for their beliefs? “Will you stand and say unpopular things?” A loud shout from the back: “You are a war criminal!”
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| (Update) Squeezing Iran |
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(As I mentioned last month, the Iranian economy is highly vulnerable to international sanctions -- particularly those that would hinder its crude production and ability to sell oil on the world market. Today's Washington Post notes: "Experts on Iran point to a number of reasons it might be reluctant to cut oil exports. Oil accounts for 85 percent of Iran's exports, according to an International Monetary Fund report issued last month. Revenue from those exports makes up 65 percent of government income. And Iran uses a good chunk of that money to raise public-sector wages and to subsidize its own gasoline prices, one way to keep domestic discontent in check when unemployment is running at more than 12 percent and inflation at 13 percent." Unfortunately, the odds the international community will come together to put the screws on Iran's oil industry are pretty slim.) Posted on April 12, 2006: The regime may be more vulnerable to comprehensive sanctions than many realize. Despite high oil prices, the mullahs are running an economy with little job growth and high unemployment. Radio Free Europe reports that Iran's president has been traveling around the country reassuring people on the economy. President Ahmadinejad has discussed the issue of unemployment -- estimated to be at least 11 percent and closer to 20 percent -- in several recent speeches, hinting at his recognition that he must satisfy voters' most immediate concerns. He announced in the northeastern town of Quchan on April 11 that 180 trillion rials (approximately $200 million) will be distributed in the provinces for job creation, IRNA reported. In a speech in Mashhad on April 10, he said, "Employment is one of the most important issues to be tackled by the nation and the government," state television reported. "There are so many young people who have a specialization. They have learned and studied but there is no employment opportunity for them." A sanctions-induced economic tailspin may convince many Iranians that their government's nuclear weapons quest isn't such a good idea. Of course, the most comprehensive sanctions would be those imposed by the UN Security Council. But that would require Russia and China to act responsibly so don't hold your breath. And even if the UN acted with speed and resolve in applying real sanctions it may not be enough to stop Iran's weapons program. But it's worth a try.
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| Krauthammer Joins George Will in Backing Comprehensive Immigration Reform |
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Charles Krauthammer, who can't be accused of being an "amnesty" squish, writes in today's Washington Post that a final bill that includes rigorous border enforcement and a path to citizenship for those already here "would make sense." I am not against legalization. Admittedly, legalization is desperately unfair to the further millions who have been waiting in line at U.S. consulates around the world. By itself, it would only encourage future illegal immigration. But if coupled with a program that closes down the border, it would make sense. It would resolve the problem once and for all. And yesterday on Fox, he argued: Essentially all of that millions with the few exceptions are going to end up citizens, and I'm not against that if you enforce security, if you've got a fence that stops the new illegals. Similarly, George Will argued in a Post column that we should vigorously enforce border controls. But he also warned that the U.S. should avoid the mistakes many European nations have made in permanently marginalizing an immigrant underclass. He wrote: As the debate about immigration policy boils, augmented border control must not be the entire agenda, lest other thorny problems be ignored.... One thing's for sure, the president has a lot riding on getting an immigration bill on his desk and, in the famous words of Gene Kranz, "failure is not an option."
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| The "Racist" Senators |
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In his speech a few days ago, the president said that no matter what your position is on immigration we should strive to conduct the debate in a "reason and respective tone." Yesterday, the Senate's top Democrat, Harry Reid (NV), did his best to keep the dialogue civil. During debate on an amendment by Sen. Inhofe (R-OK) making English the national language, Reid had this to say: "I really believe this amendment is racist." Below is the list of Republican and Democratic senators who are apparently "racist" for voting for a "racist" amendment. Alexander (R-TN)
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Thursday, May 18, 2006
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| Care to Comment, Mr. Lamont? |
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Ned Lamont is running against Sen. Joe Lieberman in Connecticut's Democratic primary. He's got a new ad out featuring the creator of the lefty blog Daily Kos, Markos Moulitsas Zuniga. According to the National Journal, [The] second ad begins like an ordinary campaign commercial -- with the candidate sitting in a living area and discussing his views on the issues. It takes an unexpected turn when supporters, wearing "Lamont for Senate" T-shirts, arrive -- lead by popular left-leaning blogger Markos Moulitsas Zuniga of DailyKos. I wonder if the media will get around to asking Mr. Lamont to comment on his new ad buddy's previous remarks on the ambush of four U.S. contractors in Iraq -- remarks that got him removed from the Kerry for President web site blogroll. Prediction: Lieberman crushes Lamont.
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| Qwest's No Hero |
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Here's what Roll Call's Morton Kondracke had to say about Qwest's trumpeting that it refused to cooperate with the National Security Agency: In the beginning, Qwest, this other company, to its discredit, said it was not cooperating with the NSA and specifically decided not to cooperate. Now if we are fighting a war on terrorism, you would think the telephone companies would want to cooperate and I would hope that they would be cooperating.
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| Democratic Infighting Gets Nasty |
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Harold Meyerson, editor-at-large for the liberal American Prospect, has some nasty things to say about the centrist Democratic Leadership Council. He writes: A MODEST PROPOSAL. The new issue of Blueprint, the bimonthly journal of the Democratic Leadership Council, which went up online today, features an article by Tony Blair entitled “Fighting for Values,” which is part of the magazine’s cover package on “Defeating Jihadism.” The piece is a resounding defense of civilization and globalization, a scathing attack on obscurantism and protectionism. Blair makes the case for the Iraqi invasion and occupation, of course, but, by past standards, somewhat briefly. I asked someone with ties to the DLC about Meyerson's comments and got this response: Maybe Meyerson will offer a guest column to Saddam in the Prospect on "How My American Leftist Friends Continue to Undermine My Enemy and Condemn Leaders like Blair and Lieberman Who Ended My Tyranny." To be continued I'm sure...
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Wednesday, May 17, 2006
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| Supporting Free Speech May Get You Bombed |
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Euripolix.com reports, European officials are stepping up counter terrorism measures following threats against Denmark, Norway and France. EU member states have strengthened security following the reputed risk of jihadists arriving through Turkey. Speaking of Europe, has any reporter asked Secretary Rumsfeld or White House Press Secretary Snow to comment on Saddam's apparent "preparations for 'Blessed July,' a regime-directed wave of 'martyrdom' operations against targets in the West [that] were well under way at the time of the coalition invasion"?
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| The Collapse of Bin Ladenism? |
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Amr Hamzawy, a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, wrote an interesting piece recently in Beirut's Daily Star on the "ideological crisis" facing al Qaeda. He notes that in the Arab world there seems to be an "emerging public consensus that democracy is the only viable way ahead" to address the "severe crises of Arab societies." Hamzawy points to bin Laden's latest videotape as evidence that such an emerging consensus has greatly undermined the message of al Qaeda. It is not lost on bin Laden that a clear majority of Arabs has grown less sympathetic to his group's terrorist agenda in the last few years....
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| The "Amnesty" Scaremongers |
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Too many conservatives have short memories. When the Clinton White House and the media falsely portrayed GOP efforts to slow the growth of Medicare spending as "cuts," conservatives complained bitterly. House Republicans even put out a 39-page press kit to rebut the "the lies the Democrats and their allies" were spinning on the GOP's spending proposal. Times have changed. Today, many conservatives, particularly in the House, have simply adopted the same Democratic tactic in an effort to undermine the president's immigration proposal. As the editors of the Wall Street Journal note, [The president] also realizes that, for the illegals already here, mass deportations are impractical and would spell political suicide for the GOP. Hence, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist is trying this week to garner more support for a bipartisan plan that would put these illegal workers on a path to citizenship if they pass a background check, pay fines, learn English and satisfy other requirements. It's bad enough that Republicans have embraced Democratic spending habits. Now, some of them have incorporated the Democrats' Medicare scare tactics into their own rhetoric on immigration. No wonder we could be looking at Speaker Pelosi.
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Tuesday, May 16, 2006
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| The "Over-the-Cliff Party" |
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It's disappointing (and in some cases very surprising) to see some on the right turn their backs on the vision of Ronald Reagan on immigration, as today's Wall Street Journal editorial argues, and seek to purge the GOP of dissenters. "The GOP is losing this one for the Gipper," the editors note, as the "GOP's nativist wing" seeks to "hijack the Gipper's reputation" to push their cause. Look out Gov. Jeb Bush. You could also be part of the purge given your apostasy on immigration. If things keep going the way they are, the Grand Old Party should consider renaming itself the "Over-the-Cliff Party." Disappointing and depressing, indeed.
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| Richard Cohen's No Straight Talker |
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Today, Washington Post columnist Richard Cohen lectures ("Straight Talk Unexpressed") Sen. McCain on Iraq. He writes: "I supported the decision to go to war in Iraq," McCain said at Liberty University. "I stand that ground because I believed, rightly or wrongly, that my country's interests and values required it." Yes, I understand. I once felt the same way. But it is now clear that the war was a mistake and the prime reason for it -- to rid Iraq of weapons of mass destruction -- was bogus. The war has cost us plenty, more than 2,400 American lives and billions of dollars, but also many people's faith in the honesty of their leaders. No one can support this war and not address its immense cost. No one, not even McCain. But back on March 11, 2003 Cohen supported going to war for reasons beyond the issue of Saddam's extant wmd stockpiles. In fact, he supported the war even though the Bush administration had advanced "untenable, unproven arguments." He noted that the alternative policy of containment wouldn't work and that leaving Saddam in power would amount to "appeasement" and just "postpone a worse war." There ought to be an understanding that while war is bad -- very, very bad -- sometimes peace is no better, especially if all it does is postpone a worse war. That is what would happen if the United States now pulled back, leaving Saddam Hussein in power and our troops sweating in the desert, their morale and their strength dissipating. Cohen is one of the last people who should be lecturing Sen. McCain on Iraq.
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Monday, May 15, 2006
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| The Party of President Bush or Patrick McHenry? |
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The president struck the right tone tonight but has a lot work ahead of him to get to a signing ceremony. His call for a "reason and respective tone" obviously didn't make it to the ears of Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-NC) who said after the speech (via Hotline blog) that "a guest worker program is nothing more than amnesty wearing make-up --it's easier to look at, but just as ugly underneath." How witty. House Majority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) also put out a statement that made more news in what it didn't say: House Republicans have responded to the concerns of the American people by passing a strong border security bill that reflects our commitment to re-establishing basic respect for our immigration laws and sealing our border against illegal entry. If the Senate passes an immigration bill, I'm committed to working with Chairman Sensenbrenner and House Republicans to ensure we make border security our first priority and meet our commitments to the American people. Boehner didn't reject a guest worker program or "paths to citizenship" for those already here. Why? Because he and other House GOP leaders want to get a bill out of conference that doesn't include the felony provision that was in the House-passed bill -- a bill that Boehner, ironically, didn't support. So at the end of the day Republicans will have to decide whether they want to be the party of Patrick McHenry or President Bush -- in other words, a minority party or a majority party in the years ahead.
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| Just What Europe Needs |
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More socialism, less capitalism -- see here.
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Saturday, May 13, 2006
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| Energy Security and the 1973 OPEC Embargo |
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Agence France Press notes that in a tight oil market a successful attack on a major oil installation would have major repercussions. Consider this: On February 24, Saudi security forces foiled an attack on oil installations in Abqaiq, which account for 70 percent of the country's output, and 10 percent of the world's, sending jitters through the oil sector. Hopefully, the U.S. will have implemented a real energy policy before a major attack is pulled off. I'm not holding my breath, though.
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Friday, May 12, 2006
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| Backlash in Bolivia? |
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Opponents of President Evo Morales say his energy nationalization plan and cozying up to Hugo Chavez could greatly constrict foreign investment in Bolivia and push current investors to flee. The AP reports, Bolivian opposition leaders warned Evo Morales' tough stance on foreign energy companies facing nationalization could drive investors away and Brazil's state oil firm expressed outrage at the president's accusation that it was operating illegally....
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| Media Bias? |
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Is the Washington Times using the same journalistic standards of the liberal media? How many times have conservatives pointed to misleading headlines in the New York Times or taken apart the numerous anti-Bush Associated Press pieces that read more like editorials than hard news pieces? I know I have pointed out such journalistic sleights of hand many times. Today, this Washington Times piece on immigration piece isn't much better. The headline, "Senators agree on 'amnesty' proposal," isn't exactly fair and balanced in characterizing the Senate's agreement or what conservatives like Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback believe. What a disappointment.
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Thursday, May 11, 2006
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| The USS Oriskany's Final Mission |
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Commissioned in 1950, the aircraft on the carrier Oriskany launched attacks on North Korean forces and supply lines, conducted thousands of combat missions against North Vietnamese targets and even played a major in the film "The Bridges of Toko Ri," starring Grace Kelly and William Holden. Now, the Los Angeles Times reports that the Oriskany will spend its remaining years submerged off the coast of Florida continuing its service to our nation. PENSACOLA NAVAL AIR STATION, Fla. — After more than half a century of wartime valor, maritime tragedy and cinematic triumph, the aircraft carrier Oriskany is preparing for its final mission: sinking into an afterlife as an artificial reef....
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| Sitting Ducks |
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From the Washington Times (via The Frontrunner): "Europe faces a growing threat of ballistic missile attack from rogue states such as Iran and North Korea and needs missile defenses to counter the threats, a NATO report says." The 10,000-page report, commissioned four years ago, sees a "growing" threat from Iranian Shahab-3 missiles, as well as from North Korea and Syria. It argues that "territorial missile defense is technically feasible." However, some nations, including France and Germany, oppose such a shield.
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| Flame Out |
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General Wesley Clark's presidential aspirations peaked the day he announced his candidacy for the 2004 Democratic nomination. Smart and articulate and armed with the perfect resume for the Commander-in-Chief's job post-9/11, Clark has managed to transform himself from soldier-statesman to just another politician. According to the Union Leader, Clark told a group of firefighters the following: "Right now we're being led down a path to nowhere," Clark told the Professional Fire Fighters of New Hampshire, who had gathered for the final day of their biennial convention. The group also received visits earlier in the week from Sen. John Kerry and Sen. Joseph Biden. It's unclear if Clark addressed the question of whether we should just live with a nuclear-armed Iran if the only remaining alternative to stop or curtail the program is military action. There are strong arguments on both sides -- those who say "yes" we can contain a nuclear-armed Iran like we did the Soviets and those who counter that it would be a huge strategic blow to U.S. security interests -- but instead of engaging his audience on this question Clark trotted out the latest Democratic talking point on Iran and added in a conspiracy theory worthy of Howard Dean. Evidently, America's repeated "rebuffs" to Iranian efforts to "dialogue" forced the regime to repeatedly break the promises made to the European Union that it would cease enrichment activity. Of course, it was not too long ago that Democrats were encouraging the White House to let the Europeans take the lead. But when that path hit a roadblock they changed their tune. And on Clark's memo nonsense, what can you say. Apparently, working with France to get the Syrian dictatorship out of Lebanon, especially following the regime's role in the assassination of the former Lebanese prime minister, isn't something the U.S. should be doing. Why? Because it gets in the way of constructively "talking to people" -- Assad in this case -- "even if we disagree with them" -- we disagree with Assad's green light to car bomb Hariri. The fire fighters deserved better than what the general served up.
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Wednesday, May 10, 2006
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| Al Qaeda Member Nabbed; former Iraqi Army Officer |
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The Iraqi News Agency reports: High-Ranking Al Qaeda Leader Detained in Iraq If true, did Aisha have any contact with al Qaeda before the invasion in March 2003? Has his name appeared in any of the captured Iraqi documents that have been released?
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| Breaking News: Gov. Mark Warner Takes a Stand on Iraq |
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I have to make a correction related to one of the many postings I have done on the presumptive Democratic presidential candidate. A while back I wrote, As to foreign policy, though, Warner has been virtually content free. For example, on Iraq he won't say how he would have voted on the war authorization had he been in Congress at the time. He won't tell voters if he would have regretted his vote today had he supported the authorization back then. He won't say whether he believes the president made the right decision to remove Saddam Hussein from power in March 2003 or whether he believes the President should have given UN inspectors more time. Guess he's waiting to see how things look in Iraq a year or so from now. Well, at a DLC-sponsored foreign policy event yesterday, Warner, according to the AP, informed us that he won't "be lectured [to] by Karl Rove about what is needed to keep this country safe." And on Iraq, He told reporters afterward that while he hopes the Iraq war is successful, he would consider pulling U.S. troops out if the country did not make progress in coming months on democracy and security. I'm sure the Iraqis working with the U.S. will be encouraged by the words of the governor. Of course, Warner still refuses to answer basic questions about Iraq. But that can't last. In a speech to the National Press Club, another presumptive presidential candidate, Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold, said that Democrats "must get out of our political foxholes and be willing to clearly and specifically point out what a strategic error the Iraq invasion has been." Well Mr. Red State governor, was Iraq a "strategic error" or not?
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| Useful Idiots? |
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The editors of the Wall Street Journal and Marshall Wittmann of the Democratic Leadership Council are of one mind on what to make of Ahmadinejad's missive to President Bush. The Journal observes, The letter also contains repeated references to what Mr. Ahmadinejad imagines, with some justification, are the main concerns of the Western left. It's all here: the exploitation of Africa's mineral resources; homelessness and unemployment in the U.S.; the budgetary wastefulness of the war in Iraq and U.S. fiscal imbalances. The concern is almost touching, though perhaps Mr. Ahmadinejad needs to broaden his daily media sources beyond the BBC. And from Wittmann's Bull Moose blog: Our President is severely weakened and our enemies are emboldened. Yesterday, the Iranian tyrant issued a propaganda missive that was Hitlerian in its content and intent. His rant masqueraded as a diplomatic overture will no doubt cause some to welcome it as an extended olive branch. In the 1930's, Hitler similarly attempted to encourage appeasement with hints of reconciliation.
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| "Bringing the Scunion on Them" |
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Stars and Stripes reports on the operations of the 1st Battalion, 68th Regiment in Iraq: BAQOUBA, Iraq — Troops with the 1st Battalion, 68th Armor Regiment have their own saying for laying the smack down on the enemy: “bringing the Scunion on them,” said Staff Sgt. Art Hoffman, 30.
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Tuesday, May 09, 2006
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| Put Iran in the "Realist" Camp |
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From Agence France-Presse: The top Iranian nuclear negotiator praised Russia and China on Tuesday as taking a "realistic" approach after talks among major powers failed to resolve differences over the Tehran nuclear program. "We feel that certain countries have been acting in a more realistic manner" over the nuclear issue, the negotiator, Ali Larijani, said, referring to the two UN powers. He was in Athens for talks with the Greek foreign minister, Dora Bakoyannis. "Other countries are trying to create headaches," he said. "I come from a region where a lot of problems have been created by the United States. "Our advice to the European Union is not to follow the policy of a country which creates problems for this region. The EU can play a constructive role." I'm sure government officials in Khartoum, speaking of another vile regime coddled by Russia and China, wholeheartedly agree with Mr. Larijani. Leave us alone so we can pillage Darfur and our friends in Tehran can build their nuclear weapons without getting hassled by the Americans. On another note, Gerard Baker of The Times (London) gives his take on Ahmadinejad's letter (via the Swiss Embassy) to President Bush calling for direct talks with the U.S. He writes: There seems to be nothing of real substance in the letter (unless you count the Iranian president's seeking common religious ground with George Bush) and the US has dismissed it. But there's method, I suspect, in Ahmadinejad's missive.
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| Fidel's Oil Play |
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Castro has given the green light to China and other nations to drill for oil in the Florida Straits. According to the New York Times, In 1977, the United States and Cuba signed a treaty that evenly divided the Florida Straits to preserve each country's economic rights. They included access to vast underwater oil and gas fields on both sides of the line. Wonder how good our slant drilling capabilities are nowadays?
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| Come on in Mr. President, the Water's Fine |
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From the Associated Press: GW skipper extends hand to Venezuela
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| Will Porter Goss Remain Silent? |
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We haven't heard Porter Goss's side of the story but I'm sure we will. I doubt he and his staff are going to let all the stuff being dumped on them -- from Dana Priest in the Washington Post, an anonymous administration source, and the Democrats -- go unanswered. Of course, as this Washington Times editorial notes, "the real back story of the Goss ouster" is a separate issue from the "from debates over Gen. Hayden's merits." Today's Wall Street Journal editorial makes a similar point. And, after reading Reuel Marc Gerecht's WSJ piece, there's no doubt the general has his work cut out for him. Gerecht writes: Another myth is on the verge of being born. To wit: Porter Goss, the conservative ideologue, greatly politicized the CIA, and encouraged or forced several critically important senior officers to leave the agency, thus dispiriting the entire organization.
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Monday, May 08, 2006
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| (Update) Hillary's Iran Dilemma |
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(Markos Moulitsas, founder of the liberal blog Daily Kos, is an example of why Senator Clinton may not have an easy run to the nomination. His piece in yesterday's Washington Post is also a reason Democrats would have been better off nominating Howard Dean in 2004. The ensuing electoral blowout would have thoroughly discredited the McGovern resurgence that has since gained momentum in the Democratic Party. Now Hillary faces a dilemma on the road to the White House.) Posted on April 13, 2006: The fact that the Democratic Party's base is firmly against the Iraq war has put its leading presidential candidate in a tough spot on Iran. Will Senator Clinton continue to embrace a hawkish position on Iran or adopt a softer line? She voted for the Iraq war but, unlike Kerry and Edwards, hasn't abandoned (so far, at least) her position in support of the war -- support that has brought her withering criticism from the Left. Will she defy the anti-war base again on Iran? Last September, the senator stated, “a nuclear-armed Iran would shake the foundations of global security to its very core.” But she hasn't said much since, except to say that Bush should take the nuclear option "off the table" in reaction to Seymour Hersh's over-the-top New Yorker piece. Presumably she stands by her September position and would support the use of force should it be necessary to prevent a "nuclear-armed Iran" that would "shake the foundations of global security to its very core." But it's extremely doubtful that Democrats who oppose the Iraq war agree with Hillary's current position on Iran. They'd support sanctions but would rather live with a nuclear-armed Iran than with what they believe would be the consequences of an attack. This is probably why Hillary Clinton has been so quiet on Iran lately. Since her election, Hillary has positioned herself as a Scoop Jackson Democrat on many national security issues. But Scoop didn't win the Democratic presidential nomination in 1972; McGovern did. It's not clear today that Democratic activists have learned the lesson of McGovern, which is why Sen. Clinton faces a dilemma on Iran and why her road to the Democratic nomination won't be smooth sailing.
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| Albright and Wolfowitz, Two Peas in a Pod |
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Former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright distances herself from the foreign policy "realists" in today's Washington Post. She rightly argues, "if all America stands for is stability, no one will follow us for the simple reason that we aren't going anywhere." Her Clinton-era colleague, former UN Ambassador Richard Holbrooke, understood the pitfalls of jumping on the "realist" bandwagon many months ago. Setting aside Albright's distortion on why we invaded Iraq and her administration's spotty national security record, it's good to see another senior Democrat join the ranks of other democracy promoters such as World Bank chief Paul Wolfowitz and the late President Ronald Reagan. Though, the secretary's position on Hamas is confusing. She writes that the Hamas victory suggests, "that, in the Middle East, democracy will do less to extinguish terror, as President Bush predicts, than to ignite it." But seven paragraphs later she informs us, As for the Palestinians, let us be fair -- elections did not create Hamas. Voters turned to that terrorist group only because prior Palestinian governments didn't deliver. Now, precisely because of the elections, Hamas will be tested as it has never been before, and it will be required to do what it has never done. This will create pressure on the organization to refrain from violence and to moderate its policies toward Israel. Democracy did not create Hamas, but it may cause Hamas to change -- or to fail. Either outcome would be an improvement on the status quo. So President Bush was right to push for elections in the Palestinian territories?
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| Cognitive Dissonance at the New School |
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Today's New York Sun reports on a growing protest at the New School, located in New York City, against Sen. McCain's pending commencement address. They don't like his views on just about everything -- Iraq, Iran, the War on Terror, abortion, gay marriage, blah, blah, blah -- and they're angry that he's also speaking at Liberty University. According to the Sun, the campaign against the Republican of Arizona began three weeks ago, after the New School's president, Bob Kerrey - a former Democratic senator of Nebraska - announced that Mr. McCain would give the speech. Since then, about 1,000 signatures have been collected on paper petitions and at an Internet site, an organizer of the opposition, Harper Keenan, said." So we're "progressive, liberal, and open-minded" but we only want to hear from those we agree with. Wonder if they offer an introductory course in logic at the New School?
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Sunday, May 07, 2006
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| Have You Seen Iraqi Capt. Arkan on the Evening News? |
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I doubt you will. From the Associated Press: First Iraqi Graduates Army Ranger School
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Saturday, May 06, 2006
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| (Update) The Save Darfur Coalition's Fantasy |
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(Today's Wall Street Journal editorial weighs in on the latest peace initiative. The editors doubt it will hold given the track record of the criminal regime that resides in Khartoum. They also have a message for many of those demanding action to stop the brutality. "There's a lesson here for all of those liberal internationalists who now demand the Administration 'do something' in Darfur: If you want to stop genocide, don't shackle the world's only policeman.") Posted on April 28, 2006: Nearly two years ago I attended a lecture by Samantha Power, author of "A Problem From Hell: America and the Age of Genocide" (a book I highly recommend), at the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum. She spoke on the same day the government of Sudan got a seat on the UN Human Rights Commission. On the negotiations to end the killing in Darfur, Power warned that peace talks are sometimes just cover so nations can look the other way at atrocious behavior. But how do you stop such behavior before it becomes a full-blown genocide and once it does how do you end it before eveyone is murdered or displaced? She answered that what is missing in Darfur, as it was in the Balkans and Rwanda, is the "political will" of the international community to act. Though, citing Iraq, she rejected a "militant unilateralist" approach in favor of a reformed UN armed with a robust force ready to intervene to prevent more Rwandas. This brings me to the superb piece, Crisis Intervention: Iraq, Darfur, and American Power, by The New Republic's Lawrence Kaplan. He writes:
Interestingly, former Clinton official Richard Holbrooke has separated himself from Democrats like Durbin, who have adopted the language of foreign policy "realists." Too bad Durbin and company aren't listening.
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Friday, May 05, 2006
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| The Media's Subtle Spin on Iraq |
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Take the case of Ray McGovern, the retired CIA analyst who made today's headlines by challenging Secretary Rumsfeld during the Q&A following his speech last night in Atlanta. In its coverage of the exchange, the Los Angeles Times, for example, described (reg. req'd) McGovern as "a 27-year CIA veteran who once gave then-President George H.W. Bush his morning intelligence briefings." In previous news stories featuring McGovern anti-Iraq War quotes, he has been described as a CIA veteran who also briefed President Reagan and other top GOP officials. But what is interesting is that the reporters took the time to let readers know that he briefed Reagan and Bush I but didn't find space to inform them that McGovern's far-left political views extend well beyond the Iraq War. I don't know the extent of his Reagan briefings, but I do know that McGovern was an opponent of Reagan's foreign policy. For example, he co-authored a memo that said during the Reagan years "the planting of evidence to demonstrate that opponents of governments in Central America were sponsored by the USSR reached new heights (or depths)." Such manufactured evidence, McGovern wrote, was the "justification...needed for the Contra war against the Sandinistas!" McGovern also accused the first President Bush of manipulating Congress into voting for the first Gulf War. The administration's "PR campaign had the desired impact, and Congress voted to authorize the use of force against Iraq on January 12, 1991." He pointed to the congressional testimony of a girl who was later revealed to be the daughter of the Kuwaiti ambassador to the U.S., and also this: There was a corollary fabrication that proved equally effective in garnering support in Congress for the war resolution in 1991. The White House claimed there were satellite photos showing Iraqi tanks and troops massing on the borders of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, threatening to invade Saudi Arabia. This fueled the campaign for war and frightened the Saudis into agreeing to cooperate fully with U.S. military forces. By ignoring the above and only noting his security briefings to Reagan and Bush I, a subtle message is sent to readers and viewers that McGovern isn't some wild-eyed leftist when, in fact, he really is. Subtle spin, indeed.
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| The "Blame America First Crowd" |
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Marshall Wittmann's takedown of the Left on his blog today reminds me of Jeane Kirkpatrick's famous "San Francisco Democrats" speech in which she took on the "blame America first crowd." In fact, Wittmann's take is so good (especially coming from a senior fellow at the Democratic Leadership Council) I have posted below his words in their entirety: Blame Iran First
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Thursday, May 04, 2006
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| Sound Advice, Wrong Target |
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Today's Hotline reports on the election advice Rush Limbaugh offered yesterday to the GOP: Rush Limbaugh: "There are" GOPers "planning to abandon" Bush "in droves, particularly during this election year." Bush is "an albatross around their neck." GOPers, "I'll just give you some advice right now. All of you" GOPers "in Congress -- including you," Sens. Chuck Hagel (R-NE) and Olympia Snowe (R-ME) "and all the rest of them, McCain -- you want to win re-election this year, if you're up? You want" GOPers "to hold the House? Unify behind George W. Bush. Just do it. Just do it. Don't try to please moderate or" Dem "voters by showing your independence. Just go out there and unify and support" the pres. "on a number of issues that you can." Unfortunately, too many House Republicans have often gone out of their way to stick it to the president. They joined in on the hysteria over the Dubai Ports deal and on immigration they have not unified "behind George W. Bush." Instead, too many have demagogued the issue (which worries RNC Chair Ken Mehlman) in much the same way Democrats have on gas prices. They haven't unified behind the president to control spending (though, there's a glimmer of hope on that front). And on Iraq, rather than making a coordinated argument on the consequences of leaving Saddam in power -- as many Democrats advocated -- and why we must win, we get comments like this expressing hope for an "October Surprise." Good thing it's only May 4, not November 7, and there is still time to recover as the influence of Majority Leader Boehner takes hold. By the way, guess what Republican Senator will likely do the most campaigning for House Republican candidates? The one from Arizona.
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| "Zooming in on Zaraqawi" |
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From Reuters: US says hot on heels of Zarqawi
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| Workers of the World Unite! ... in Maryland |
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From the Marine Corps Times: High schoolers suspended after protesting recruiters Other Maryland public schools have been under pressure to restrict military recruiting. Must be something in the water.
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| Cashing In |
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Valerie Plame Wilson, the NY Times reports, "is shopping a book proposal among a small group of publishers, according to two people familiar with the project." It will be interesting to read the book's acknowledgements.
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Wednesday, May 03, 2006
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| (Update) The Democrats Sisyphus |
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(The far Left despises Democrats like Rep. Steny Hoyer -- see here and here -- and Sen. Lieberman -- see here. That's why it seems a bit odd that the chairman of the "centrist" Democratic Leadership Council, Gov. Vilsack, and the Senate minority leader, Harry Reid, will be speaking here -- a founder of which said this.) In September, Roll Call reported that the House Minority Whip, Rep. Steny Hoyer (MD), had cobbled together a dozen or so of his colleagues "to shape the Democratic strategy on national security issues and battle perceptions that the party is weak on defense." The No. 2 House Democrat, a moderate who supported U.S. involvement in Iraq, said he believes Democrats lost the “national election because of national security” and because of a “lack of confidence of the American public.” He added that many voters had doubts that Kerry and the Democrats were committed to defeating terrorism. Hoyer, of course, is right. But, as Sen. Lieberman is finding out, the Democratic faithful are not buying Hoyer's line. And apparently neither is one of the members of Hoyer's own group, the one-time deputy of the "centrist" Democratic Leadership Council, Rep. Ellen Tauscher (CA). She has co-sponsored legislation with Rep. John Conyers (MI), ranking member on the Judiciary committee, calling for the termination of the NSA's terrorist surveillance program -- a program Gen. Hayden says "has been successful in detecting and preventing attacks inside the United States." Tauscher calls the Bush administration's actions "despicable" and is "deeply disturbed" by it all. Meanwhile, her ally spends his days pushing for the impeachment of the president and accusing the White House of "defrauding" the nation into war. That stone is getting bigger by the day.
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| The Risks of Turning Over Afghanistan to NATO |
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Five months ago, Vance Serchuk, a research fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, wrote the following in the pages of the Weekly Standard: While American politicians spent the ast months of 2005 arguing over the U.S. military presence in Iraq, their counterparts in the Netherlands were debating the future of the Dutch contingent in Afghanistan. At issue is The Hague's pledge to deploy slightly over 1,000 Dutch troops to the restive Uruzgan province when NATO assumes responsibility for southern Afghanistan this summer. Since Serchuk's piece, there have been several reports -- including this one from today's New York Times -- of increased Taliban activity in southern Afghanistan and serious concerns about passing off operations to NATO. From the Times: Each spring with the arrival of warmer weather, the fighting season here starts up, but the scale of the militants' presence and their sheer brazenness have alarmed Afghans and foreign officials far more than in previous years. Good thing the Warsaw Pact stayed put.
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| Everyone Except Saddam |
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Here's what MSNBC's Chris Matthews had to say last night: Somebody is responsible for this war. Is it the president, the politicians in Congress who voted to authorize the war, the military who saluted Bush three years ago when the war was popular who are now calling for Defense Secretary Rumsfeld's resignation, or it was cooked intelligence from the administration? Of course, others may say that in the end it was Saddam Hussein who was "responsible for this war." And some may also still agree with the overall judgment made by liberal Washington Post columnist Richard Cohen on March 11, 2003: There ought to be an understanding that while war is bad -- very, very bad -- sometimes peace is no better, especially if all it does is postpone a worse war. That is what would happen if the United States now pulled back, leaving Saddam Hussein in power and our troops sweating in the desert, their morale and their strength dissipating.
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Tuesday, May 02, 2006
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| Meet the Sufis in a Surprising Place |
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"A new atmosphere of increased religious tolerance has spurred a resurgence of Sufism and brought the once-underground Sufis and their rituals out in the open," today's Washington Post reports. Where has this happened? Of all places: Saudi Arabia. Over a year ago, Stephen Schwartz wrote an interesting piece in the Weekly Standard on an underreported sect of Islam known as Sufism. Schwartz described the stark difference between Wahhabism, the dominant religious force in the Saudi kingdom, and Sufism this way: The Muslim world comprises a spectrum of religious interpretations. If, at one end of the continuum, we find the fanatical creed of Wahhabism, cruel and arbitrary, more an Arab-supremacist state ideology than a religious sect, at the other end we find the enlightened traditions of Sufism. These stress not only intra-Islamic dialogue, separation of spiritual from clerical authority, and teaching in the vernacular, but also respect for all believers, whether Muslim, Christian, Jewish, Hindu, Buddhist, or other. Sufis emphasize, above all, their commitment to mutual civility, interaction, and cooperation among believers, regardless of sect. Schwartz continued: At the same time, on human rights grounds, the United States must speak up for Sufis against those who repress them, often violently, especially in Saudi Arabia. To repeat, in the Wahhabi-dominated kingdom, an independent, spiritual Sufi oppositional culture is emerging, with special attraction for young people. Against the backdrop of Saudi fanaticism, including the open support for radical Islam coming from some of Riyadh's richest and most powerful personalities, Sufism exemplifies the Islamic pluralism that, if restored to Saudi Arabia, could shut off the money flow to al Qaeda and its allies worldwide. These are opportunities in the war against terror that the United States would be foolish to miss. But is the "new atmosphere of increased religious tolerance" real or, as one Middle East scholar told me, just "window dressing" by the Saudi Wahhabi establishment to keep the Americans quiet? Regardless, the resurgence of Sufism in other nations is something to watch closely and encourage in the face of Islamic radicalism.
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| And This Time We Mean It! |
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Speaker Hastert and Majority Leader Boehner released the following statement this morning: The Senate emergency spending bill represents a huge spending spree, but the big losers will be the American taxpayers stuck with the tab. President Bush requested $92 billion for the War on Terror and some hurricane spending. The House used fiscal restraint and stayed within the President's request for true emergency spending. We support the President's threat to veto the wayward spending bill. The American people don't deserve a special interest shopping cart disguised as a supplemental. Having Boehner in the leadership is making a difference. Unlike most House Republicans, he has never accepted the pork-barrel culture of Washington that has gotten far worse in the last ten years. The old saying that there are three political parties in Washington -- Democrats, Republicans, and Appropriators -- rings even truer today.
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| (Update) A Democrat of Yesteryear |
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(Connecticut Democrats haven't been reading the Daily Kos blog site. They're supposed to dump Lieberman. A new Quinnipiac poll of Democratic voters finds Lieberman trouncing his primary opponent, Ned Lamont, 65 - 19 percent. The poll also found that "only 15 percent would vote against a candidate based only on his position on the war.") Posted on April 30, 2006: Unlike John Edwards, who supported the Iraq War when running for president before abandoning his position to cozy-up with the Left, Sen. Joe Lieberman remains a profile in courage. From today's Washington Post: "I'm not surprised that there's a primary challenge," Lieberman conceded. According to a February poll by Quinnipiac University, 61 percent of state voters said invading Iraq was the wrong thing to do. But the former Democratic vice presidential nominee said he will not back down from his position.
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| Watergate Francais? |
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From today's International Herald Tribune: PARIS Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin of France said Monday that he was determined to stay in office despite mounting pressure on him to resign in connection with a dirty-tricks campaign targeting his chief rival, Interior Minister Nicolas Sarkozy.
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Monday, May 01, 2006
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| (Update) Wars, Leadership and Our Friends in Canada |
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(From the Toronto Star: "Stephen Harper's government has quietly committed Canada to 'indefinite' participation in NORAD and agreed to give the military alliance new responsibilities to watch for a terror attack by sea. Fresh off his softwood lumber truce, Harper's government yesterday gave another boost to Canada-U.S. relations when it signed off on the renewal of the landmark North American Aerospace Defence Command treaty.") Posted on March 17, 2006: Leadership matters. Tuesday's Globe and Mail has some interesting poll results on the Canadian troop deployment to Afghanistan. Canadians' views have shifted sharply in support of the Afghan military mission even as troop casualties have mounted over the past three weeks, a new poll suggests. The poll results "suggest that a concerted public campaign in defence of the mission by senior military officers, as well as political figures from both the Conservative government and Liberal Opposition, has had an impact." This change in public attitude doesn't surprise me. A while back, the German Marshall Fund released a poll that found increased European disapproval of President Bush's foreign policy but with an interesting twist. One exception was in Britain (I should note that Poland’s approval numbers mirrored those in the U.S.), “where there was a slight upturn in approval.” I doubt it was a coincidence that this “upturn” occurred in a nation where the national government most vigorously made the case for getting rid of Saddam and for promoting democracy in the region. Bush’s lowest ratings were in countries, namely France and Germany, whose leaders adamantly and very publicly opposed Bush's policies. Even so, Germany's Gerhard Schröder ran on an explicitly anti-American platform and lost to an opponent who forcefully countered his demagoguery. Canada's Stephen Harper did the same against the anti-U.S. rhetoric of Paul Martin. And, of course, Australia's John Howard won a fourth term, while Tony Blair was elected to an unprecedented third. Is there a message here?
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| Our Friends in Central Europe |
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Though little reported, U.S. diplomacy with the former East Bloc nations has been quite successful. American investment has poured into a region that Business Week recently profiled in this piece, "Rise Of A Powerhouse." Of course, the region's continued economic vitality may get clipped if some of the big EU member states get their way. Central European governments continue to assist our military and intelligence operations (though trusting the CIA may be far more difficult because of Mary McCarthy and company), and recently Bulgaria joined Romania in signing a military base agreement with the U.S. We have also strengthened our relations with the Baltic states and nations like Georgia, birthplace of Stalin. Now, if we can only get more in "old Europe," to borrow a phrase from Secretary Rumsfeld, on board.
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| Hugo Chavez Smack Down |
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Apparently, Peru isn't interested in being a satellite state of the Caracas regime. From the Associated Press: Peru recalled its ambassador from Venezuela on Saturday over what it called President Hugo Chavez's "persistent and flagrant interference" in its upcoming presidential elections. Perhaps former President Jimmy Carter can mediate.
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