Boston Globe Poll: Markey Ahead Big in Special Election
But is Gomez out yet?
5:01 PM, Jun 17, 2013 • By MICHAEL WARREN
With 9 days left before the June 25 special election for the U.S. Senate in Massachusetts, Democrat Ed Markey maintains a significant lead. The latest poll from the Boston Globe shows Markey, a longtime House member, ahead of Republican Gabriel Gomez by 15 points. Here's more from the Globe's analysis, which portends trouble for Gomez:
Gomez's path to victory looks difficult, to be sure, and according to Real Clear Politics, the Republican has not led in any poll of the race so far. It's worth remembering, though, that even the Boston Globe can get races wrong. In the 2010 special Senate election in Massachusetts, Republican Scott Brown defeated the favored Democrat Martha Coakley by almost 5 points after coming from behind in the polls. But what did the Globe poll say nine days before that election in January 2010? Here's an excerpt:
Brown had several factors that helped him, including support from national conservatives and growing outrage over the impending Obamacare legislation. Around a week before the election, a few polls had Brown with a modest lead, too. And for all of Gomez's qualities (he's a former Navy SEAL, a Harvard business school graduate, and the son of immigrants), he's a less experienced and formidable politician than Brown.
But as the Globe's numbers in 2010 showed, special elections can be unpredictable.
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