8:20 AM, May 22, 2015 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
Michelle Jamrisko at Bloomberg writes:
Americans’ expectations for the economy slumped in May by the most since October 2013, casting doubt on consumers’ ability to revive growth. A measure tracking the economic outlook fell by 6 points to 44 this month, data from the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index showed Thursday. Thirty-nine percent said the U.S. economy is getting worse, the largest share since the federal government shutdown 19 months ago.
The recovery, which we are ceaselessly being assured is either here or about to arrive, “this summer,” has never really materialized.
The U.S. economy has largely disappointed this year, with weaker-than-expected retail sales data last week capping a recent run of reports showing scant momentum. Consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70 percent of gross domestic product, climbed at a 1.9 percent annualized rate in the first quarter, the slowest in a year and less than half the 4.4 percent advance in the final three months of 2014.
One suspects that this will be noticed by the “everyday people” who are, after all, living it.
5:09 PM, Apr 30, 2015 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
After yesterday’s disappointing GDP number (it grew by a meager .2% in the last quarter) we got this from Jason Furman, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisors:
7:14 AM, Apr 22, 2015 • By JERYL BIER
Speaking Tuesday at the 45th Annual Washington Conference of the Council of the Americas, Secretary of State John Kerry said that "countries are far more likely to advance economically and socially when citizens have faith in their governments and are able to rely on them for justice and equal treatment under the law." Kerry said that a "new kind of relationship" with Latin American countries, emphasizing democracy and human rights, will contribute to "our common ag
11:12 AM, Mar 27, 2015 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
Bloomberg reports that:
The U.S. economy expanded at 2.2 percent annualized pace in the fourth quarter, led by the biggest gain in consumer spending in eight years.
9:50 AM, Mar 25, 2015 • By IRWIN M. STELZER
Water, Water Everywhere
And in some places in drought-ravished California even where it proves an embarrassment.
11:36 AM, Feb 26, 2015 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
The recovery may be slowing and the end of the Fed’s QE efforts receding further into the future.
9:38 AM, Feb 25, 2015 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
The Obama administration’s line on the economy appears to be that it has finally turned the corner and things are truly humming. And maybe so. But there are signs of trouble amid all the good cheer.
12:01 AM, Feb 7, 2015 • By IRWIN M. STELZER
We should “stop thinking about the economy as being in a perpetual crisis” commented Charles Plosser, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, after the government announced on Friday that the private sector added 267,000 jobs in January, and that upward revisions to November and December data brought total job creation in 2014 to over three million.
3:36 PM, Feb 2, 2015 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
The first number in a week that will produce many of them, culminating with monthly non-farm payrolls, is not promising for the recovery.