In 1916 London faced a dilemma. The British were hoping to bring American reinforcements to assist them and their beleaguered French allies in the trenches of the First World War. Woodrow Wilson, however, seeking to become the first Democratic president to win reelection since before the Civil War, was campaigning under the slogan “He kept us out of war.”
Wilson knew that every vote counted, and the sizable Irish-American community was demanding a deliverable to cement its support for Wilson in key swing states. That deliverable was named Éamon de Valera. Born in New York to a Cuban father and an Irish mother, de Valera had moved to Ireland at an early age following his father’s death. Still, he was a U.S. citizen by birth. He became involved in Ireland’s independence movement and was a leading figure in the 1916 Easter Rising in Dublin. London regarded the wartime rebellion as treason but saw no option, given American pressure, except to spare de Valera’s life, even while executing the other 15 Easter Rising leaders by firing squad.
Wilson’s choice of votes over diplomacy is not much different than Virginia governor Terry McAuliffe’s recent decision to side with his Korean constituents on the Tokyo-Korean-American clash over the labeling of the Sea of Japan in textbooks (Koreans call it the East Sea).
The strategic location of the Korean peninsula in close proximity to Japan is similar to Ireland’s in relation to Great Britain. “Ireland is too great to be unconnected with us, and too near us to be dependent on a foreign state, and too little to be independent,” observed C.T. Grenville in a letter to the Duke of Rutland in 1784. And as Prussian adviser Major Klemens Meckel told the Japanese military after the Meiji Restoration, Korea is “a dagger pointed at the heart of Japan.” Yet, despite this strategic importance, both former colonial powers allowed a hostile relationship to fester with their previously occupied people. As with the dysfunction between the British Empire and the Irish nation, which lasted for over 700 years, Tokyo’s estrangement from its Korean neighbors has relied partially on a smug sense of cultural superiority, including a condescending attitude toward the alleged immaturity of the victimized people.
Tokyo seems today just as paralyzed as turn-of-the-century London in its inability to reach a constructive conclusion to its own version of the “Irish Question.” For the United States, the danger is that the continuing dysfunction between its two key northeast Asian allies will allow South Korea to slowly slip away irretrievably into Beijing’s orbit. The Japanese should ask themselves whether it’s worth it to score points in territorial disputes over minuscule islands and historiographic disputes over Tokyo’s World War II atrocities. Is defensiveness over the Imperial Army’s sex slaves, the Korean Comfort Women, strategically wise if it results in a unified and hostile Korean peninsula tilting toward Communist China?
The recent condemnation by Shinzo Abe’s administration of Korean independence figure Ahn Jung-geun, who assassinated Resident General of Korea Ito Hirobumi at a train station in Harbin in 1909, as a “terrorist” and “a convicted criminal” even has its Irish equivalent. And it involves, ironically, the family of Caroline Kennedy, the current U.S. ambassador to Tokyo.
In 1994, Ambassador Kennedy’s aunt, Jean Kennedy Smith, then U.S. ambassador to Ireland, championed the issuance of a visa to Sinn Fein leader Gerry Adams, a suspected former IRA operative. British prime minister John Major was described as being “incandescent with rage” when President Bill Clinton heeded Ambassador Kennedy Smith’s suggestion (joined later by her brother Senator Ted Kennedy) and granted Adams the visa. This British ire was compounded when Clinton warmly shook Adams’s hand at a St. Patrick’s Day reception on Capitol Hill in 1995. Major reportedly refused to take President Clinton’s phone calls for a number of weeks. But President Clinton’s diplomatic gamble paid off when his envoy George Mitchell successfully brokered the Good Friday Agreement, the culmination of the Northern Ireland peace process, in 1998. The issuance of the visa to Adams was seen, in retrospect, as a game changer, proving that even though it’s a cliché, sometimes one nation’s terrorist is another’s patriot. The same applies to Ahn Jung-geun.
Much good news is emanating from Japan, one of America's most important allies, though some of it comes with an unnecessary taint. After decades of economic stagnation and foreign policy reticence stemming from its postwar legacy of pacifism, Japan is back as a strong and confident alliance partner.
You would guess that an agreement between the United States and Japan to move a Marine air base from one location to another on Okinawa would be good news. And it is, for three reasons. First, because there has been opposition to relocating the base on the island, and negotiations had stalemated. And second, because the move is endorsed by Okinawa’s governor, who had initially opposed it.
While Washington and the world have been focused on the nuclear agreement reached with Iran last week in Geneva, on the other side of the globe, one of the parties to that deal, China, was at the very same time making the peaceful resolution of its dispute with Japan over a group of small islands in the East China Sea even less likely.
Tokyo Whether by design or inadvertence, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s plans for reviving Japan’s economy after two decades of stagnation differ sharply from the stimulus and austerity policies pursued by the United States and the European Union to recover from the deep recession of 2008-2009. These differences augur well for Japan’s prospects.
Tokyo John Kerry’s first visit as secretary of state to Asia this week will be rightly dominated by the heightened tensions on the Korean peninsula, where Kim Jong-un’s regime continues to generate headlines around the world with its bluster and brinksmanship.
Enough is enough. That isn’t a bad shorthand description of Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe’s new economic policy. Enough of lost decades, enough of deflation, enough of an over-valued yen, enough of wage stagnation, enough of the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) “timidity.”
The Senkaku Islands dispute is the first Japan-China security crisis in seven decades of peace. This puzzling contretemps between Asia’s two giants unnerves the region, whose waters host half of global trade, and President Barack Obama faces a test. American power anchors the China-Japan balance in a tripod that is the unsung secret of East Asia’s peace and progress.
All of the fuss by the G-7 and the G-20 at their meeting this week about whether Japan should be condemned for attempting to end decades of stagnation by easing monetary policy, with the effect of driving down the yen, makes for good copy.
Just before Christmas there was a lot of public concern about America’s declining birthrate, which closed out 2012 at its lowest point since 1920. But in trying to understand why American fertility is on the wane, it’s important to understand that fertility decline is a global phenomenon. Ninety-seven percent of the world’s population lives in countries with declining fertility rates. And as bad as America has it now, things could be worse. We could be Japan.