A new poll of New Hampshire GOP primary voters from the Boston Herald and Franklin Pierce University finds Jeb Bush and Scott Walker are tied at 15 percent support, with a slew of other likely candidates close behind in the first presidential primary of the cycle. Here's the Herald on the implications of the survey:
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has lost his front-runner edge in New Hampshire, not because GOP voters are sick of the Bush family but because conservatives are roundly rejecting him, a new Franklin Pierce University-Boston Herald poll shows.
Bush is tied with Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker at 15 percent, while a pack of other GOP contenders are within striking distance, according to the poll of 429 likely GOP primary voters in the first-in-the-nation primary state.
The Herald refers to Bush losing his "frontrunner" status, even though Bush hasn't had much of a lead in the Granite State. According to the Real Clear Politics poll average, Bush and Walker are essentially tied at around 15 percent. Bush's largest lead in the New Hampshire primary polling since October was 5 points, and he had just 17 percent support. Bush hasn't cracked 18 percent support in New Hampshire since announcing he was exploring a presidential run.
Not that other possible GOP presidential candidates have been doing much better. In two polls of New Hampshire primary voters, one likely and one registered, Scott Walker had a 7-point lead over his Republican rivals, getting 21 percent and 23 percent, respectively. That's the best showing of any Republican candidate so far in New Hampshire, but it's not a consistent trend.
Rand Paul, inheriting his father's built-in libertarian base, has been hovering around 10 percent in the most recent New Hampshire polls, placing him in third place to Walker and Bush. In the Herald poll, Paul gets a healthy 13 percent. And despite claims that Chris Christie's presidential aspirations are finished, the New Jersey governor appears to be hanging on in New Hampshire with an average of just under 10 percent, which is right where the Herald poll finds him. The only declared candidate in the race, Ted Cruz, polls at nine percent in the Herald poll, which is much higher than his average had been in New Hampshire. Ben Carson, Mike Huckabee, and Marco Rubio also register significant single-digit support in the crowded field.
In truth, the first few months of the 2016 campaign—with Jeb Bush reeling in big donors, Walker earning early buzz and staffing up, and Cruz entering the race officially—haven't done much to clarify the Republican nomination fight quite yet. The latest Herald poll shows there is no traditional frontrunner in New Hampshire, nor is there one nationally.
Martin O'Malley, a likely Democratic presidential candidate, took a shot this morning at Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush, saying that the presidency is not a "crown" and need not "be passed between two families." Of course Clinton's husband Bill Clinton was president. And Bush's father, George H.W. Bush, and brother, George W. Bush, were both president.
Matthew Continetti, writing at the Washington Free Beacon, explains why Jeb Bush has a problem in his foreign policy adviser James Baker. Baker recently spoke at a conference for the left-wing group J Street. Here's an excerpt from Continetti's column:
A spokeswoman for former Florida governor Jeb Bush says the possible Republican presidential candidate "disagrees" with one of his foreign policy advisers who spoke at a left-wing anti-Israel group this week.
Scott Walker may not be a candidate for president yet, but the Wisconsin governor’s growing political action committee staff is already going after a potential rival in the Republican primary. GOP strategist Liz Mair, CNN reports, has just signed on to consult for Walker’s Our American Revival PAC, doing outreach to bloggers and other digital media outlets.
The consensus across America, and perhaps especially along the I-95 corridor, seems to be that Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton are on a nearly inevitable collision course, with one or the other poised to be declared president-elect on November 8, 2016. At a minimum, they are viewed as the frontrunners—or, in Bush’s case, the co-frontrunner—for their parties’ nominations.
We've just finished tabulating the results an online poll conducted during the last week of WEEKLY STANDARD readers. They were given a chance to let us know who would be, as of now, their 1st, 2nd, and 3rd choices for the GOP presidential nomination. We want to thank the 3,700 readers who participated.
Over the past few days at CPAC, Sean Hannity has asked various prospective Republican presidential candidates to list their “top five agenda items.” Former governor Jeb Bush’s list did not include repealing Obamacare.
There will come a time when the survivor of the circular firing squad that is commonly known as the Republican primary debates will square off against Hillary Clinton. That survivor will have to grin and bear seeing multiple videos of his Republican opponents attacking him for one thing or another. Meanwhile, Mrs.
By most accounts, former Florida governor Jeb Bush performed well (to some observers, “very, very” well) in his Friday appearance at the Conservative Political Action Conference outside Washington. The likely presidential candidate succeeded in defying expectations by receiving a warm reception at the right-wing confab, even as his unorthodoxies on a few important issues for conservatives were highlighted in the appearance.