Looks like the "truce" is broken already.12:41 PM, Jun 11, 2010 • By MATTHEW CONTINETTI
Two 2012 stories today deserve a mention. Both involve, directly or indirectly, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, who may run for president in 2012. The first is Huckabee's attack, via his PAC website, on Indiana governor Mitch Daniels. In an interview with THE WEEKLY STANDARD, Daniels called for a "truce" on social issues in order to focus on the nation's finances.
A new CNN poll has some interesting numbers.9:24 AM, Apr 14, 2010 • By MATTHEW CONTINETTI
The story from the new CNN poll is that Mike Huckabee remains a popular choice for the 2012 Republican nomination. Huckabee, Romney, and Palin continue to lead the pack -- probably because they have the greatest name i.d. What's fascinating, though, is Newt Gingrich's surge into the top tier of presidential prospects. He's gained six points in a month, and is only one point behind Palin. His favorable number is about the same as Palin's, but his unfavorable number is significantly less.
The GOP lacks a standard-bearer for 2012—but the list of contenders will be growing in the fall.Mar 15, 2010, Vol. 15, No. 25 • By FRED BARNES
Texas governor Rick Perry’s impressive primary victory over Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison is a signal. After the midterm election this November, the field of candidates for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012 (or later) is going to get bigger and possibly better.
Palin and Romney go head-to-head on late-night talk.8:30 AM, Mar 3, 2010 • By MATTHEW CONTINETTI
It's not everyday that two likely candidates for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination appear simultaneously on the top late-night talk shows. But that is what happened last night, with Sarah Palin's appearance on Jay Leno's Tonight Show and Mitt Romney's on David Letterman's Late Show. I just watched both interviews, which we'll post below the fold.
A not-very-nice present.12:34 PM, Feb 11, 2010 • By MATTHEW CONTINETTI
February 11 is Sarah Palin's birthday. She turns 46 today. For a gift, she can look at this Gallup poll, which shows her in second place next to Mitt Romney, and within the margin of error, for GOP voters' choice to be the 2012 Republican nominee.
A note about the poll: The sample was small -- 490 "Republicans and Republican-leaning independents" -- and included registered voters, not likely voters. Also important: The real winner was "None / No Opinion," which earned 42 percent support. And former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee came in fifth place, behind John McCain (!) and Scott Brown (!!), which lends the impression that the survey isn't the most revealing indicator of Republican preferences.
Still, it's probably the best news Palin has today. Because the new Washington Post / ABC News poll contains some lousy numbers for the former Alaska governor. Her unfavorable rating among all voters is up to 55 percent. More than 70 percent say she is unqualified to hold the office of the presidency. Less than a majority of Republicans say she is qualified. Most important, the number of independents who say she is qualified has fallen to 29 percent.
The governor's PAC sheds light on his supporters.2:00 PM, Feb 5, 2010 • By MATTHEW CONTINETTI
Earlier this week, I wrote a post tracking the money race between likely candidates for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination. A follow-up post quoted a perspicacious reader who observed,
Huckabee's PAC led in donors. He had more than 16,000 for 2009; Palin was second with 14,000. That means he had more people donating to his PAC than anybody else, just with less money -- underscoring that his support is truly with the masses. (Pawlenty had about 2,700 donors and Romney doesn't say.)
I asked Romney's Free and Strong America pack if they'd let me know the number of people who donated to the group in 2009. Their answer: 16,593.
That puts Romney's PAC ahead of Palin's--and neck and neck with Huckabee's. Republican presidential politics get more interesting all the time.
Reports of the former governor's political demise may have been greatly exaggerated.6:01 PM, Feb 2, 2010 • By MATTHEW CONTINETTI
Readers made some great points in response to my post yesterday on the race for the 2012 GOP nomination. One correspondent pointed out that I neglected to mention John Kasich, the former Republican congressman and Fox News personality who is running for governor of Ohio. A Kasich victory would launch him once more into the Republican stratosphere--but it would be hard to begin a presidential campaign after less than a year in office!
Not even the media are buying what the president is selling.12:06 PM, Feb 2, 2010 • By MATTHEW CONTINETTI
Yesterday President Obama proposed a $3.8 trillion budget for fiscal year 2011 that projects record deficits for the next decade. In announcing the plan, the president did what he does best: bash his hapless predecessor. Obama:
The fact is, 10 years ago, we had a budget surplus of more than $200 billion, with projected surpluses stretching out toward the horizon. Yet over the course of the past 10 years, the previous administration and previous Congresses created an expensive new drug program, passed massive tax cuts for the wealthy, and funded two wars without paying for any of it -– all of which was compounded by recession and by rising health care costs. As a result, when I first walked through the door, the deficit stood at $1.3 trillion, with projected deficits of $8 trillion over the next decade.
It is true the Republicans do not have a lot of credibility when it comes to fiscal responsibility. George W. Bush increased the size of the federal government more than any president since LBJ, with the help of GOP congresses. Nevertheless, President Obama did not mention that one of those "previous congresses" was controlled by Democrats. He omitted the fact that Democrats supported a much larger prescription drug benefit than the one that Bush ultimately signed into law. Nor did he note that he has continued to fund two wars "without paying for any of it" and seeks to maintain some of the Bush tax cuts for households making less than $250,000 a year. America's fiscal mess is the result of decades of policies enacted by both parties. Obama says this is "a new era of responsibility." Why can't he take any?
A look at the Republicans who are off and (unofficially) running for president.2:47 PM, Feb 1, 2010 • By MATTHEW CONTINETTI
It's never too soon to begin speculating about the race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination. Today's peg: The fundraising figures released over the weekend by the likely candidates' political action committees. The big winners were Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin. Romney's PAC raised $2.9 million in 2009 and has $1.1 million on hand. While she got off to a relatively late start, Palin raised $2.1 million and has slightly less than a million on hand. Coming in third was Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty, who raised $1.3 million and has slightly more than $800,000 on hand.
Mike Huckabee lags behind in the money race--while he raised the same amount as Pawlenty in 2009, he has less than $200,000 on hand. Even so, Huckabee leads the early polls: according to this Public Policy Polling survey, he even leads President Obama by one point. Obligatory disclaimer: Polls mean absolutely nothing at this point in the game. Remember: Rudy Giuliani led the national polls throughout 2007.